Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.0%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/28 | W17-0 | |
| 2 | 9/06 | W42-10 | |
| 3 | 9/13 | L14-38 | |
| 4 | 9/20 | L10-27 | |
| 6 | 10/04 | Win prob:11% | |
| 7 | 10/11 | Win prob:31% | |
| 8 | 10/18 | Win prob:9% | |
| 9 | 10/25 | Win prob:5% | |
| 11 | 11/08 | Win prob:39% | |
| 12 | 11/15 | Win prob:5% | |
| 13 | 11/22 | Win prob:54% | |
| 14 | 11/29 | Win prob:35% |
Data from 2025-09-28
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 8-1 | 0% | 0% |
| 7-2 | 0% | 100.0% |
| 6-3 | 0.1% | 0% |
| 5-4 | 1.0% | 0% |
| 4-5 | 6.4% | 0% |
| 3-6 | 20.2% | 0% |
| 2-7 | 34.8% | 0% |
| 1-8 | 28.4% | 0% |
| 0-9 | 9.1% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2025-09-28
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) |
Best Winner Combination for
Northwestern
Ohio State
Purdue
Penn StateWisconsin
Nebraska
MarylandCCG: 0.1% • Scenario: 0.9%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
NorthwesternOhio StatePenn StateWisconsinNebraskaCCG: 0.0% • Scenario: 7.9%
Data from 2025-09-28
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
CCG ProbabilityLikelihood
100.0%
<0.1%Data from 2025-09-28
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2025-09-28