California

CaliforniaGolden Bears

1-0 T3rd (0-0) in ACC

Data from 2024-09-02 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

3.0%

Based on 100,000 simulations

CaliforniaSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/31
vsUC DavisUCD
W31-13
29/07
@AuburnAUB
Win prob:32%
39/14
vsSan Diego StSDSU
Win prob:67%
49/21
@Florida StFSU
Win prob:26%
610/05
vsMiami FLMIA
Win prob:39%
710/12
@PittsburghPITT
Win prob:42%
810/19
vsNC StateNCSU
Win prob:40%
910/26
vsOregon StORST
Win prob:35%
1111/08
@Wake ForestWAKE
Win prob:50%
1211/16
vsSyracuseSYR
Win prob:71%
1311/23
vsStanfordSTAN
Win prob:80%
1411/30
@SMUSMU
Win prob:19%

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

CaliforniaRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
0.1%
100.0%
7-1
1.2%
90.2%
6-2
6.2%
29.0%
5-3
18.1%
0.4%
4-4
28.9%
0%
3-5
27.1%
0%
2-6
14.3%
0%
1-7
3.8%
0%
0-8
0.4%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely California CCG Opponents

if California makes the CCG

SMUSMU
35.4%
LouisvilleLouisville
20.9%
ClemsonClemson
15.0%
MiamiMiami FL
14.6%
NC StateNC State
14.1%

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

CaliforniaThis Week's Impact

Game
CaliforniaCCG OddsAway
CaliforniaCCG OddsHome
CharlotteCLT@North CarolinaUNC
3.4%
(+0.4%)		3.0%
(-0.0%)
TennesseeTENN@NC StateNCSU
3.0%
(+0.0%)		3.0%
(-0.1%)
MarshallMRSH@Virginia TechVT
3.0%
(+0.0%)		3.0%
(+0.0%)
Jacksonville StJXST@LouisvilleLOU
3.1%
(+0.1%)		3.0%
(-0.0%)
Florida A&MFAMU@Miami FLMIA
3.1%
(+0.0%)		3.0%
(+0.0%)
Boston CollegeBC@Florida StFSU
3.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(-3.0%)
DuquesneDUQ@Boston CollegeBC
3.0%
(-0.1%)		3.0%
(+0.0%)
Appalachian StAPP@ClemsonCLEM
2.9%
(-0.1%)		3.1%
(+0.1%)
PittsburghPITT@CincinnatiCIN
3.0%
(-0.0%)		3.0%
(+0.0%)
Cal PolyCP@StanfordSTAN
3.1%
(+0.1%)		3.0%
(-0.0%)
DukeDUKE@NorthwesternNU
3.0%
(-0.0%)		3.0%
(+0.0%)
VirginiaUVA@Wake ForestWAKE
3.0%
(-0.0%)		3.0%
(+0.0%)
BYUBYU@SMUSMU
3.0%
(-0.1%)		3.0%
(+0.0%)
Georgia TechGT@SyracuseSYR
2.8%
(-0.2%)		3.5%
(+0.4%)
CaliforniaCAL@AuburnAUB
3.0%
(-0.0%)		3.0%
(+0.0%)

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

CaliforniaLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
California CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 1 loss
93.0%
0.1%
Oregon St
100.0%
<0.1%
Auburn
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida St
100.0%
<0.1%
San Diego St
100.0%
<0.1%
Stanford
100.0%
<0.1%
Wake Forest
100.0%
<0.1%
Miami FL
90.0%
<0.1%
NC State
88.9%
<0.1%
Pittsburgh
84.6%
<0.1%
SMU
83.3%
<0.1%
Syracuse
75.0%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
58.2%
0.9%
AuburnOregon St
100.0%
<0.1%
Oregon StStanford
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnSyracuse
100.0%
<0.1%
Oregon StSyracuse
100.0%
<0.1%
PittsburghStanford
100.0%
<0.1%
Oregon StSan Diego St
100.0%
<0.1%
PittsburghSan Diego St
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnWake Forest
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnSan Diego St
100.0%
<0.1%
Miami FLSan Diego St
100.0%
<0.1%
NC StateSyracuse
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida StOregon St
93.0%
<0.1%
SMUSan Diego St
92.9%
<0.1%
AuburnFlorida St
92.3%
<0.1%
Oregon StSMU
89.8%
<0.1%
AuburnSMU
89.1%
<0.1%
Oregon StWake Forest
88.9%
<0.1%
AuburnMiami FL
88.9%
<0.1%
AuburnPittsburgh
88.2%
<0.1%
AuburnNC State
87.5%
<0.1%
Oregon StPittsburgh
87.5%
<0.1%
Miami FLOregon St
87.5%
<0.1%
NC StateOregon St
86.2%
<0.1%
San Diego StWake Forest
83.3%
<0.1%
PittsburghWake Forest
77.8%
<0.1%
AuburnStanford
66.7%
<0.1%
Florida StSan Diego St
66.7%
<0.1%
NC StateStanford
66.7%
<0.1%
Miami FLSyracuse
50.0%
<0.1%
San Diego StStanford
50.0%
<0.1%
Florida StPittsburgh
46.4%
<0.1%
Miami FLWake Forest
45.5%
<0.1%
PittsburghSyracuse
42.9%
<0.1%
SMUSyracuse
40.0%
<0.1%
Florida StNC State
37.5%
<0.1%
NC StateWake Forest
37.5%
<0.1%
Florida StWake Forest
36.8%
<0.1%
Florida StSMU
34.6%
<0.1%
SyracuseWake Forest
33.3%
<0.1%
SMUWake Forest
32.1%
<0.1%
Florida StMiami FL
30.8%
<0.1%
Miami FLPittsburgh
25.0%
<0.1%
Miami FLNC State
21.1%
<0.1%
SMUStanford
20.0%
<0.1%
NC StateSMU
19.1%
<0.1%
PittsburghSMU
17.5%
<0.1%
Miami FLSMU
15.8%
<0.1%
Florida StSyracuse
14.3%
<0.1%
NC StatePittsburgh
9.1%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
40.9%
2.8%
Miami FLOregon StSan Diego St
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnOregon StWake Forest
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnOregon StSan Diego St
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnMiami FLSan Diego St
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnOregon StStanford
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnFlorida StSan Diego St
100.0%
<0.1%
Oregon StSan Diego StWake Forest
100.0%
<0.1%
Oregon StSan Diego StSyracuse
100.0%
<0.1%
Oregon StPittsburghSan Diego St
100.0%
<0.1%
San Diego StStanfordWake Forest
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnSan Diego StSyracuse
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnSan Diego StStanford
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnOregon StPittsburgh
96.7%
<0.1%
AuburnFlorida StOregon St
93.7%
<0.1%
Florida StOregon StSan Diego St
92.0%
<0.1%
AuburnNC StateSan Diego St
91.7%
<0.1%
AuburnSMUSan Diego St
90.0%
<0.1%
AuburnOregon StSyracuse
87.5%
<0.1%
AuburnSan Diego StWake Forest
87.5%
<0.1%
AuburnMiami FLOregon St
86.5%
<0.1%
AuburnOregon StSMU
86.4%
0.1%
AuburnPittsburghSan Diego St
85.7%
<0.1%
AuburnNC StateOregon St
84.6%
<0.1%
Oregon StSMUSan Diego St
84.2%
<0.1%
NC StateOregon StSan Diego St
77.8%
<0.1%
Oregon StSMUStanford
66.7%
<0.1%
AuburnSyracuseWake Forest
60.0%
<0.1%
Florida StPittsburghSan Diego St
55.6%
<0.1%
Florida StOregon StSyracuse
50.0%
<0.1%
Oregon StPittsburghSyracuse
50.0%
<0.1%
Oregon StPittsburghStanford
50.0%
<0.1%
AuburnNC StateSyracuse
50.0%
<0.1%
Florida StSan Diego StWake Forest
50.0%
<0.1%
Oregon StStanfordWake Forest
50.0%
<0.1%
Oregon StStanfordSyracuse
50.0%
<0.1%
Oregon StSan Diego StStanford
50.0%
<0.1%
Miami FLOregon StStanford
50.0%
<0.1%
Miami FLSan Diego StSyracuse
50.0%
<0.1%
Florida StOregon StStanford
44.4%
<0.1%
Oregon StSyracuseWake Forest
42.9%
<0.1%
SMUSan Diego StWake Forest
42.9%
<0.1%
AuburnMiami FLStanford
42.9%
<0.1%
Florida StOregon StWake Forest
42.3%
<0.1%
AuburnNC StateWake Forest
40.0%
<0.1%
AuburnSMUStanford
40.0%
<0.1%
NC StateSan Diego StSyracuse
40.0%
<0.1%
AuburnMiami FLSyracuse
40.0%
<0.1%
Oregon StPittsburghWake Forest
40.0%
<0.1%
Florida StMiami FLOregon St
38.6%
<0.1%
AuburnPittsburghWake Forest
38.1%
<0.1%
AuburnSMUSyracuse
37.9%
<0.1%
AuburnFlorida StSyracuse
37.5%
<0.1%
AuburnFlorida StStanford
37.5%
<0.1%
AuburnFlorida StMiami FL
36.1%
<0.1%
Florida StNC StateOregon St
35.0%
<0.1%
Florida StMiami FLSan Diego St
35.0%
<0.1%
NC StateOregon StWake Forest
34.8%
<0.1%
Florida StOregon StPittsburgh
34.6%
<0.1%
NC StateOregon StPittsburgh
34.5%
<0.1%
AuburnMiami FLNC State
34.2%
<0.1%
Oregon StSMUWake Forest
33.3%
<0.1%
AuburnFlorida StNC State
33.3%
<0.1%
Florida StSan Diego StStanford
33.3%
<0.1%
Miami FLNC StateSan Diego St
33.3%
<0.1%
AuburnPittsburghStanford
33.3%
<0.1%
AuburnStanfordSyracuse
33.3%
<0.1%
Oregon StPittsburghSMU
32.0%
<0.1%
AuburnFlorida StWake Forest
30.8%
<0.1%
AuburnFlorida StPittsburgh
30.4%
<0.1%
AuburnNC StatePittsburgh
29.6%
<0.1%
AuburnMiami FLWake Forest
29.6%
<0.1%
AuburnSMUWake Forest
29.5%
<0.1%
AuburnMiami FLSMU
29.4%
<0.1%
AuburnPittsburghSyracuse
28.6%
<0.1%
AuburnFlorida StSMU
28.2%
0.1%
Miami FLSMUSan Diego St
27.6%
<0.1%
Florida StOregon StSMU
27.5%
0.2%
Miami FLOregon StSyracuse
27.3%
<0.1%
Miami FLOregon StSMU
26.0%
<0.1%
SMUSan Diego StSyracuse
25.0%
<0.1%
Miami FLOregon StPittsburgh
25.0%
<0.1%
Miami FLOregon StWake Forest
25.0%
<0.1%
Florida StNC StateSan Diego St
25.0%
<0.1%
Miami FLPittsburghSan Diego St
25.0%
<0.1%
AuburnStanfordWake Forest
25.0%
<0.1%
Florida StSMUSan Diego St
24.3%
<0.1%
AuburnMiami FLPittsburgh
23.5%
<0.1%
NC StatePittsburghSan Diego St
22.2%
<0.1%
NC StateOregon StSyracuse
22.2%
<0.1%
NC StateOregon StSMU
21.7%
<0.1%
NC StateSan Diego StWake Forest
20.0%
<0.1%
Miami FLNC StateOregon St
19.4%
<0.1%
Oregon StSMUSyracuse
19.1%
<0.1%
PittsburghSMUSan Diego St
18.8%
<0.1%
AuburnPittsburghSMU
17.9%
<0.1%
Miami FLSan Diego StWake Forest
16.7%
<0.1%
AuburnNC StateSMU
16.5%
<0.1%
NC StateSMUSan Diego St
15.8%
<0.1%
Miami FLPittsburghWake Forest
5.6%
<0.1%
Florida StSMUStanford
4.8%
<0.1%
Florida StPittsburghWake Forest
3.0%
<0.1%
Miami FLPittsburghSMU
1.2%
<0.1%
Any 4 losses
22.0%
4.3%
AuburnOregon StSan Diego StSyracuse
100.0%
<0.1%
Oregon StSan Diego StSyracuseWake Forest
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnOregon StSan Diego StStanford
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnOregon StPittsburghSan Diego St
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnFlorida StOregon StSan Diego St
95.6%
<0.1%
AuburnOregon StSan Diego StWake Forest
90.9%
<0.1%
AuburnOregon StSMUSan Diego St
90.0%
<0.1%
AuburnNC StateOregon StSan Diego St
88.0%
<0.1%
AuburnMiami FLOregon StSan Diego St
75.0%
<0.1%
AuburnOregon StSyracuseWake Forest
71.4%
<0.1%
Oregon StPittsburghSan Diego StSyracuse
66.7%
<0.1%
AuburnFlorida StSan Diego StSyracuse
66.7%
<0.1%
AuburnPittsburghSan Diego StStanford
66.7%
<0.1%
AuburnFlorida StSan Diego StStanford
60.0%
<0.1%
AuburnFlorida StSan Diego StWake Forest
58.3%
<0.1%
AuburnNC StateSan Diego StSyracuse
57.1%
<0.1%
Florida StOregon StPittsburghSan Diego St
52.4%
<0.1%
AuburnFlorida StOregon StStanford
50.0%
<0.1%
Florida StOregon StSan Diego StWake Forest
50.0%
<0.1%
AuburnPittsburghSan Diego StWake Forest
50.0%
<0.1%
AuburnMiami FLSan Diego StStanford
50.0%
<0.1%
Florida StOregon StSan Diego StSyracuse
50.0%
<0.1%
NC StateOregon StSan Diego StStanford
50.0%
<0.1%
AuburnPittsburghSan Diego StSyracuse
50.0%
<0.1%
NC StateOregon StSan Diego StWake Forest
46.7%
<0.1%
AuburnFlorida StOregon StSyracuse
43.8%
<0.1%
AuburnMiami FLPittsburghSan Diego St
42.9%
<0.1%
AuburnMiami FLOregon StWake Forest
40.9%
<0.1%
AuburnSan Diego StSyracuseWake Forest
40.0%
<0.1%
AuburnOregon StPittsburghStanford
40.0%
<0.1%
AuburnOregon StStanfordWake Forest
40.0%
<0.1%
AuburnFlorida StOregon StPittsburgh
39.7%
<0.1%
AuburnNC StateOregon StSyracuse
39.1%
<0.1%
AuburnFlorida StNC StateSan Diego St
38.7%
<0.1%
AuburnFlorida StOregon StWake Forest
38.6%
<0.1%
AuburnOregon StPittsburghWake Forest
37.8%
<0.1%
AuburnOregon StSMUWake Forest
37.7%
0.1%
AuburnNC StateSan Diego StWake Forest
35.7%
<0.1%
AuburnOregon StPittsburghSyracuse
35.7%
<0.1%
AuburnMiami FLOregon StStanford
35.3%
<0.1%
AuburnFlorida StMiami FLOregon St
35.1%
0.1%
Florida StNC StateOregon StSan Diego St
33.3%
<0.1%
AuburnOregon StSMUStanford
33.3%
<0.1%
Miami FLOregon StSan Diego StSyracuse
33.3%
<0.1%
NC StateOregon StPittsburghSan Diego St
31.3%
<0.1%
Oregon StSMUSan Diego StSyracuse
30.8%
<0.1%
Oregon StSMUSan Diego StStanford
30.0%
<0.1%
Oregon StPittsburghSMUSan Diego St
29.4%
<0.1%
AuburnFlorida StPittsburghSan Diego St
28.6%
<0.1%
AuburnSMUSan Diego StStanford
28.6%
<0.1%
AuburnFlorida StNC StateOregon St
27.8%
0.1%
AuburnNC StatePittsburghSan Diego St
27.8%
<0.1%
AuburnSMUSan Diego StSyracuse
27.3%
<0.1%
AuburnOregon StPittsburghSMU
27.1%
0.1%
AuburnFlorida StOregon StSMU
26.1%
0.3%
AuburnMiami FLOregon StPittsburgh
26.0%
<0.1%
Oregon StPittsburghSan Diego StWake Forest
25.0%
<0.1%
Miami FLOregon StPittsburghSan Diego St
25.0%
<0.1%
NC StateOregon StSan Diego StSyracuse
25.0%
<0.1%
Miami FLPittsburghSan Diego StSyracuse
25.0%
<0.1%
Florida StOregon StSMUSan Diego St
24.7%
<0.1%
AuburnNC StateOregon StPittsburgh
24.5%
<0.1%
AuburnNC StateOregon StWake Forest
24.4%
<0.1%
Florida StMiami FLOregon StSan Diego St
24.3%
<0.1%
AuburnPittsburghSMUSan Diego St
23.7%
<0.1%
AuburnMiami FLNC StateSan Diego St
23.5%
<0.1%
AuburnNC StateSMUSan Diego St
22.6%
<0.1%
AuburnMiami FLNC StateOregon St
21.3%
<0.1%
AuburnSMUSan Diego StWake Forest
21.1%
<0.1%
AuburnFlorida StMiami FLSan Diego St
20.0%
<0.1%
PittsburghSMUSan Diego StSyracuse
20.0%
<0.1%
Miami FLOregon StStanfordSyracuse
20.0%
<0.1%
AuburnFlorida StSMUSan Diego St
18.8%
0.1%
AuburnMiami FLSMUSan Diego St
18.8%
<0.1%
AuburnMiami FLSan Diego StWake Forest
18.2%
<0.1%
Miami FLOregon StSMUSan Diego St
17.4%
<0.1%
AuburnMiami FLOregon StSMU
17.2%
0.2%
AuburnNC StateOregon StSMU
17.0%
0.1%
AuburnOregon StSMUSyracuse
17.0%
<0.1%
AuburnNC StateOregon StStanford
16.7%
<0.1%
AuburnMiami FLSan Diego StSyracuse
16.7%
<0.1%
Oregon StSMUSan Diego StWake Forest
16.1%
<0.1%
NC StateOregon StSMUSan Diego St
13.5%
<0.1%
Miami FLSMUSan Diego StStanford
11.1%
<0.1%
AuburnMiami FLOregon StSyracuse
9.5%
<0.1%
Miami FLOregon StSan Diego StWake Forest
7.7%
<0.1%
Florida StNC StatePittsburghSan Diego St
4.2%
<0.1%
AuburnPittsburghSMUSyracuse
3.1%
<0.1%
Florida StSMUSan Diego StWake Forest
3.1%
<0.1%
NC StatePittsburghSMUSan Diego St
2.3%
<0.1%
AuburnFlorida StPittsburghWake Forest
1.7%
<0.1%
Florida StNC StateSMUSan Diego St
1.7%
<0.1%
Florida StMiami FLOregon StWake Forest
1.6%
<0.1%
AuburnFlorida StMiami FLPittsburgh
1.3%
<0.1%
Oregon StPittsburghSMUWake Forest
1.2%
<0.1%
AuburnPittsburghSMUWake Forest
1.1%
<0.1%
AuburnNC StateSMUWake Forest
1.0%
0.1%
AuburnFlorida StMiami FLNC State
0.9%
0.1%
AuburnFlorida StPittsburghSMU
0.8%
0.3%
AuburnMiami FLPittsburghSMU
0.7%
0.1%
Florida StOregon StSMUWake Forest
0.6%
0.2%

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

CaliforniaCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com