NorthwesternWildcats

1-0 T1st (0-0) in B1G

Data from 2024-09-02 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.1%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/31	vsMiami (OH)M-OH(N)	W13-6
2	9/06	vsDukeDUKE(N)	Win prob:38%
3	9/14	vsEastern IllinoisEIU(N)	Win prob:90%
4	9/21	@WashingtonWASH	Win prob:16%
6	10/05	vsIndianaIU(N)	Win prob:62%
7	10/11	@MarylandMD	Win prob:20%
8	10/19	vsWisconsinWIS(N)	Win prob:39%
9	10/26	@IowaIOWA	Win prob:37%
10	11/02	@PurduePUR	Win prob:45%
12	11/16	vsOhio StateOSU(N)	Win prob:8%
13	11/23	@MichiganMICH	Win prob:5%
14	11/30	vsIllinoisILL(N)	Win prob:52%

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
9-0	0%	0%
8-1	0.0%	78.6%
7-2	0.2%	18.8%
6-3	1.7%	0.4%
5-4	7.6%	0%
4-5	19.8%	0%
3-6	30.0%	0%
2-7	26.2%	0%
1-8	12.2%	0%
0-9	2.3%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

40.0%

40.0%

20.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
ColoradoCOLO@NebraskaNEB	0.1% (+0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
TexasTEX@MichiganMICH	0.1% (+0.0%)	0.1% (-0.0%)
Iowa StateISU@IowaIOWA	0.1% (-0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
Eastern MichiganEMU@WashingtonWASH	0.1% (+0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
South DakotaSDAK@WisconsinWIS	0.1% (+0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
Utah StateUSU@USCUSC	0.0% (-0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
Michigan StateMSU@MarylandMD	0.1% (-0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
KansasKU@IllinoisILL	0.1% (+0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
DukeDUKE@NorthwesternNU	0.1% (-0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
AkronAKR@RutgersRUTG	0.1% (+0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
Bowling GreenBGSU@Penn StatePSU	0.0% (-0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
Western IllinoisWIU@IndianaIU	0.0% (-0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
Western MichiganWMU@Ohio StateOSU	0.1% (-0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
Rhode IslandURI@MinnesotaMINN	0.1% (+0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
Boise StateBOIS@OregonORE	0.0% (-0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Any 1 loss

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

Any 2 losses

12.1%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

75.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

33.3%

<0.1%

33.3%

<0.1%

33.3%

<0.1%

25.0%

<0.1%

21.4%

<0.1%

16.7%

<0.1%

14.3%

<0.1%

4.2%

<0.1%

Any 3 losses

12.4%

0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

60.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

33.3%

<0.1%

33.3%

<0.1%

28.6%

<0.1%

25.0%

<0.1%

25.0%

<0.1%

25.0%

<0.1%

20.0%

<0.1%

12.5%

<0.1%

4.8%

<0.1%

2.2%

<0.1%

Any 4 losses

2.5%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

7.1%

<0.1%

1.7%

<0.1%

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com