Virginia

VirginiaCavaliers

1-0 T3rd (0-0) in ACC

Data from 2024-09-02 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.1%

Based on 100,000 simulations

VirginiaSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/31
vsRichmondRICH
W34-13
29/07
@Wake ForestWAKE
Win prob:27%
39/14
vsMarylandMD
Win prob:13%
49/21
@Coastal CarCCU
Win prob:16%
610/05
vsBoston CollegeBC
Win prob:36%
710/12
vsLouisvilleLOU
Win prob:18%
810/19
@ClemsonCLEM
Win prob:11%
910/26
vsNorth CarolinaUNC
Win prob:26%
1111/09
@PittsburghPITT
Win prob:21%
1211/16
@Notre DameND
Win prob:3%
1311/23
vsSMUSMU
Win prob:14%
1411/30
@Virginia TechVT
Win prob:14%

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

VirginiaRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
0%
100.0%
7-1
0.0%
100.0%
6-2
0.1%
53.6%
5-3
1.0%
3.5%
4-4
4.9%
0%
3-5
15.8%
0%
2-6
30.6%
0%
1-7
32.8%
0%
0-8
14.8%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Virginia CCG Opponents

if Virginia makes the CCG

NC StateNC State
28.6%
Virginia TechVirginia Tech
28.6%
Boston CollegeBoston College
14.3%
MiamiMiami FL
14.3%
SMUSMU
14.3%

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

VirginiaThis Week's Impact

Game
VirginiaCCG OddsAway
VirginiaCCG OddsHome
CharlotteCLT@North CarolinaUNC
0.2%
(+0.1%)		0.1%
(+0.0%)
TennesseeTENN@NC StateNCSU
0.1%
(+0.0%)		0.1%
(-0.0%)
MarshallMRSH@Virginia TechVT
0.1%
(+0.0%)		0.1%
(+0.0%)
Jacksonville StJXST@LouisvilleLOU
0.1%
(+0.0%)		0.1%
(-0.0%)
Florida A&MFAMU@Miami FLMIA
0.1%
(-0.0%)		0.1%
(+0.0%)
Boston CollegeBC@Florida StFSU
0.1%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(-0.1%)
DuquesneDUQ@Boston CollegeBC
0.1%
(+0.0%)		0.1%
(+0.0%)
Appalachian StAPP@ClemsonCLEM
0.1%
(+0.0%)		0.1%
(+0.0%)
PittsburghPITT@CincinnatiCIN
0.1%
(+0.0%)		0.1%
(-0.0%)
Cal PolyCP@StanfordSTAN
0.1%
(-0.0%)		0.1%
(+0.0%)
DukeDUKE@NorthwesternNU
0.1%
(-0.0%)		0.1%
(+0.0%)
VirginiaUVA@Wake ForestWAKE
0.3%
(+0.2%)		0.0%
(-0.1%)
BYUBYU@SMUSMU
0.1%
(+0.0%)		0.1%
(-0.0%)
Georgia TechGT@SyracuseSYR
0.1%
(-0.0%)		0.1%
(+0.0%)
CaliforniaCAL@AuburnAUB
0.1%
(-0.0%)		0.1%
(+0.0%)

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

VirginiaLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Virginia CCG Probability
Likelihood
Boston CollegeNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
<0.1%
<0.1%
Coastal CarNotre DameSMU
100.0%
<0.1%
Notre DameSMUWake Forest
100.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonNotre DameVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
MarylandNotre DameVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarLouisvilleNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarMarylandNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleMarylandNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 4 losses
<0.1%
<0.1%
Coastal CarLouisvilleNotre DameVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonMarylandNotre DameVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarMarylandNotre DameVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarNorth CarolinaNotre DameVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarLouisvilleMarylandNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarPittsburghSMUVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonCoastal CarNotre DameVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonMarylandNotre DamePittsburgh
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarNotre DameVirginia TechWake Forest
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarMarylandNotre DameWake Forest
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeCoastal CarMarylandNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
MarylandNotre DameVirginia TechWake Forest
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleMarylandNotre DameWake Forest
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarNorth CarolinaNotre DameWake Forest
100.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonCoastal CarMarylandNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
MarylandNotre DameSMUWake Forest
66.7%
<0.1%
MarylandNotre DameSMUVirginia Tech
66.7%
<0.1%
MarylandNotre DamePittsburghSMU
50.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleMarylandNotre DamePittsburgh
50.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonMarylandNotre DameSMU
50.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeMarylandNotre DameSMU
33.3%
<0.1%

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

VirginiaCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com