BYU

BYUCougars

1-0 T1st (0-0) in B12

Data from 2024-09-02 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.3%

Based on 100,000 simulations

BYUSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/31
vsSouthern IllinoisSIU
W41-13
29/06
@SMUSMU
Win prob:13%
39/14
@WyomingWYO
Win prob:50%
49/21
vsKansas StKSU
Win prob:13%
59/28
@BaylorBAY
Win prob:40%
710/12
vsArizonaARIZ
Win prob:19%
810/18
vsOklahoma StOKST
Win prob:42%
910/26
@UCFUCF
Win prob:22%
1111/09
@UtahUTAH
Win prob:18%
1211/16
vsKansasKU
Win prob:29%
1311/23
@Arizona StASU
Win prob:31%
1411/30
vsHoustonHOU
Win prob:59%

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

BYURecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
9-0
0%
0%
8-1
0.0%
100.0%
7-2
0.3%
64.1%
6-3
1.7%
7.0%
5-4
6.8%
0%
4-5
17.5%
0%
3-6
28.2%
0%
2-7
27.5%
0%
1-8
14.7%
0%
0-9
3.3%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely BYU CCG Opponents

if BYU makes the CCG

Kansas StateKansas St
51.9%
ArizonaArizona
25.9%
UtahUtah
7.4%
Iowa StateIowa St
7.4%
TCUTCU
7.4%

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

BYUThis Week's Impact

Game
BYUCCG OddsAway
BYUCCG OddsHome
Texas TechTTU@Washington StWSU
0.3%
(-0.0%)		0.3%
(+0.0%)
ColoradoCOLO@NebraskaNEB
0.3%
(+0.0%)		0.3%
(-0.0%)
Iowa StISU@IowaIOWA
0.3%
(+0.0%)		0.3%
(-0.0%)
BaylorBAY@UtahUTAH
0.3%
(+0.0%)		0.3%
(+0.0%)
Long Island UniversityLIU@TCUTCU
0.3%
(+0.0%)		0.3%
(+0.0%)
ArkansasARK@Oklahoma StOKST
0.3%
(+0.0%)		0.3%
(-0.0%)
Mississippi StMSST@Arizona StASU
0.3%
(-0.0%)		0.3%
(+0.0%)
KansasKU@IllinoisILL
0.3%
(-0.0%)		0.3%
(+0.0%)
Sam Houston StSHSU@UCFUCF
0.3%
(+0.0%)		0.3%
(-0.0%)
PittsburghPITT@CincinnatiCIN
0.3%
(-0.0%)		0.3%
(+0.0%)
BYUBYU@SMUSMU
0.4%
(+0.1%)		0.3%
(-0.0%)
UAlbanyUALB@West VirginiaWVU
0.4%
(+0.1%)		0.3%
(-0.0%)
Kansas StKSU@TulaneTULN
0.3%
(-0.0%)		0.4%
(+0.1%)
HoustonHOU@OklahomaOU
0.4%
(+0.1%)		0.3%
(-0.0%)
Northern ArizonaNAU@ArizonaARIZ
0.2%
(-0.1%)		0.3%
(+0.0%)

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

BYULoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
BYU CCG Probability
Likelihood
Any 1 loss
<0.1%
<0.1%
Kansas
100.0%
<0.1%
Utah
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
<0.1%
<0.1%
Kansas StSMU
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaKansas
100.0%
<0.1%
SMUUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
Kansas StUtah
100.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StSMU
100.0%
<0.1%
Kansas StOklahoma St
100.0%
<0.1%
KansasSMU
100.0%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StUtah
100.0%
<0.1%
KansasUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonUtah
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaOklahoma St
100.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
KansasUtah
100.0%
<0.1%
BaylorOklahoma St
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonSMU
100.0%
<0.1%
Kansas StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonKansas St
50.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaKansas St
50.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StKansas St
50.0%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
46.8%
0.1%
KansasOklahoma StSMU
100.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StKansasKansas St
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaBaylorSMU
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaArizona StBaylor
100.0%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StSMUWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaOklahoma StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StUCFWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
KansasUCFWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
BaylorUCFWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaArizona StSMU
100.0%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StSMUUtah
100.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StOklahoma StSMU
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonOklahoma StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
BaylorSMUUtah
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaHoustonSMU
100.0%
<0.1%
BaylorKansasWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
Kansas StUCFWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
SMUUtahWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StHoustonSMU
100.0%
<0.1%
BaylorSMUUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
Kansas StSMUWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
BaylorKansas StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonKansas StSMU
100.0%
<0.1%
BaylorSMUWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
SMUUCFWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StKansas StSMU
100.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StBaylorSMU
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaOklahoma StSMU
75.0%
<0.1%
BaylorKansas StSMU
71.4%
<0.1%
ArizonaUtahWyoming
66.7%
<0.1%
KansasKansas StSMU
66.7%
<0.1%
Arizona StSMUUtah
66.7%
<0.1%
ArizonaSMUUtah
66.7%
<0.1%
BaylorOklahoma StSMU
66.7%
<0.1%
Kansas StSMUUtah
61.5%
<0.1%
ArizonaSMUUCF
60.0%
<0.1%
SMUUCFUtah
50.0%
<0.1%
KansasSMUUtah
50.0%
<0.1%
Kansas StOklahoma StSMU
50.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaKansasKansas St
50.0%
<0.1%
Kansas StUtahWyoming
50.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StSMUUCF
50.0%
<0.1%
Kansas StSMUUCF
33.3%
<0.1%
ArizonaBaylorUtah
33.3%
<0.1%
KansasSMUUCF
33.3%
<0.1%
ArizonaKansas StUtah
25.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StKansas StUCF
20.0%
<0.1%
KansasUCFUtah
20.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaKansas StSMU
18.2%
<0.1%
Any 4 losses
24.1%
0.4%
HoustonOklahoma StSMUWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
BaylorKansas StOklahoma StWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaArizona StSMUWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
BaylorHoustonUCFWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
KansasOklahoma StSMUWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StBaylorSMUUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StKansasUCFWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StOklahoma StUCFWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
KansasSMUUCFWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StSMUUCFWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonOklahoma StSMUUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StKansasUtahWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaBaylorSMUWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StKansasSMUWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaSMUUCFWyoming
90.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StKansas StSMUWyoming
90.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StSMUUtahWyoming
83.3%
<0.1%
SMUUCFUtahWyoming
81.8%
<0.1%
ArizonaOklahoma StSMUWyoming
75.0%
<0.1%
KansasSMUUtahWyoming
66.7%
<0.1%
Kansas StSMUUtahWyoming
63.6%
<0.1%
Kansas StSMUUCFWyoming
62.5%
<0.1%
ArizonaKansas StSMUWyoming
57.1%
<0.1%
BaylorSMUUCFWyoming
50.0%
<0.1%
HoustonKansas StSMUWyoming
50.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaBaylorKansasSMU
50.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StBaylorHoustonSMU
50.0%
<0.1%
BaylorKansasOklahoma StWyoming
50.0%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StSMUUtahWyoming
50.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StUCFUtahWyoming
50.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StHoustonSMUUCF
50.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaKansasSMUWyoming
40.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaSMUUtahWyoming
40.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StKansas StUtahWyoming
33.3%
<0.1%
ArizonaKansasUCFWyoming
33.3%
<0.1%
HoustonSMUUCFUtah
33.3%
<0.1%
BaylorHoustonSMUUCF
33.3%
<0.1%
Kansas StOklahoma StUtahWyoming
33.3%
<0.1%
BaylorKansas StUtahWyoming
33.3%
<0.1%
KansasKansas StOklahoma StSMU
25.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StSMUUCFWyoming
25.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StKansasOklahoma StSMU
25.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaBaylorOklahoma StSMU
25.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaArizona StBaylorSMU
25.0%
<0.1%
HoustonKansas StUCFWyoming
20.0%
<0.1%
KansasOklahoma StSMUUCF
20.0%
<0.1%
KansasKansas StUtahWyoming
16.7%
<0.1%
Arizona StOklahoma StSMUUtah
16.7%
<0.1%
Arizona StKansasSMUUtah
16.7%
<0.1%
Arizona StBaylorKansas StSMU
16.7%
<0.1%
BaylorKansas StSMUUCF
15.4%
<0.1%
ArizonaHoustonKansas StSMU
12.5%
<0.1%
ArizonaKansas StOklahoma StSMU
11.8%
<0.1%
BaylorKansas StSMUUtah
11.8%
<0.1%
ArizonaOklahoma StSMUUCF
11.1%
<0.1%
ArizonaBaylorSMUUCF
10.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StKansas StSMUUtah
9.5%
<0.1%
Arizona StKansasKansas StSMU
9.1%
<0.1%
KansasKansas StSMUUtah
7.7%
<0.1%
ArizonaSMUUCFUtah
6.9%
<0.1%
Arizona StKansas StSMUUCF
6.7%
<0.1%
ArizonaKansasSMUUCF
6.3%
<0.1%
ArizonaKansasKansas StSMU
4.0%
<0.1%

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

BYUCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com