SEC Championship Probabilities

CCG Odds by Conference Record

Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record

Team	8-0	7-1	6-2	5-3	Overall
GeorgiaUGA	100%	90.2%	18.1%	<0.1%	62.4%
AlabamaALA	100%	90.3%	19.5%	0.1%	47.5%
TexasTEX	99.9%	66.7%	5.4%	-	40.6%
LSULSU	99.9%	59.5%	4.6%	-	15.5%
OklahomaOU	100%	91.0%	28.7%	0.1%	15.2%
MissouriMIZ	99.0%	50.9%	2.6%	-	7.2%
TennesseeTENN	99.7%	74.1%	4.6%	<0.1%	4.7%
Texas A&MTA&M	99.7%	54.1%	3.3%	-	3.9%
Ole MissMISS	99.0%	64.2%	4.9%	-	1.7%
KentuckyUK	100%	68.8%	4.9%	-	0.8%
South CarolinaSC	-	75.5%	10.0%	<0.1%	0.2%
AuburnAUB	100%	89.7%	11.7%	-	0.1%
FloridaFLA	100%	100%	22.9%	0.3%	<0.1%
ArkansasARK	-	40.0%	15.8%	<0.1%	<0.1%
Mississippi StateMSST	-	100%	9.2%	0.2%	<0.1%
VanderbiltVAN	-	-	100%	-	-

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Team	8-0	7-1	6-2	5-3	4-4	3-5	2-6	1-7	0-8	Avg Wins
GeorgiaUGA(0-0)	20.3%	41.0%	28.8%	8.6%	1.2%	<0.1%	<0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	6.7
TexasTEX(0-0)	13.8%	37.6%	33.1%	12.8%	2.5%	0.2%	<0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	6.5
AlabamaALA(0-0)	11.7%	32.4%	33.4%	17.1%	4.7%	0.7%	<0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	6.3
LSULSU(0-0)	3.6%	17.6%	31.9%	28.6%	13.9%	3.8%	0.6%	<0.1%	0.0%	5.5
MissouriMIZ(0-0)	1.1%	10.5%	28.9%	33.2%	19.3%	5.9%	0.9%	<0.1%	<0.1%	5.2
OklahomaOU(0-0)	1.3%	8.2%	22.0%	30.0%	24.1%	11.1%	2.8%	0.4%	<0.1%	4.9
TennesseeTENN(0-0)	0.3%	4.6%	20.6%	37.6%	26.3%	8.8%	1.6%	0.1%	0.0%	4.8
Texas A&MTA&M(0-0)	0.6%	5.1%	16.5%	27.7%	27.6%	15.9%	5.4%	1.1%	<0.1%	4.5
Ole MissMISS(0-0)	0.1%	1.8%	9.3%	23.7%	31.3%	22.7%	9.2%	1.8%	0.2%	4.0
KentuckyUK(0-0)	<0.1%	0.8%	6.1%	20.4%	32.8%	26.8%	11.0%	2.0%	0.1%	3.8
AuburnAUB(0-0)	0.0%	<0.1%	0.7%	4.9%	18.7%	34.4%	30.1%	10.3%	1.0%	2.8
South CarolinaSC(0-0)	0.0%	0.1%	1.0%	5.6%	17.4%	30.3%	29.3%	14.1%	2.4%	2.7
FloridaFLA(0-0)	0.0%	<0.1%	0.2%	1.5%	7.4%	21.5%	33.6%	27.1%	8.7%	2.0
Mississippi StateMSST(0-0)	0.0%	<0.1%	<0.1%	0.9%	5.9%	20.2%	35.9%	28.5%	8.5%	1.9
ArkansasARK(0-0)	0.0%	<0.1%	0.1%	1.2%	5.9%	18.1%	32.1%	30.6%	12.0%	1.8
VanderbiltVAN(0-0)	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	<0.1%	0.3%	2.5%	14.0%	39.5%	43.7%	0.8

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com