Arizona

ArizonaWildcats

2-0 T1st (0-0) in B12

Data from 2024-09-08 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

48.6%

Based on 100,000 simulations

ArizonaSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/31
vsNew MexicoUNM
W61-39
29/07
vsNorthern ArizonaNAU
W22-10
39/13
@Kansas StKSU
Win prob:35%
59/28
@UtahUTAH
Win prob:58%
610/05
vsTexas TechTTU
Win prob:85%
710/12
@BYUBYU
Win prob:81%
810/19
vsColoradoCOLO
Win prob:94%
910/26
vsWest VirginiaWVU
Win prob:82%
1011/02
@UCFUCF
Win prob:56%
1211/15
vsHoustonHOU
Win prob:90%
1311/23
@TCUTCU
Win prob:63%
1411/30
vsArizona StASU
Win prob:84%

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

ArizonaRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
9-0
8.4%
100.0%
8-1
25.6%
94.1%
7-2
32.4%
47.6%
6-3
22.0%
3.0%
5-4
8.9%
0%
4-5
2.3%
0%
3-6
0.3%
0%
2-7
0.0%
0%
1-8
0%
0%
0-9
0%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Arizona CCG Opponents

if Arizona makes the CCG

Kansas StateKansas St
64.4%
UCFUCF
10.8%
Iowa StateIowa St
9.0%
UtahUtah
8.9%
TCUTCU
6.9%

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

ArizonaThis Week's Impact

Game
ArizonaCCG OddsAway
ArizonaCCG OddsHome
UCFUCF@TCUTCU
48.1%
(-0.5%)		49.0%
(+0.5%)
Arizona StASU@Texas StTXST
48.5%
(-0.0%)		48.6%
(+0.0%)
ArizonaARIZ@Kansas StKSU
48.9%
(+0.3%)		48.4%
(-0.2%)
BYUBYU@WyomingWYO
48.8%
(+0.2%)		48.3%
(-0.3%)
Oklahoma StOKST@TulsaTLSA
48.7%
(+0.1%)		48.2%
(-0.4%)
North TexasUNT@Texas TechTTU
48.2%
(-0.4%)		48.8%
(+0.2%)
Air ForceAF@BaylorBAY
48.5%
(-0.1%)		48.6%
(+0.1%)
CincinnatiCIN@Miami OHM-OH
48.8%
(+0.2%)		48.5%
(-0.1%)
UtahUTAH@Utah StUSU
48.5%
(-0.0%)		48.7%
(+0.1%)
ColoradoCOLO@Colorado StCSU
48.5%
(-0.0%)		48.6%
(+0.0%)
UNLVUNLV@KansasKU
48.6%
(+0.0%)		48.5%
(-0.0%)
RiceRICE@HoustonHOU
48.9%
(+0.3%)		48.4%
(-0.1%)
West VirginiaWVU@PittsburghPITT
48.4%
(-0.1%)		48.7%
(+0.1%)

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

ArizonaLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Arizona CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
2.9%
Any 1 loss
96.5%
14.5%
Kansas St
100.0%
5.5%
Texas Tech
96.9%
0.5%
Houston
96.8%
0.3%
Colorado
96.3%
0.2%
Arizona St
94.7%
0.6%
Utah
94.7%
2.1%
West Virginia
94.7%
0.7%
TCU
94.2%
1.7%
BYU
94.2%
0.7%
UCF
93.4%
2.4%
Any 2 losses
75.2%
27.9%
Kansas StTexas Tech
96.9%
1.0%
BYUKansas St
95.2%
1.2%
Arizona StKansas St
94.5%
1.0%
ColoradoKansas St
94.3%
0.4%
HoustonKansas St
94.2%
0.6%
Kansas StUtah
94.2%
3.8%
Kansas StWest Virginia
93.5%
1.2%
Kansas StTCU
93.2%
3.1%
Kansas StUCF
93.1%
4.3%
ColoradoTexas Tech
71.4%
<0.1%
HoustonTexas Tech
68.3%
<0.1%
Arizona StColorado
67.7%
<0.1%
BYUHouston
63.6%
<0.1%
Arizona StBYU
63.5%
0.1%
BYUTexas Tech
62.3%
0.1%
ColoradoTCU
62.0%
<0.1%
HoustonWest Virginia
60.8%
<0.1%
Arizona StTexas Tech
60.2%
0.1%
ColoradoWest Virginia
58.8%
<0.1%
BYUWest Virginia
58.7%
0.1%
BYUColorado
57.5%
<0.1%
TCUTexas Tech
55.8%
0.3%
Arizona StHouston
55.6%
<0.1%
Arizona StWest Virginia
55.4%
0.1%
HoustonUCF
53.8%
0.3%
Texas TechUCF
53.4%
0.4%
Texas TechUtah
53.2%
0.4%
Texas TechWest Virginia
52.7%
0.1%
HoustonTCU
52.6%
0.2%
Arizona StUtah
50.9%
0.4%
BYUTCU
50.6%
0.4%
ColoradoHouston
50.0%
<0.1%
BYUUCF
49.9%
0.6%
ColoradoUCF
49.0%
0.1%
BYUUtah
48.9%
0.5%
Arizona StTCU
48.9%
0.3%
TCUWest Virginia
47.7%
0.4%
HoustonUtah
46.8%
0.2%
UtahWest Virginia
46.1%
0.5%
ColoradoUtah
45.9%
0.1%
UCFWest Virginia
44.2%
0.5%
UCFUtah
43.9%
1.7%
TCUUCF
42.2%
1.3%
Arizona StUCF
42.1%
0.4%
TCUUtah
41.7%
1.2%
Any 3 losses
35.9%
28.5%
ColoradoHoustonKansas St
77.8%
<0.1%
BYUColoradoKansas St
68.4%
<0.1%
BYUKansas StTexas Tech
66.8%
0.2%
HoustonKansas StTexas Tech
64.9%
<0.1%
BYUHoustonKansas St
61.3%
0.1%
ColoradoKansas StTCU
58.5%
0.2%
Arizona StBYUKansas St
57.7%
0.2%
Kansas StTexas TechWest Virginia
57.4%
0.2%
ColoradoKansas StWest Virginia
56.8%
<0.1%
Arizona StKansas StTexas Tech
56.6%
0.2%
BYUKansas StTCU
55.3%
0.8%
Arizona StHoustonKansas St
55.3%
0.1%
BYUKansas StWest Virginia
55.2%
0.3%
ColoradoKansas StUCF
54.9%
0.3%
ColoradoKansas StTexas Tech
54.5%
<0.1%
Kansas StTexas TechUCF
54.5%
0.8%
Kansas StTexas TechUtah
54.2%
0.7%
Kansas StTCUTexas Tech
53.9%
0.6%
HoustonKansas StWest Virginia
53.5%
0.1%
Arizona StKansas StWest Virginia
52.9%
0.2%
HoustonKansas StUCF
52.6%
0.5%
ColoradoKansas StUtah
51.2%
0.2%
Arizona StKansas StTCU
51.1%
0.6%
Arizona StColoradoKansas St
50.7%
<0.1%
HoustonKansas StUtah
50.7%
0.4%
HoustonKansas StTCU
50.1%
0.4%
Arizona StColoradoHouston
50.0%
<0.1%
BYUKansas StUtah
48.1%
1.0%
Kansas StTCUWest Virginia
46.4%
0.6%
BYUKansas StUCF
45.8%
1.0%
Arizona StKansas StUtah
45.6%
0.7%
Kansas StUCFUtah
43.5%
3.1%
Kansas StUtahWest Virginia
43.5%
0.9%
Arizona StKansas StUCF
43.3%
0.8%
Kansas StTCUUCF
42.0%
2.5%
Kansas StTCUUtah
41.9%
2.2%
Kansas StUCFWest Virginia
39.8%
0.9%
Arizona StHoustonWest Virginia
23.1%
<0.1%
BYUColoradoTexas Tech
20.0%
<0.1%
ColoradoUtahWest Virginia
16.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StColoradoUtah
15.8%
<0.1%
BYUColoradoTCU
15.4%
<0.1%
BYUColoradoUtah
14.8%
<0.1%
Arizona StBYUHouston
14.3%
<0.1%
BYUColoradoWest Virginia
14.3%
<0.1%
BYUHoustonTCU
10.6%
<0.1%
ColoradoHoustonTCU
10.0%
<0.1%
BYUTexas TechUtah
8.5%
<0.1%
BYUHoustonUCF
8.3%
<0.1%
Arizona StBYUTCU
8.0%
<0.1%
ColoradoTexas TechUCF
7.7%
<0.1%
Arizona StTexas TechWest Virginia
6.7%
<0.1%
ColoradoTCUUtah
6.6%
<0.1%
Arizona StHoustonTCU
6.5%
<0.1%
Arizona StColoradoUCF
6.3%
<0.1%
ColoradoTexas TechUtah
5.9%
<0.1%
HoustonUtahWest Virginia
5.6%
<0.1%
BYUColoradoUCF
5.6%
<0.1%
BYUHoustonTexas Tech
5.6%
<0.1%
TCUTexas TechWest Virginia
5.5%
<0.1%
Arizona StTexas TechUCF
5.4%
<0.1%
Arizona StBYUTexas Tech
5.3%
<0.1%
ColoradoUCFUtah
5.1%
0.1%
HoustonTexas TechUCF
4.9%
<0.1%
BYUTCUUtah
4.8%
0.3%
Arizona StUtahWest Virginia
4.6%
<0.1%
Arizona StBYUUtah
4.3%
<0.1%
BYUTCUUCF
4.2%
0.3%
HoustonTexas TechUtah
4.2%
<0.1%
ColoradoTCUWest Virginia
4.2%
<0.1%
HoustonUCFUtah
4.0%
0.2%
BYUUtahWest Virginia
4.0%
0.1%
BYUHoustonUtah
4.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StBYUWest Virginia
3.7%
<0.1%
TCUTexas TechUCF
3.7%
0.2%
BYUTCUTexas Tech
3.7%
<0.1%
HoustonUCFWest Virginia
3.5%
<0.1%
Arizona StUCFWest Virginia
3.3%
<0.1%
BYUUCFWest Virginia
3.1%
0.1%
TCUTexas TechUtah
3.0%
0.2%
HoustonTCUUCF
3.0%
0.2%
Texas TechUCFUtah
2.9%
0.3%
BYUUCFUtah
2.8%
0.4%
Texas TechUCFWest Virginia
2.5%
<0.1%
Arizona StHoustonUtah
2.5%
<0.1%
Arizona StTCUUCF
2.4%
0.3%
TCUUtahWest Virginia
2.4%
0.3%
HoustonTCUUtah
2.3%
0.1%
BYUTCUWest Virginia
2.2%
<0.1%
Arizona StBYUUCF
2.1%
<0.1%
Arizona StHoustonUCF
1.9%
<0.1%
BYUTexas TechUCF
1.9%
0.1%
TCUUCFWest Virginia
1.9%
0.3%
Arizona StTCUUtah
1.8%
0.2%
Arizona StTCUTexas Tech
1.7%
<0.1%
Arizona StTCUWest Virginia
1.6%
<0.1%
Arizona StUCFUtah
1.4%
0.4%
Arizona StTexas TechUtah
1.4%
<0.1%
Texas TechUtahWest Virginia
1.4%
<0.1%
TCUUCFUtah
1.4%
1.0%
UCFUtahWest Virginia
1.1%
0.4%
Any 4 losses
3.0%
14.1%
BYUColoradoHoustonKansas St
20.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StBYUHoustonKansas St
13.0%
<0.1%
HoustonKansas StTexas TechUtah
12.0%
<0.1%
HoustonKansas StTexas TechWest Virginia
11.5%
<0.1%
Arizona StHoustonKansas StTexas Tech
11.1%
<0.1%
Arizona StBYUKansas StTexas Tech
10.8%
<0.1%
Arizona StColoradoKansas StWest Virginia
10.0%
<0.1%
HoustonKansas StTCUTexas Tech
9.6%
<0.1%
BYUKansas StTexas TechUCF
8.4%
0.2%
BYUHoustonKansas StTCU
7.8%
<0.1%
BYUColoradoKansas StWest Virginia
7.7%
<0.1%
Kansas StTCUTexas TechWest Virginia
7.4%
<0.1%
HoustonKansas StUtahWest Virginia
7.0%
0.1%
ColoradoKansas StUCFUtah
6.8%
0.1%
HoustonKansas StTexas TechUCF
6.7%
<0.1%
ColoradoKansas StTCUTexas Tech
6.3%
<0.1%
Arizona StBYUKansas StTCU
5.7%
0.1%
Kansas StTexas TechUtahWest Virginia
5.7%
0.2%
BYUColoradoKansas StUtah
5.7%
<0.1%
HoustonKansas StUCFWest Virginia
5.5%
0.1%
BYUColoradoKansas StUCF
5.5%
<0.1%
Arizona StHoustonKansas StUtah
5.4%
<0.1%
ColoradoKansas StTexas TechUCF
5.4%
<0.1%
BYUKansas StUCFWest Virginia
5.3%
0.2%
BYUKansas StTCUWest Virginia
5.3%
0.1%
BYUHoustonKansas StUCF
5.1%
0.1%
ColoradoKansas StTexas TechUtah
4.8%
<0.1%
BYUKansas StUtahWest Virginia
4.4%
0.2%
Arizona StHoustonKansas StTCU
4.3%
<0.1%
ColoradoHoustonKansas StUCF
4.2%
<0.1%
BYUKansas StTexas TechUtah
4.2%
0.2%
Arizona StHoustonKansas StWest Virginia
4.2%
<0.1%
Arizona StColoradoKansas StUtah
4.0%
<0.1%
Kansas StTexas TechUCFWest Virginia
3.9%
0.1%
Kansas StTCUTexas TechUtah
3.9%
0.4%
Arizona StKansas StTexas TechWest Virginia
3.7%
<0.1%
ColoradoKansas StTCUUtah
3.6%
0.1%
ColoradoHoustonKansas StUtah
3.6%
<0.1%
BYUKansas StTCUTexas Tech
3.4%
0.1%
Arizona StBYUKansas StWest Virginia
3.4%
<0.1%
Arizona StKansas StUCFWest Virginia
3.2%
0.2%
Kansas StTCUTexas TechUCF
3.1%
0.4%
Arizona StColoradoKansas StTCU
3.1%
<0.1%
BYUKansas StTCUUtah
3.1%
0.5%
Arizona StKansas StTCUTexas Tech
2.9%
0.1%
BYUHoustonKansas StUtah
2.9%
0.1%
BYUKansas StUCFUtah
2.9%
0.7%
Arizona StBYUKansas StUtah
2.9%
0.2%
BYUHoustonKansas StWest Virginia
2.8%
<0.1%
BYUKansas StTCUUCF
2.6%
0.6%
Kansas StTexas TechUCFUtah
2.6%
0.5%
HoustonKansas StTCUUCF
2.5%
0.3%
Arizona StBYUKansas StUCF
2.4%
0.2%
ColoradoKansas StUtahWest Virginia
2.4%
<0.1%
Arizona StKansas StTCUUCF
2.4%
0.5%
ColoradoKansas StTCUWest Virginia
2.3%
<0.1%
Arizona StKansas StTCUUtah
2.2%
0.4%
BYUColoradoKansas StTCU
2.2%
<0.1%
Arizona StHoustonKansas StUCF
2.1%
<0.1%
Arizona StKansas StUCFUtah
1.9%
0.6%
ColoradoKansas StUCFWest Virginia
1.9%
<0.1%
Kansas StTCUUCFUtah
1.9%
1.9%
Arizona StKansas StUtahWest Virginia
1.8%
0.2%
Kansas StTCUUCFWest Virginia
1.6%
0.5%
Arizona StKansas StTexas TechUtah
1.5%
0.1%
Kansas StUCFUtahWest Virginia
1.5%
0.7%
HoustonKansas StTCUWest Virginia
1.4%
<0.1%
Arizona StKansas StTexas TechUCF
1.3%
0.2%
Kansas StTCUUtahWest Virginia
1.3%
0.5%
HoustonKansas StUCFUtah
1.2%
0.3%
HoustonKansas StTCUUtah
1.1%
0.3%
Arizona StKansas StTCUWest Virginia
0.8%
0.1%
ColoradoKansas StTCUUCF
0.7%
0.1%

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

ArizonaCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com