SEC Championship Probabilities

CCG Odds by Conference Record

Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record

Team	8-0	7-1	6-2	5-3	Overall
GeorgiaUGA	100%	91.9%	13.1%	<0.1%	56.7%
TexasTEX	99.8%	58.2%	3.2%	-	47.7%
AlabamaALA	100%	88.8%	16.7%	<0.1%	41.6%
LSULSU	99.9%	60.4%	3.8%	-	12.5%
MissouriMIZ	99.1%	48.9%	2.2%	-	11.8%
TennesseeTENN	99.6%	65.8%	2.5%	-	11.2%
OklahomaOU	100%	92.6%	30.0%	<0.1%	8.2%
Ole MissMISS	99.7%	61.8%	3.3%	-	6.9%
Texas A&MTA&M	99.3%	57.0%	3.0%	-	2.3%
South CarolinaSC	100%	70.4%	8.9%	-	1.0%
AuburnAUB	-	87.5%	9.7%	-	<0.1%
KentuckyUK	-	50.0%	14.2%	-	<0.1%
ArkansasARK	-	50.0%	28.6%	-	<0.1%
FloridaFLA	-	66.7%	10.1%	-	<0.1%
Mississippi StateMSST	-	-	15.4%	-	-
VanderbiltVAN	-	-	-	-	-

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

Team	8-0	7-1	6-2	5-3	4-4	3-5	2-6	1-7	0-8	Avg Wins
TexasTEX(0-0)	21.2%	44.1%	26.9%	6.9%	0.9%	<0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	6.8
GeorgiaUGA(0-0)	16.7%	39.0%	31.5%	10.8%	1.8%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	6.6
AlabamaALA(0-0)	9.8%	29.4%	34.1%	19.6%	6.0%	1.0%	<0.1%	<0.1%	0.0%	6.1
MissouriMIZ(0-0)	2.6%	17.4%	34.3%	29.8%	12.8%	2.9%	0.3%	<0.1%	0.0%	5.6
TennesseeTENN(0-0)	1.5%	13.4%	34.9%	35.3%	12.6%	2.2%	0.2%	<0.1%	0.0%	5.5
LSULSU(0-0)	2.7%	14.4%	29.4%	30.4%	16.7%	5.4%	0.9%	<0.1%	0.0%	5.4
Ole MissMISS(0-0)	1.0%	8.3%	24.1%	32.7%	23.4%	8.6%	1.7%	0.2%	<0.1%	5.0
OklahomaOU(0-0)	0.4%	3.9%	13.7%	26.2%	28.8%	18.5%	7.0%	1.3%	<0.1%	4.3
Texas A&MTA&M(0-0)	0.3%	3.0%	12.1%	25.3%	29.4%	20.3%	7.9%	1.6%	0.1%	4.2
South CarolinaSC(1-0)	<0.1%	0.7%	5.1%	18.3%	32.4%	29.6%	12.4%	1.5%	-	3.7
AuburnAUB(0-0)	0.0%	<0.1%	0.5%	4.4%	18.1%	34.5%	30.5%	10.9%	1.1%	2.7
KentuckyUK(0-1)	-	0.0%	0.1%	1.6%	11.3%	33.3%	36.8%	15.3%	1.6%	2.4
FloridaFLA(0-0)	0.0%	0.0%	<0.1%	1.0%	6.1%	19.9%	34.4%	29.2%	9.4%	1.9
Mississippi StateMSST(0-0)	0.0%	0.0%	<0.1%	0.4%	3.6%	16.3%	36.0%	33.1%	10.7%	1.7
ArkansasARK(0-0)	0.0%	0.0%	<0.1%	0.5%	3.4%	13.7%	30.3%	35.4%	16.6%	1.5
VanderbiltVAN(0-0)	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	<0.1%	0.1%	1.7%	10.9%	37.5%	49.8%	0.6

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com