Wisconsin

WisconsinBadgers

2-0 T2nd (0-0) in B1G

Data from 2024-09-08 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

1.1%

Based on 100,000 simulations

WisconsinSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/30
vsW MichiganWMU
W28-14
29/07
vsSouth DakotaSDAK
W27-13
39/14
vsAlabamaALA
Win prob:12%
59/28
@USCUSC
Win prob:22%
610/05
vsPurduePUR
Win prob:72%
710/12
@RutgersRUTG
Win prob:55%
810/19
vsNorthwesternNU(N)
Win prob:62%
910/26
vsPenn StPSU
Win prob:25%
1011/02
@IowaIOWA
Win prob:49%
1211/16
vsOregonORE
Win prob:20%
1311/23
@NebraskaNEB
Win prob:44%
1411/29
vsMinnesotaMINN
Win prob:72%

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

WisconsinRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
9-0
0.0%
100.0%
8-1
0.6%
76.8%
7-2
3.8%
14.8%
6-3
12.5%
0.1%
5-4
24.4%
0%
4-5
28.2%
0%
3-6
19.9%
0%
2-7
8.4%
0%
1-8
1.9%
0%
0-9
0.2%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Wisconsin CCG Opponents

if Wisconsin makes the CCG

Ohio StateOhio St
48.6%
MichiganMichigan
22.9%
OregonOregon
16.2%
Penn StatePenn St
8.6%
USCUSC
3.8%

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

WisconsinThis Week's Impact

Game
WisconsinCCG OddsAway
WisconsinCCG OddsHome
Notre DameND@PurduePUR
1.1%
(+0.0%)		1.1%
(-0.0%)
AlabamaALA@WisconsinWIS
1.1%
(-0.0%)		1.2%
(+0.1%)
Arkansas StARST@MichiganMICH
0.8%
(-0.3%)		1.1%
(+0.0%)
Northern IowaUNI@NebraskaNEB
1.2%
(+0.1%)		1.1%
(-0.0%)
Washington StWSU@WashingtonWASH
1.0%
(-0.1%)		1.1%
(+0.0%)
TroyTROY@IowaIOWA
1.1%
(-0.0%)		1.1%
(+0.0%)
OregonORE@Oregon StORST
1.1%
(-0.0%)		1.1%
(+0.0%)
C MichiganCMU@IllinoisILL
1.1%
(+0.1%)		1.1%
(-0.0%)
NevadaNEV@MinnesotaMINN
1.0%
(-0.1%)		1.1%
(+0.0%)
Prairie View A&MPV@Michigan StMSU
1.2%
(+0.1%)		1.1%
(-0.0%)
Eastern IllinoisEIU@NorthwesternNU
1.1%
(+0.1%)		1.1%
(-0.0%)
IndianaIU@UCLAUCLA
1.1%
(-0.0%)		1.1%
(+0.0%)
MarylandMD@VirginiaUVA
1.1%
(+0.0%)		1.1%
(+0.0%)

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

WisconsinLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Wisconsin CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 1 loss
86.3%
0.1%
USC
100.0%
<0.1%
Alabama
100.0%
<0.1%
Purdue
100.0%
<0.1%
Nebraska
100.0%
<0.1%
Rutgers
100.0%
<0.1%
Iowa
100.0%
<0.1%
Minnesota
100.0%
<0.1%
Penn St
84.2%
<0.1%
Northwestern
75.0%
<0.1%
Oregon
47.1%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
47.9%
1.0%
MinnesotaPurdue
100.0%
<0.1%
NebraskaNorthwestern
100.0%
<0.1%
IowaPurdue
100.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaIowa
93.8%
<0.1%
AlabamaPurdue
92.9%
<0.1%
AlabamaMinnesota
91.7%
<0.1%
AlabamaRutgers
90.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaNorthwestern
82.6%
<0.1%
AlabamaNebraska
82.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaUSC
75.4%
0.1%
AlabamaOregon
71.2%
0.1%
AlabamaPenn St
63.5%
0.1%
MinnesotaOregon
50.0%
<0.1%
MinnesotaUSC
44.4%
<0.1%
RutgersUSC
42.9%
<0.1%
IowaRutgers
42.9%
<0.1%
IowaNebraska
33.3%
<0.1%
NorthwesternRutgers
33.3%
<0.1%
PurdueUSC
25.0%
<0.1%
MinnesotaPenn St
25.0%
<0.1%
IowaUSC
20.0%
<0.1%
Penn StUSC
19.5%
<0.1%
NebraskaRutgers
16.7%
<0.1%
IowaNorthwestern
16.7%
<0.1%
IowaOregon
16.0%
<0.1%
NebraskaUSC
16.0%
<0.1%
Penn StPurdue
14.3%
<0.1%
OregonRutgers
13.3%
<0.1%
NebraskaPenn St
13.0%
<0.1%
Penn StRutgers
11.8%
<0.1%
NorthwesternUSC
11.1%
<0.1%
IowaPenn St
7.7%
<0.1%
NebraskaOregon
7.4%
<0.1%
OregonUSC
5.6%
<0.1%
OregonPenn St
4.3%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
14.7%
3.4%
AlabamaNorthwesternPurdue
69.2%
<0.1%
AlabamaMinnesotaPurdue
62.5%
<0.1%
AlabamaMinnesotaRutgers
54.5%
<0.1%
AlabamaMinnesotaNebraska
46.7%
<0.1%
AlabamaIowaMinnesota
42.1%
<0.1%
AlabamaIowaRutgers
41.9%
<0.1%
AlabamaNorthwesternRutgers
38.9%
<0.1%
AlabamaNebraskaRutgers
37.9%
<0.1%
AlabamaNebraskaPurdue
37.5%
<0.1%
AlabamaNorthwesternUSC
36.4%
<0.1%
AlabamaPurdueRutgers
36.4%
<0.1%
AlabamaIowaPurdue
33.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaNebraskaNorthwestern
32.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaIowaNebraska
31.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaPenn StPurdue
30.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaMinnesotaPenn St
29.2%
<0.1%
AlabamaRutgersUSC
28.2%
0.1%
AlabamaPurdueUSC
23.9%
<0.1%
AlabamaMinnesotaUSC
21.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaIowaUSC
21.1%
0.1%
AlabamaNebraskaUSC
20.9%
0.2%
AlabamaIowaNorthwestern
20.8%
<0.1%
AlabamaPenn StRutgers
16.7%
<0.1%
AlabamaIowaPenn St
15.7%
0.1%
AlabamaNorthwesternPenn St
14.7%
<0.1%
AlabamaOregonPurdue
14.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaNebraskaPenn St
13.3%
0.1%
AlabamaNebraskaOregon
12.0%
0.2%
AlabamaOregonRutgers
11.0%
0.1%
AlabamaNorthwesternOregon
10.6%
<0.1%
AlabamaPenn StUSC
10.4%
0.4%
AlabamaMinnesotaOregon
10.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaMinnesotaNorthwestern
10.0%
<0.1%
NebraskaPurdueUSC
8.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaIowaOregon
6.9%
0.1%
AlabamaOregonUSC
6.5%
0.5%
IowaOregonRutgers
5.9%
<0.1%
AlabamaOregonPenn St
3.4%
0.5%
Any 4 losses
1.8%
0.8%
AlabamaIowaNebraskaPurdue
5.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaIowaNebraskaRutgers
2.8%
<0.1%
AlabamaIowaMinnesotaPenn St
2.7%
<0.1%
AlabamaPurdueRutgersUSC
2.6%
<0.1%
AlabamaNebraskaPenn StPurdue
1.8%
<0.1%
AlabamaIowaNebraskaUSC
1.8%
0.2%
AlabamaNorthwesternRutgersUSC
1.8%
<0.1%
AlabamaMinnesotaNebraskaUSC
1.7%
<0.1%
AlabamaIowaNorthwesternOregon
1.4%
<0.1%
AlabamaNorthwesternOregonRutgers
1.4%
<0.1%
AlabamaIowaPenn StRutgers
1.4%
<0.1%
AlabamaNebraskaNorthwesternUSC
1.0%
0.1%

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

WisconsinCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com