WisconsinBadgers

1-0 T1st (0-0) in B1G

Data from 2025-09-02 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.2%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/28	vsMiami (OH)M-OH	W17-0
2	9/06	vsMiddle TennesseeMTSU	Win prob:91%
3	9/13	@AlabamaALA	Win prob:20%
4	9/20	vsMarylandMD	Win prob:66%
6	10/04	@MichiganMICH	Win prob:19%
7	10/11	vsIowaIOWA	Win prob:42%
8	10/18	vsOhio StateOSU	Win prob:12%
9	10/25	@OregonORE	Win prob:12%
11	11/08	vsWashingtonWASH	Win prob:53%
12	11/15	@IndianaIU	Win prob:16%
13	11/22	vsIllinoisILL	Win prob:57%
14	11/29	@MinnesotaMINN	Win prob:35%

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
9-0	0%	100.0%
8-1	0.0%	88.9%
7-2	0.5%	27.0%
6-3	3.0%	0.1%
5-4	11.0%	0%
4-5	23.4%	0%
3-6	30.2%	0%
2-7	22.1%	0%
1-8	8.5%	0%
0-9	1.3%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

52.9%

17.6%

11.8%

11.8%

5.9%

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
Kennesaw StateKENN@IndianaIU	0.1% (-0.1%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
Florida InternationalFIU@Penn StatePSU	0.2% (+0.1%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
MichiganMICH@OklahomaOU	0.2% (+0.0%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
Georgia SouthernGASO@USCUSC	0.2% (+0.1%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
UC DavisUCD@WashingtonWASH	0.2% (-0.0%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
AkronAKR@NebraskaNEB	0.1% (-0.0%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
IowaIOWA@Iowa StateISU	0.2% (+0.0%)	0.2% (-0.0%)
Miami (OH)M-OH@RutgersRUTG	0.2% (+0.0%)	0.1% (-0.0%)
Northern IllinoisNIU@MarylandMD	0.2% (+0.0%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
IllinoisILL@DukeDUKE	0.1% (-0.0%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
Southern IllinoisSIU@PurduePUR	0.2% (-0.0%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
Oklahoma StateOKST@OregonORE	0.1% (-0.1%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
Northwestern StateNWST@MinnesotaMINN	0.2% (-0.0%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
GramblingGRAM@Ohio StateOSU	0.2% (+0.0%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
Western IllinoisWIU@NorthwesternNU	0.2% (+0.0%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
Boston CollegeBC@Michigan StateMSU	0.1% (-0.0%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
Middle TennesseeMTSU@WisconsinWIS	0.2% (+0.1%)	0.2% (-0.0%)
UCLAUCLA@UNLVUNLV	0.1% (-0.0%)	0.2% (+0.0%)

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Any 1 loss

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

Any 2 losses

45.1%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

75.0%

<0.1%

71.4%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

25.0%

<0.1%

20.0%

<0.1%

9.1%

<0.1%

Any 3 losses

25.1%

0.3%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

75.0%

<0.1%

66.7%

<0.1%

57.1%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

41.7%

<0.1%

41.2%

<0.1%

40.0%

<0.1%

35.7%

<0.1%

33.3%

<0.1%

32.4%

<0.1%

31.3%

<0.1%

28.6%

<0.1%

28.6%

<0.1%

28.6%

<0.1%

25.0%

<0.1%

23.1%

<0.1%

20.0%

<0.1%

17.6%

<0.1%

16.7%

<0.1%

9.1%

<0.1%

6.3%

<0.1%

Any 4 losses

2.4%

0.2%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

75.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

33.3%

<0.1%

20.0%

<0.1%

16.7%

<0.1%

2.1%

<0.1%

0.6%

0.2%

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com