UTEPMiners

0-1 T2nd (0-0) in CUSA

Data from 2025-09-02 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.7%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/30	@Utah StateUSU	L16-28
2	9/06	vsUT MartinUTM	Win prob:90%
3	9/13	@TexasTEX	Win prob:2%
4	9/20	vsUL MonroeULM	Win prob:51%
5	9/27	vsLouisiana TechLT	Win prob:34%
7	10/08	vsLibertyLIB	Win prob:22%
8	10/15	vsSam HoustonSHSU(N)	Win prob:28%
9	10/28	@Kennesaw StateKENN	Win prob:37%
11	11/08	vsJacksonville StateJXST	Win prob:12%
12	11/15	@Missouri StateMOST	Win prob:28%
13	11/22	vsNew Mexico StateNMSU	Win prob:56%
14	11/29	@DelawareDEL	Win prob:13%

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
8-0	0%	100.0%
7-1	0.1%	98.2%
6-2	0.6%	65.4%
5-3	3.6%	6.5%
4-4	12.2%	0%
3-5	25.4%	0%
2-6	31.6%	0%
1-7	21.0%	0%
0-8	5.7%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

57.1%

12.7%

12.7%

12.7%

Florida International

4.8%

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
Kennesaw StateKENN@IndianaIU	0.6% (-0.1%)	0.7% (+0.0%)
Florida InternationalFIU@Penn StatePSU	0.5% (-0.2%)	0.7% (+0.0%)
Sam HoustonSHSU@Hawai'iHAW	0.7% (+0.0%)	0.7% (-0.0%)
Louisiana TechLT@LSULSU	0.6% (-0.1%)	0.7% (+0.0%)
TulsaTLSA@New Mexico StateNMSU	0.8% (+0.1%)	0.7% (-0.0%)
DelawareDEL@ColoradoCOLO	0.7% (+0.0%)	0.7% (+0.0%)
Missouri StateMOST@MarshallMRSH	0.6% (-0.0%)	0.7% (+0.0%)
UT MartinUTM@UTEPUTEP	0.7% (+0.0%)	0.7% (+0.0%)
Western KentuckyWKU@ToledoTOL	0.7% (+0.0%)	0.7% (-0.0%)
LibertyLIB@Jacksonville StateJXST	0.8% (+0.1%)	0.6% (-0.1%)
Middle TennesseeMTSU@WisconsinWIS	0.6% (-0.0%)	0.7% (+0.0%)

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Any 2 losses

100.0%

<0.1%

Any 3 losses

68.4%

0.3%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

90.0%

<0.1%

85.7%

<0.1%

83.3%

<0.1%

80.0%

<0.1%

80.0%

<0.1%

80.0%

<0.1%

77.8%

<0.1%

75.0%

<0.1%

75.0%

<0.1%

70.0%

<0.1%

66.7%

<0.1%

62.5%

<0.1%

60.0%

<0.1%

60.0%

<0.1%

58.3%

<0.1%

56.3%

<0.1%

56.3%

<0.1%

54.5%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com