SEC Championship Probabilities

CCG Odds by Conference Record

Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record

Team	8-0	7-1	6-2	5-3	Overall
GeorgiaUGA	100%	97.6%	35.8%	0.5%	77.2%
Ole MissMISS	99.9%	82.9%	18.8%	0.2%	46.7%
TexasTEX	99.9%	63.6%	9.6%	<0.1%	25.4%
TennesseeTENN	99.9%	65.5%	9.9%	<0.1%	16.2%
AlabamaALA	100%	86.5%	23.7%	0.4%	8.5%
South CarolinaSC	100%	76.3%	14.9%	<0.1%	6.6%
LSULSU	100%	75.5%	14.3%	<0.1%	6.4%
Texas A&MTA&M	100%	67.3%	11.7%	<0.1%	5.5%
MissouriMIZ	100%	50.4%	5.3%	<0.1%	3.0%
FloridaFLA	100%	95.4%	39.1%	0.5%	1.5%
OklahomaOU	100%	90.4%	42.8%	0.7%	1.4%
AuburnAUB	100%	76.7%	10.7%	<0.1%	1.1%
ArkansasARK	100%	86.5%	29.8%	0.3%	0.4%
VanderbiltVAN	-	85.0%	28.4%	0.3%	0.1%
KentuckyUK	-	-	34.6%	0.4%	<0.1%
Mississippi StateMSST	-	-	71.4%	2.0%	<0.1%

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Team	8-0	7-1	6-2	5-3	4-4	3-5	2-6	1-7	0-8	Avg Wins
GeorgiaUGA(0-0)	29.8%	40.4%	22.2%	6.4%	1.0%	0.1%	<0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	6.9
Ole MissMISS(0-0)	9.9%	36.6%	34.2%	15.0%	3.6%	0.5%	<0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	6.3
TexasTEX(0-0)	4.6%	27.1%	36.7%	22.3%	7.6%	1.5%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	5.9
TennesseeTENN(0-0)	2.6%	16.0%	31.7%	29.8%	14.9%	4.2%	0.7%	<0.1%	0.0%	5.5
South CarolinaSC(0-0)	0.5%	4.7%	16.6%	29.0%	28.1%	15.5%	4.8%	0.8%	<0.1%	4.5
AlabamaALA(0-0)	0.4%	4.7%	16.5%	28.8%	27.9%	15.8%	5.0%	0.9%	<0.1%	4.5
LSULSU(0-0)	0.5%	4.6%	16.4%	28.1%	27.4%	16.4%	5.4%	1.0%	<0.1%	4.5
Texas A&MTA&M(0-0)	0.5%	4.7%	15.6%	27.5%	28.0%	16.8%	5.7%	0.9%	<0.1%	4.4
MissouriMIZ(0-0)	0.5%	3.7%	12.8%	24.7%	28.1%	19.8%	8.4%	1.9%	0.2%	4.2
AuburnAUB(0-0)	<0.1%	0.7%	4.7%	14.8%	27.3%	28.5%	17.6%	5.5%	0.8%	3.4
FloridaFLA(0-0)	<0.1%	0.4%	2.9%	11.6%	25.4%	31.9%	20.8%	6.3%	0.6%	3.2
OklahomaOU(0-0)	<0.1%	0.3%	2.3%	9.2%	21.4%	30.0%	24.5%	10.4%	1.9%	3.0
ArkansasARK(0-0)	<0.1%	0.1%	1.0%	6.2%	19.0%	31.9%	28.2%	11.9%	1.8%	2.8
VanderbiltVAN(0-0)	0.0%	<0.1%	0.3%	2.1%	9.4%	23.7%	33.5%	24.1%	7.0%	2.1
KentuckyUK(0-0)	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	0.8%	5.1%	17.0%	32.1%	31.9%	13.0%	1.7
Mississippi StateMSST(0-0)	0.0%	0.0%	<0.1%	0.1%	0.9%	5.8%	20.4%	39.9%	32.9%	1.0

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com