Missouri

MissouriTigers

1-0 T1st (0-0) in SEC

Data from 2025-09-02 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

3.0%

Based on 100,000 simulations

MissouriSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/28
vsCentral ArkansasCARK
W61-6
29/06
vsKansasKU
Win prob:59%
39/13
vsLouisianaUL
Win prob:79%
49/20
vsSouth CarolinaSC
Win prob:45%
59/27
vsMassachusettsMASS
Win prob:97%
710/11
vsAlabamaALA
Win prob:41%
810/18
@AuburnAUB
Win prob:47%
910/25
@VanderbiltVAN
Win prob:62%
1111/08
vsTexas A&MTA&M
Win prob:49%
1211/15
vsMississippi StMSST
Win prob:83%
1311/22
@OklahomaOU
Win prob:41%
1411/29
@ArkansasARK
Win prob:52%

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

MissouriRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
0.5%
100.0%
7-1
3.7%
50.4%
6-2
12.8%
5.3%
5-3
24.7%
0.0%
4-4
28.1%
0%
3-5
19.8%
0%
2-6
8.4%
0%
1-7
1.9%
0%
0-8
0.2%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Missouri CCG Opponents

if Missouri makes the CCG

GeorgiaGeorgia
60.7%
Ole MissMississippi
20.0%
TexasTexas
10.9%
TennesseeTennessee
6.3%
AlabamaAlabama
2.1%

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

MissouriThis Week's Impact

Game
MissouriCCG OddsAway
MissouriCCG OddsHome
South FloridaUSF@FloridaFLA
3.1%
(+0.1%)		3.0%
(-0.0%)
MichiganMICH@OklahomaOU
3.0%
(-0.0%)		3.0%
(+0.0%)
Louisiana TechLT@LSULSU
3.0%
(-0.0%)		3.0%
(+0.0%)
Arkansas StARST@ArkansasARK
2.9%
(-0.1%)		3.0%
(+0.0%)
Austin PeayAPSU@GeorgiaUGA
3.0%
(+0.0%)		3.0%
(+0.0%)
South Carolina StateSCST@South CarolinaSC
3.0%
(+0.0%)		3.0%
(+0.0%)
San Jose StSJSU@TexasTEX
3.1%
(+0.1%)		3.0%
(+0.0%)
Ball StBALL@AuburnAUB
3.3%
(+0.3%)		3.0%
(-0.0%)
Utah StUSU@Texas A&MTA&M
3.1%
(+0.1%)		3.0%
(-0.0%)
VanderbiltVAN@Virginia TechVT
3.0%
(+0.0%)		3.0%
(-0.0%)
East Tennessee StateETSU@TennesseeTENN
3.0%
(+0.0%)		3.0%
(+0.0%)
ULMULM@AlabamaALA
3.2%
(+0.1%)		3.0%
(-0.0%)
Arizona StASU@Mississippi StMSST
2.9%
(-0.1%)		3.2%
(+0.2%)
MississippiMISS@KentuckyUK
2.9%
(-0.1%)		4.1%
(+1.1%)
KansasKU@MissouriMIZ
3.0%
(-0.0%)		3.0%
(+0.0%)

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

MissouriLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Missouri CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
0.2%
Any 1 loss
57.2%
1.9%
Louisiana
100.0%
<0.1%
Kansas
100.0%
0.1%
Massachusetts
100.0%
<0.1%
Auburn
62.9%
0.2%
South Carolina
56.6%
0.3%
Vanderbilt
56.6%
0.1%
Alabama
51.9%
0.3%
Texas A&M
50.7%
0.2%
Oklahoma
44.4%
0.3%
Arkansas
42.7%
0.2%
Mississippi St
29.7%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
16.0%
7.2%
KansasLouisiana
100.0%
<0.1%
KansasMassachusetts
100.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaMassachusetts
83.3%
<0.1%
MassachusettsVanderbilt
66.7%
<0.1%
AuburnKansas
63.4%
0.2%
KansasVanderbilt
59.1%
<0.1%
KansasMississippi St
56.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaSouth Carolina
53.8%
<0.1%
KansasSouth Carolina
52.1%
0.2%
AlabamaLouisiana
50.7%
<0.1%
AuburnLouisiana
50.0%
<0.1%
KansasOklahoma
48.8%
0.2%
KansasTexas A&M
47.4%
0.1%
LouisianaOklahoma
45.7%
<0.1%
LouisianaTexas A&M
45.6%
<0.1%
AlabamaKansas
43.1%
0.2%
ArkansasKansas
43.0%
0.1%
AuburnMassachusetts
42.9%
<0.1%
ArkansasLouisiana
41.2%
<0.1%
MassachusettsTexas A&M
40.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaVanderbilt
38.2%
<0.1%
MassachusettsSouth Carolina
33.3%
<0.1%
LouisianaMississippi St
33.3%
<0.1%
ArkansasMassachusetts
25.0%
<0.1%
MassachusettsOklahoma
14.3%
<0.1%
Texas A&MVanderbilt
10.5%
0.1%
AuburnSouth Carolina
9.8%
0.3%
AuburnVanderbilt
9.6%
0.1%
Mississippi StTexas A&M
9.1%
<0.1%
ArkansasAuburn
8.2%
0.2%
AlabamaAuburn
7.9%
0.3%
AlabamaTexas A&M
7.9%
0.3%
South CarolinaTexas A&M
6.7%
0.3%
ArkansasVanderbilt
6.6%
0.1%
AuburnTexas A&M
6.5%
0.2%
AlabamaVanderbilt
6.4%
0.2%
AuburnOklahoma
5.8%
0.4%
South CarolinaVanderbilt
5.6%
0.1%
ArkansasTexas A&M
5.4%
0.2%
ArkansasMississippi St
4.9%
<0.1%
OklahomaTexas A&M
4.3%
0.3%
AlabamaSouth Carolina
4.3%
0.4%
Mississippi StVanderbilt
4.2%
<0.1%
OklahomaSouth Carolina
4.0%
0.3%
AuburnMississippi St
3.9%
<0.1%
AlabamaOklahoma
3.8%
0.4%
ArkansasSouth Carolina
3.8%
0.2%
AlabamaArkansas
3.3%
0.3%
ArkansasOklahoma
3.2%
0.3%
OklahomaVanderbilt
3.2%
0.2%
Mississippi StOklahoma
1.9%
<0.1%
AlabamaMississippi St
1.6%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
7.9%
6.1%
KansasLouisianaMassachusetts
100.0%
<0.1%
KansasMassachusettsSouth Carolina
75.0%
<0.1%
KansasMassachusettsOklahoma
66.7%
<0.1%
ArkansasKansasLouisiana
58.5%
<0.1%
KansasLouisianaMississippi St
57.1%
<0.1%
KansasLouisianaOklahoma
56.1%
<0.1%
KansasLouisianaSouth Carolina
53.2%
<0.1%
AlabamaKansasLouisiana
50.8%
<0.1%
LouisianaMassachusettsMississippi St
50.0%
<0.1%
AuburnKansasMassachusetts
50.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaLouisianaMassachusetts
50.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaMassachusettsVanderbilt
50.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaMassachusettsTexas A&M
50.0%
<0.1%
AuburnLouisianaMassachusetts
50.0%
<0.1%
KansasLouisianaTexas A&M
47.4%
<0.1%
AuburnKansasLouisiana
46.2%
<0.1%
ArkansasMassachusettsOklahoma
42.9%
<0.1%
AlabamaKansasMassachusetts
40.0%
<0.1%
KansasLouisianaVanderbilt
33.3%
<0.1%
KansasMassachusettsVanderbilt
33.3%
<0.1%
KansasMassachusettsTexas A&M
25.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaTexas A&MVanderbilt
18.2%
<0.1%
AuburnLouisianaTexas A&M
16.1%
<0.1%
AlabamaAuburnMassachusetts
15.4%
<0.1%
AuburnLouisianaMississippi St
13.3%
<0.1%
AuburnMassachusettsSouth Carolina
12.5%
<0.1%
AuburnKansasTexas A&M
10.3%
0.1%
LouisianaMississippi StVanderbilt
10.0%
<0.1%
AuburnKansasVanderbilt
9.5%
<0.1%
AuburnKansasMississippi St
9.3%
<0.1%
KansasMississippi StTexas A&M
8.3%
<0.1%
AuburnMassachusettsOklahoma
8.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaKansasTexas A&M
8.3%
0.2%
KansasMississippi StSouth Carolina
8.1%
<0.1%
LouisianaSouth CarolinaTexas A&M
8.1%
<0.1%
AlabamaAuburnLouisiana
7.9%
0.1%
KansasOklahomaVanderbilt
7.9%
0.1%
ArkansasLouisianaMississippi St
7.7%
<0.1%
AuburnLouisianaVanderbilt
7.7%
<0.1%
LouisianaMississippi StSouth Carolina
7.7%
<0.1%
AuburnKansasSouth Carolina
7.6%
0.2%
KansasSouth CarolinaVanderbilt
7.4%
<0.1%
ArkansasKansasMississippi St
7.1%
<0.1%
AlabamaAuburnKansas
7.0%
0.2%
AuburnLouisianaOklahoma
7.0%
0.1%
KansasSouth CarolinaTexas A&M
6.8%
0.2%
ArkansasKansasSouth Carolina
6.7%
0.2%
LouisianaSouth CarolinaVanderbilt
6.7%
<0.1%
ArkansasKansasVanderbilt
6.5%
<0.1%
LouisianaMississippi StTexas A&M
6.3%
<0.1%
KansasTexas A&MVanderbilt
6.3%
0.1%
AuburnKansasOklahoma
5.9%
0.3%
ArkansasLouisianaTexas A&M
5.7%
<0.1%
LouisianaOklahomaVanderbilt
5.7%
<0.1%
ArkansasLouisianaOklahoma
5.3%
<0.1%
AuburnLouisianaSouth Carolina
4.9%
<0.1%
AlabamaLouisianaMississippi St
4.8%
<0.1%
LouisianaMississippi StOklahoma
4.8%
<0.1%
AlabamaLouisianaVanderbilt
4.5%
<0.1%
ArkansasLouisianaSouth Carolina
4.4%
<0.1%
AlabamaKansasVanderbilt
4.3%
0.1%
AlabamaLouisianaOklahoma
4.3%
0.1%
ArkansasLouisianaVanderbilt
4.3%
<0.1%
MassachusettsOklahomaSouth Carolina
4.2%
<0.1%
ArkansasAuburnLouisiana
3.6%
<0.1%
ArkansasAuburnKansas
3.3%
0.1%
AlabamaLouisianaTexas A&M
3.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaKansasOklahoma
3.0%
0.3%
ArkansasKansasOklahoma
2.9%
0.2%
AlabamaArkansasLouisiana
2.9%
<0.1%
AlabamaKansasSouth Carolina
2.8%
0.3%
KansasOklahomaSouth Carolina
2.7%
0.3%
LouisianaOklahomaTexas A&M
2.7%
<0.1%
AlabamaArkansasKansas
2.5%
0.2%
AlabamaLouisianaSouth Carolina
2.4%
<0.1%
LouisianaOklahomaSouth Carolina
1.9%
0.1%
ArkansasKansasTexas A&M
1.7%
0.1%
KansasOklahomaTexas A&M
0.9%
0.2%
South CarolinaTexas A&MVanderbilt
0.6%
0.2%
Any 4 losses
5.3%
1.3%
ArkansasKansasLouisianaMassachusetts
100.0%
<0.1%
KansasLouisianaMassachusettsOklahoma
100.0%
<0.1%
KansasLouisianaMassachusettsTexas A&M
100.0%
<0.1%
KansasMassachusettsMississippi StVanderbilt
50.0%
<0.1%
AuburnKansasMassachusettsVanderbilt
33.3%
<0.1%
AuburnLouisianaMassachusettsSouth Carolina
33.3%
<0.1%
AuburnKansasLouisianaVanderbilt
28.6%
<0.1%
AlabamaArkansasKansasMassachusetts
28.6%
<0.1%
AlabamaKansasLouisianaVanderbilt
20.0%
<0.1%
KansasLouisianaMississippi StVanderbilt
16.7%
<0.1%
ArkansasAuburnKansasLouisiana
14.3%
<0.1%
KansasLouisianaMississippi StOklahoma
14.3%
<0.1%
ArkansasKansasLouisianaVanderbilt
13.6%
<0.1%
ArkansasKansasMassachusettsTexas A&M
11.1%
<0.1%
AuburnKansasLouisianaTexas A&M
10.8%
<0.1%
KansasLouisianaTexas A&MVanderbilt
10.3%
<0.1%
KansasLouisianaMississippi StSouth Carolina
9.1%
<0.1%
AuburnKansasLouisianaSouth Carolina
6.8%
<0.1%
AlabamaKansasLouisianaMississippi St
6.7%
<0.1%
AlabamaKansasLouisianaTexas A&M
6.7%
<0.1%
KansasLouisianaSouth CarolinaTexas A&M
6.4%
<0.1%
ArkansasKansasLouisianaTexas A&M
6.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaArkansasKansasLouisiana
3.7%
<0.1%
KansasLouisianaOklahomaVanderbilt
3.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaAuburnKansasLouisiana
3.2%
<0.1%
ArkansasKansasMississippi StSouth Carolina
3.2%
<0.1%
AuburnKansasLouisianaOklahoma
2.9%
<0.1%
KansasLouisianaOklahomaSouth Carolina
2.3%
<0.1%
ArkansasKansasLouisianaOklahoma
2.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaKansasLouisianaSouth Carolina
1.9%
<0.1%
AlabamaKansasLouisianaOklahoma
1.2%
<0.1%
ArkansasKansasOklahomaVanderbilt
0.7%
0.1%
AlabamaAuburnKansasVanderbilt
0.6%
0.2%

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

MissouriCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com