Mississippi

Ole MissRebels

1-0 T1st (0-0) in SEC

Data from 2025-09-02 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

46.7%

Based on 100,000 simulations

MississippiSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/30
vsGeorgia StGAST
W63-7
29/06
@KentuckyUK
Win prob:90%
39/13
vsArkansasARK
Win prob:92%
49/20
vsTulaneTULN
Win prob:88%
59/27
vsLSULSU
Win prob:82%
710/11
vsWashington StWSU
Win prob:94%
810/18
@GeorgiaUGA
Win prob:27%
910/25
@OklahomaOU
Win prob:79%
1011/01
vsSouth CarolinaSC
Win prob:82%
1111/08
vsThe CitadelCIT
Win prob:90%
1211/15
vsFloridaFLA
Win prob:86%
1411/28
@Mississippi StMSST
Win prob:93%

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

MississippiRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
9.9%
100.0%
7-1
36.6%
82.9%
6-2
34.2%
18.8%
5-3
15.0%
0.2%
4-4
3.6%
0%
3-5
0.5%
0%
2-6
0.1%
0%
1-7
0%
0%
0-8
0%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Mississippi CCG Opponents

if Mississippi makes the CCG

GeorgiaGeorgia
73.4%
TexasTexas
12.9%
TennesseeTennessee
8.2%
AlabamaAlabama
3.1%
LSULSU
2.4%

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

MississippiThis Week's Impact

Game
MississippiCCG OddsAway
MississippiCCG OddsHome
South FloridaUSF@FloridaFLA
47.2%
(+0.5%)		46.6%
(-0.2%)
MichiganMICH@OklahomaOU
46.6%
(-0.2%)		47.0%
(+0.2%)
Louisiana TechLT@LSULSU
46.6%
(-0.1%)		46.8%
(+0.0%)
Arkansas StARST@ArkansasARK
46.6%
(-0.1%)		46.8%
(+0.0%)
Austin PeayAPSU@GeorgiaUGA
47.3%
(+0.6%)		46.7%
(-0.1%)
South Carolina StateSCST@South CarolinaSC
46.7%
(-0.0%)		46.7%
(+0.0%)
San Jose StSJSU@TexasTEX
46.6%
(-0.1%)		46.8%
(+0.0%)
Ball StBALL@AuburnAUB
46.7%
(-0.0%)		46.7%
(+0.0%)
Utah StUSU@Texas A&MTA&M
47.3%
(+0.5%)		46.7%
(-0.1%)
VanderbiltVAN@Virginia TechVT
46.8%
(+0.0%)		46.7%
(-0.0%)
East Tennessee StateETSU@TennesseeTENN
46.8%
(+0.1%)		46.7%
(-0.0%)
ULMULM@AlabamaALA
46.7%
(-0.0%)		46.7%
(+0.0%)
Arizona StASU@Mississippi StMSST
46.7%
(-0.1%)		46.9%
(+0.2%)
MississippiMISS@KentuckyUK
49.9%
(+3.2%)		18.1%
(-28.6%)
KansasKU@MissouriMIZ
46.6%
(-0.1%)		46.8%
(+0.1%)

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

MississippiLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Mississippi CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
7.4%
Any 1 loss
84.1%
29.6%
Washington St
100.0%
0.5%
The Citadel
100.0%
0.8%
Tulane
99.8%
1.0%
Oklahoma
93.1%
1.9%
LSU
92.8%
1.6%
South Carolina
91.9%
1.5%
Arkansas
91.4%
0.6%
Kentucky
83.0%
0.8%
Mississippi St
81.6%
0.5%
Florida
80.8%
1.2%
Georgia
80.1%
19.3%
Any 2 losses
35.1%
34.0%
The CitadelWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
The CitadelTulane
100.0%
0.1%
TulaneWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasWashington St
98.2%
<0.1%
LSUTulane
95.6%
0.2%
OklahomaThe Citadel
94.3%
0.2%
LSUWashington St
94.0%
0.1%
OklahomaWashington St
93.0%
0.1%
South CarolinaWashington St
92.8%
0.1%
OklahomaTulane
92.7%
0.3%
LSUThe Citadel
91.8%
0.2%
ArkansasTulane
91.4%
<0.1%
South CarolinaTulane
90.0%
0.2%
South CarolinaThe Citadel
87.4%
0.2%
FloridaWashington St
87.1%
<0.1%
ArkansasThe Citadel
86.6%
<0.1%
Mississippi StTulane
85.3%
<0.1%
KentuckyThe Citadel
84.1%
<0.1%
FloridaTulane
82.1%
0.1%
KentuckyTulane
81.9%
0.1%
GeorgiaWashington St
81.9%
1.2%
GeorgiaTulane
81.7%
2.6%
FloridaThe Citadel
79.7%
0.1%
GeorgiaThe Citadel
79.0%
2.1%
Mississippi StThe Citadel
75.4%
<0.1%
Mississippi StWashington St
75.0%
<0.1%
KentuckyWashington St
73.9%
<0.1%
ArkansasKentucky
39.7%
<0.1%
ArkansasOklahoma
35.5%
0.2%
KentuckyLSU
34.9%
0.2%
KentuckyMississippi St
33.3%
<0.1%
FloridaMississippi St
30.1%
<0.1%
FloridaLSU
29.5%
0.3%
KentuckyOklahoma
28.8%
0.2%
Mississippi StOklahoma
28.7%
0.1%
OklahomaSouth Carolina
28.5%
0.4%
Mississippi StSouth Carolina
28.3%
0.1%
FloridaKentucky
28.2%
0.1%
LSUMississippi St
26.8%
0.1%
LSUSouth Carolina
26.6%
0.3%
ArkansasLSU
26.5%
0.1%
LSUOklahoma
26.3%
0.4%
ArkansasSouth Carolina
25.2%
0.1%
FloridaOklahoma
24.6%
0.3%
ArkansasFlorida
24.2%
0.1%
KentuckySouth Carolina
24.1%
0.2%
GeorgiaMississippi St
21.8%
1.4%
ArkansasMississippi St
21.7%
<0.1%
FloridaSouth Carolina
21.7%
0.2%
GeorgiaKentucky
20.9%
2.1%
GeorgiaLSU
19.2%
4.2%
GeorgiaSouth Carolina
18.5%
4.2%
ArkansasGeorgia
15.2%
1.7%
FloridaGeorgia
14.2%
3.1%
GeorgiaOklahoma
13.3%
5.0%
Any 3 losses
21.0%
11.1%
OklahomaThe CitadelTulane
100.0%
<0.1%
KentuckyTulaneWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
The CitadelTulaneWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
South CarolinaThe CitadelTulane
100.0%
<0.1%
KentuckyThe CitadelTulane
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUThe CitadelWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
Mississippi StThe CitadelWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
OklahomaTulaneWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
Mississippi StTulaneWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasThe CitadelWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
South CarolinaTulaneWashington St
94.7%
<0.1%
ArkansasThe CitadelTulane
92.9%
<0.1%
OklahomaThe CitadelWashington St
91.7%
<0.1%
South CarolinaThe CitadelWashington St
87.5%
<0.1%
ArkansasTulaneWashington St
85.7%
<0.1%
KentuckyThe CitadelWashington St
83.3%
<0.1%
FloridaTulaneWashington St
83.3%
<0.1%
FloridaThe CitadelWashington St
83.3%
<0.1%
GeorgiaThe CitadelTulane
82.1%
0.3%
LSUThe CitadelTulane
81.3%
<0.1%
FloridaThe CitadelTulane
81.3%
<0.1%
Mississippi StThe CitadelTulane
80.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaThe CitadelWashington St
79.0%
0.2%
GeorgiaTulaneWashington St
76.3%
0.1%
LSUTulaneWashington St
75.0%
<0.1%
FloridaKentuckyWashington St
66.7%
<0.1%
ArkansasFloridaThe Citadel
64.7%
<0.1%
FloridaOklahomaWashington St
56.3%
<0.1%
LSUMississippi StThe Citadel
54.5%
<0.1%
Mississippi StSouth CarolinaWashington St
50.0%
<0.1%
Mississippi StOklahomaWashington St
50.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasFloridaTulane
46.2%
<0.1%
FloridaMississippi StTulane
42.9%
<0.1%
ArkansasMississippi StThe Citadel
42.9%
<0.1%
ArkansasSouth CarolinaWashington St
42.9%
<0.1%
ArkansasOklahomaTulane
40.0%
<0.1%
KentuckyLSUWashington St
40.0%
<0.1%
Mississippi StOklahomaTulane
37.5%
<0.1%
FloridaMississippi StWashington St
37.5%
<0.1%
KentuckyOklahomaTulane
37.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasLSUTulane
36.8%
<0.1%
LSUSouth CarolinaWashington St
33.3%
<0.1%
OklahomaSouth CarolinaThe Citadel
33.3%
<0.1%
ArkansasLSUWashington St
33.3%
<0.1%
FloridaKentuckyTulane
33.3%
<0.1%
ArkansasMississippi StTulane
33.3%
<0.1%
LSUOklahomaWashington St
32.1%
<0.1%
KentuckySouth CarolinaThe Citadel
32.1%
<0.1%
ArkansasSouth CarolinaTulane
31.6%
<0.1%
KentuckySouth CarolinaTulane
31.0%
<0.1%
Mississippi StSouth CarolinaTulane
30.8%
<0.1%
OklahomaSouth CarolinaTulane
30.4%
<0.1%
FloridaSouth CarolinaTulane
30.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasOklahomaWashington St
30.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasKentuckyTulane
30.0%
<0.1%
KentuckyOklahomaWashington St
29.4%
<0.1%
FloridaSouth CarolinaWashington St
29.4%
<0.1%
FloridaKentuckyThe Citadel
28.6%
<0.1%
KentuckyLSUTulane
28.6%
<0.1%
Mississippi StOklahomaThe Citadel
28.6%
<0.1%
FloridaOklahomaThe Citadel
27.8%
<0.1%
GeorgiaKentuckyThe Citadel
26.2%
0.2%
ArkansasLSUThe Citadel
26.1%
<0.1%
KentuckyOklahomaThe Citadel
25.9%
<0.1%
KentuckySouth CarolinaWashington St
25.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasSouth CarolinaThe Citadel
23.5%
<0.1%
ArkansasGeorgiaWashington St
23.4%
0.1%
GeorgiaMississippi StWashington St
23.0%
<0.1%
FloridaOklahomaTulane
22.7%
<0.1%
FloridaLSUThe Citadel
22.2%
<0.1%
GeorgiaLSUThe Citadel
22.2%
0.5%
FloridaMississippi StThe Citadel
21.4%
<0.1%
GeorgiaSouth CarolinaWashington St
21.3%
0.3%
LSUOklahomaTulane
21.1%
<0.1%
ArkansasGeorgiaThe Citadel
21.0%
0.2%
LSUSouth CarolinaThe Citadel
20.9%
<0.1%
OklahomaSouth CarolinaWashington St
20.7%
<0.1%
ArkansasKentuckyThe Citadel
20.0%
<0.1%
KentuckyLSUThe Citadel
20.0%
<0.1%
LSUMississippi StWashington St
20.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaSouth CarolinaTulane
19.9%
0.6%
GeorgiaLSUWashington St
19.8%
0.3%
GeorgiaKentuckyTulane
19.7%
0.3%
GeorgiaLSUTulane
19.7%
0.6%
LSUMississippi StTulane
19.2%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMississippi StTulane
18.9%
0.2%
LSUOklahomaThe Citadel
18.3%
<0.1%
GeorgiaKentuckyWashington St
18.2%
0.1%
ArkansasGeorgiaTulane
17.9%
0.2%
FloridaGeorgiaThe Citadel
17.5%
0.4%
KentuckyMississippi StTulane
16.7%
<0.1%
Mississippi StSouth CarolinaThe Citadel
16.7%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMississippi StThe Citadel
16.5%
0.1%
FloridaLSUTulane
16.1%
<0.1%
GeorgiaOklahomaThe Citadel
16.0%
0.5%
FloridaGeorgiaTulane
15.2%
0.4%
FloridaSouth CarolinaThe Citadel
14.3%
<0.1%
FloridaGeorgiaWashington St
14.2%
0.2%
GeorgiaOklahomaTulane
13.2%
0.6%
GeorgiaOklahomaWashington St
12.8%
0.3%
GeorgiaSouth CarolinaThe Citadel
12.6%
0.5%
KentuckyMississippi StThe Citadel
12.5%
<0.1%
ArkansasFloridaWashington St
12.5%
<0.1%
FloridaLSUWashington St
10.5%
<0.1%
ArkansasOklahomaThe Citadel
10.5%
<0.1%
FloridaKentuckyMississippi St
9.1%
<0.1%
LSUSouth CarolinaTulane
7.3%
<0.1%
FloridaGeorgiaMississippi St
0.8%
0.3%
GeorgiaKentuckySouth Carolina
0.7%
0.5%
FloridaGeorgiaSouth Carolina
0.7%
0.7%
GeorgiaKentuckyMississippi St
0.7%
0.1%
ArkansasGeorgiaKentucky
0.6%
0.2%
FloridaGeorgiaKentucky
0.5%
0.4%
Any 4 losses
13.5%
1.3%
Mississippi StOklahomaThe CitadelWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
Mississippi StOklahomaThe CitadelTulane
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUThe CitadelTulaneWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
FloridaMississippi StThe CitadelTulane
100.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasThe CitadelTulaneWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUMississippi StTulaneWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
KentuckyOklahomaTulaneWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
Mississippi StSouth CarolinaThe CitadelWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
South CarolinaThe CitadelTulaneWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasOklahomaThe CitadelTulane
100.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasFloridaTulaneWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasKentuckyThe CitadelTulane
100.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaThe CitadelTulaneWashington St
88.9%
<0.1%
LSUOklahomaThe CitadelTulane
60.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasLSUThe CitadelTulane
60.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasOklahomaThe CitadelWashington St
50.0%
<0.1%
OklahomaSouth CarolinaTulaneWashington St
50.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasFloridaThe CitadelTulane
50.0%
<0.1%
KentuckyOklahomaThe CitadelTulane
50.0%
<0.1%
KentuckyLSUThe CitadelTulane
50.0%
<0.1%
OklahomaThe CitadelTulaneWashington St
50.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMississippi StThe CitadelTulane
42.9%
<0.1%
FloridaLSUTulaneWashington St
40.0%
<0.1%
OklahomaSouth CarolinaThe CitadelTulane
36.4%
<0.1%
ArkansasOklahomaTulaneWashington St
33.3%
<0.1%
Mississippi StSouth CarolinaThe CitadelTulane
33.3%
<0.1%
FloridaOklahomaTulaneWashington St
33.3%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMississippi StTulaneWashington St
30.8%
<0.1%
GeorgiaKentuckyTulaneWashington St
27.8%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMississippi StThe CitadelWashington St
27.3%
<0.1%
GeorgiaLSUThe CitadelWashington St
25.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaLSUThe CitadelTulane
24.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaOklahomaThe CitadelWashington St
22.9%
<0.1%
GeorgiaKentuckyThe CitadelTulane
21.6%
<0.1%
GeorgiaKentuckyThe CitadelWashington St
21.4%
<0.1%
GeorgiaSouth CarolinaThe CitadelWashington St
21.1%
<0.1%
ArkansasGeorgiaThe CitadelWashington St
20.0%
<0.1%
FloridaSouth CarolinaThe CitadelWashington St
20.0%
<0.1%
FloridaGeorgiaTulaneWashington St
19.1%
<0.1%
GeorgiaSouth CarolinaTulaneWashington St
19.1%
<0.1%
GeorgiaOklahomaTulaneWashington St
15.9%
<0.1%
GeorgiaSouth CarolinaThe CitadelTulane
14.8%
<0.1%
FloridaGeorgiaThe CitadelTulane
14.3%
<0.1%
FloridaOklahomaThe CitadelTulane
14.3%
<0.1%
GeorgiaLSUTulaneWashington St
14.3%
<0.1%
GeorgiaOklahomaThe CitadelTulane
11.4%
<0.1%
FloridaGeorgiaKentuckyWashington St
9.1%
<0.1%
ArkansasGeorgiaThe CitadelTulane
7.4%
<0.1%
ArkansasGeorgiaTulaneWashington St
5.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaKentuckyMississippi StTulane
4.8%
<0.1%
ArkansasGeorgiaSouth CarolinaWashington St
4.5%
<0.1%
GeorgiaKentuckySouth CarolinaWashington St
3.5%
<0.1%
GeorgiaKentuckyLSUWashington St
2.8%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMississippi StOklahomaThe Citadel
2.3%
<0.1%
ArkansasGeorgiaSouth CarolinaThe Citadel
2.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasGeorgiaOklahomaTulane
1.8%
<0.1%
GeorgiaKentuckySouth CarolinaThe Citadel
1.5%
<0.1%
FloridaGeorgiaLSUTulane
1.2%
<0.1%
FloridaGeorgiaOklahomaTulane
0.9%
0.1%

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

MississippiCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com