Florida

FloridaGators

1-1 T2nd (0-0) in SEC

Data from 2025-09-07 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

1.4%

Based on 100,000 simulations

FloridaSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/30
vsLong Island UniversityLIU
W55-0
29/06
vsSouth FloridaUSF
L16-18
39/13
@LSULSU
Win prob:35%
49/20
@Miami FLMIA
Win prob:33%
610/04
vsTexasTEX
Win prob:33%
710/11
@Texas A&MTA&M
Win prob:39%
810/18
vsMississippi StMSST
Win prob:86%
1011/01
vsGeorgiaUGA(N)
Win prob:10%
1111/08
@KentuckyUK
Win prob:66%
1211/15
@MississippiMISS
Win prob:14%
1311/22
vsTennesseeTENN
Win prob:41%
1411/29
vsFlorida StFSU
Win prob:81%

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

FloridaRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
0.0%
100.0%
7-1
0.3%
96.6%
6-2
2.8%
36.9%
5-3
11.4%
0.4%
4-4
25.7%
0%
3-5
32.0%
0%
2-6
21.0%
0%
1-7
6.2%
0%
0-8
0.6%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Florida CCG Opponents

if Florida makes the CCG

GeorgiaGeorgia
62.8%
Ole MissMississippi
21.7%
TexasTexas
7.8%
TennesseeTennessee
5.4%
LSULSU
2.3%

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

FloridaThis Week's Impact

Game
FloridaCCG OddsAway
FloridaCCG OddsHome
ArkansasARK@MississippiMISS
1.8%
(+0.4%)		1.4%
(-0.0%)
FloridaFLA@LSULSU
3.1%
(+1.7%)		0.5%
(-0.9%)
South AlabamaUSA@AuburnAUB
1.4%
(+0.0%)		1.4%
(+0.0%)
E MichiganEMU@KentuckyUK
1.4%
(-0.0%)		1.4%
(+0.0%)
VanderbiltVAN@South CarolinaSC
1.5%
(+0.1%)		1.4%
(-0.0%)
LouisianaUL@MissouriMIZ
1.6%
(+0.2%)		1.4%
(-0.1%)
UTEPUTEP@TexasTEX
1.3%
(-0.1%)		1.4%
(+0.0%)
Alcorn StateALCN@Mississippi StMSST
1.5%
(+0.1%)		1.4%
(-0.0%)
WisconsinWIS@AlabamaALA
1.3%
(-0.1%)		1.4%
(+0.0%)
OklahomaOU@TempleTEM
1.4%
(-0.0%)		1.4%
(+0.0%)
Texas A&MTA&M@Notre DameND
1.4%
(+0.0%)		1.4%
(+0.0%)
GeorgiaUGA@TennesseeTENN
1.4%
(-0.0%)		1.5%
(+0.1%)

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

FloridaLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Florida CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 1 loss
93.3%
0.1%
Georgia
100.0%
<0.1%
Miami FL
100.0%
<0.1%
LSU
100.0%
<0.1%
Texas A&M
100.0%
<0.1%
Kentucky
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida St
100.0%
<0.1%
Mississippi
85.0%
<0.1%
Texas
83.3%
<0.1%
Tennessee
80.0%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
49.2%
0.9%
Miami FLTexas A&M
100.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMiami FL
100.0%
<0.1%
Miami FLTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida StMississippi
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUMiami FL
100.0%
<0.1%
Miami FLMississippi St
100.0%
<0.1%
KentuckyMiami FL
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida StGeorgia
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida StMiami FL
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida StTexas A&M
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida StTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
Miami FLMississippi
91.1%
<0.1%
Miami FLTexas
90.0%
<0.1%
LSUTexas A&M
77.8%
<0.1%
KentuckyTennessee
66.7%
<0.1%
LSUMississippi
63.3%
<0.1%
TennesseeTexas
62.5%
<0.1%
TennesseeTexas A&M
62.5%
<0.1%
KentuckyTexas A&M
60.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaTexas A&M
54.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaLSU
51.9%
<0.1%
LSUTexas
50.0%
<0.1%
KentuckyLSU
50.0%
<0.1%
LSUTennessee
45.5%
<0.1%
MississippiTennessee
41.7%
<0.1%
TexasTexas A&M
40.0%
<0.1%
MississippiTexas A&M
38.9%
<0.1%
GeorgiaKentucky
35.3%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMississippi St
33.3%
<0.1%
Mississippi StTexas
33.3%
<0.1%
GeorgiaTennessee
31.6%
<0.1%
MississippiTexas
28.8%
<0.1%
MississippiMississippi St
25.0%
<0.1%
KentuckyMississippi
25.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaTexas
23.2%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMississippi
19.6%
0.2%
KentuckyTexas
16.7%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
29.4%
2.3%
Florida StGeorgiaMiami FL
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida StMiami FLMississippi
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida StKentuckyMississippi
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida StTennesseeTexas A&M
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida StMiami FLTexas
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida StKentuckyTexas A&M
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida StLSUMiami FL
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida StMiami FLTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida StKentuckyLSU
100.0%
<0.1%
KentuckyLSUMiami FL
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida StLSUMississippi St
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida StGeorgiaMississippi St
100.0%
<0.1%
Miami FLMississippi StTexas
83.3%
<0.1%
Florida StLSUTennessee
80.0%
<0.1%
Miami FLMississippi StTexas A&M
80.0%
<0.1%
Florida StLSUTexas A&M
80.0%
<0.1%
Miami FLMississippiMississippi St
66.7%
<0.1%
Florida StTexasTexas A&M
66.7%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMiami FLMississippi St
66.7%
<0.1%
GeorgiaKentuckyMiami FL
64.7%
<0.1%
Florida StLSUMississippi
62.5%
<0.1%
LSUMiami FLTexas A&M
61.9%
<0.1%
LSUMiami FLTexas
56.3%
<0.1%
Miami FLMississippiTexas A&M
54.7%
<0.1%
LSUMiami FLTennessee
53.3%
<0.1%
Miami FLTennesseeTexas
51.8%
<0.1%
Miami FLTexasTexas A&M
51.6%
<0.1%
Florida StGeorgiaTexas A&M
50.0%
<0.1%
Florida StKentuckyTexas
50.0%
<0.1%
KentuckyMiami FLTennessee
50.0%
<0.1%
Florida StGeorgiaLSU
50.0%
<0.1%
Florida StMississippiTexas A&M
50.0%
<0.1%
Florida StTennesseeTexas
50.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMiami FLTexas A&M
47.9%
0.1%
KentuckyMiami FLMississippi
46.2%
<0.1%
GeorgiaLSUMiami FL
46.0%
0.1%
KentuckyMiami FLTexas
38.5%
<0.1%
Florida StMississippiTexas
38.5%
<0.1%
Miami FLMississippiTennessee
37.5%
<0.1%
Florida StMississippiTennessee
37.5%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMiami FLTennessee
37.2%
<0.1%
LSUMiami FLMississippi
35.2%
<0.1%
Miami FLMississippi StTennessee
33.3%
<0.1%
Miami FLMississippiTexas
30.8%
0.1%
GeorgiaMiami FLTexas
29.9%
0.1%
Miami FLTennesseeTexas A&M
27.3%
<0.1%
Florida StGeorgiaTennessee
27.3%
<0.1%
Florida StGeorgiaMississippi
26.7%
<0.1%
Florida StGeorgiaTexas
26.3%
<0.1%
Florida StLSUTexas
25.0%
<0.1%
LSUMiami FLMississippi St
25.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMiami FLMississippi
22.2%
0.4%
KentuckyMiami FLTexas A&M
20.0%
<0.1%
KentuckyTennesseeTexas
11.1%
<0.1%
GeorgiaLSUMississippi St
6.7%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMississippiMississippi St
4.8%
<0.1%
GeorgiaKentuckyTennessee
3.3%
<0.1%
KentuckyLSUMississippi
3.2%
<0.1%
GeorgiaKentuckyTexas A&M
3.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaKentuckyMississippi
1.5%
0.1%
LSUMississippiTennessee
1.4%
<0.1%
GeorgiaLSUTennessee
1.2%
<0.1%
GeorgiaLSUTexas
0.7%
0.1%

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

FloridaCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com