Mississippi

Ole MissRebels

2-0 1st (1-0) in SEC

Data from 2025-09-07 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

49.6%

Based on 100,000 simulations

MississippiSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/30
vsGeorgia StGAST
W63-7
29/06
@KentuckyUK
W30-23
39/13
vsArkansasARK
Win prob:92%
49/20
vsTulaneTULN
Win prob:88%
59/27
vsLSULSU
Win prob:82%
710/11
vsWashington StWSU
Win prob:94%
810/18
@GeorgiaUGA
Win prob:27%
910/25
@OklahomaOU
Win prob:79%
1011/01
vsSouth CarolinaSC
Win prob:82%
1111/08
vsThe CitadelCIT
Win prob:90%
1211/15
vsFloridaFLA
Win prob:86%
1411/28
@Mississippi StMSST
Win prob:93%

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

MississippiRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
10.7%
100.0%
7-1
39.5%
82.8%
6-2
33.9%
18.3%
5-3
12.9%
0.3%
4-4
2.6%
0%
3-5
0.3%
0%
2-6
0.0%
0%
1-7
0%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Mississippi CCG Opponents

if Mississippi makes the CCG

GeorgiaGeorgia
73.1%
TexasTexas
13.0%
TennesseeTennessee
8.2%
AlabamaAlabama
3.0%
South CarolinaSouth Carolina
2.6%

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

MississippiThis Week's Impact

Game
MississippiCCG OddsAway
MississippiCCG OddsHome
ArkansasARK@MississippiMISS
18.9%
(-30.7%)		52.4%
(+2.8%)
FloridaFLA@LSULSU
50.1%
(+0.5%)		49.4%
(-0.3%)
South AlabamaUSA@AuburnAUB
49.8%
(+0.1%)		49.6%
(-0.1%)
E MichiganEMU@KentuckyUK
49.0%
(-0.7%)		49.8%
(+0.1%)
VanderbiltVAN@South CarolinaSC
48.6%
(-1.1%)		49.9%
(+0.2%)
LouisianaUL@MissouriMIZ
49.4%
(-0.3%)		49.7%
(+0.1%)
UTEPUTEP@TexasTEX
48.1%
(-1.5%)		49.7%
(+0.0%)
Alcorn StateALCN@Mississippi StMSST
49.6%
(-0.1%)		49.6%
(+0.0%)
WisconsinWIS@AlabamaALA
49.8%
(+0.1%)		49.6%
(-0.0%)
OklahomaOU@TempleTEM
49.6%
(-0.0%)		49.8%
(+0.2%)
Texas A&MTA&M@Notre DameND
49.7%
(+0.1%)		49.6%
(+0.0%)
GeorgiaUGA@TennesseeTENN
50.8%
(+1.2%)		45.9%
(-3.7%)

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

MississippiLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Mississippi CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
8.0%
Any 1 loss
84.2%
32.0%
The Citadel
100.0%
0.9%
Tulane
100.0%
1.1%
Washington St
100.0%
0.5%
Oklahoma
93.5%
2.1%
LSU
93.3%
1.8%
Arkansas
91.9%
0.7%
South Carolina
90.2%
1.8%
Florida
82.9%
1.3%
Georgia
80.2%
21.3%
Mississippi St
79.9%
0.6%
Any 2 losses
35.4%
34.5%
The CitadelTulane
100.0%
0.1%
The CitadelWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
TulaneWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUThe Citadel
94.4%
0.2%
OklahomaTulane
94.3%
0.3%
ArkansasThe Citadel
93.7%
<0.1%
OklahomaThe Citadel
93.6%
0.3%
LSUWashington St
93.2%
0.1%
Mississippi StWashington St
93.1%
<0.1%
LSUTulane
93.0%
0.2%
OklahomaWashington St
92.4%
0.1%
ArkansasWashington St
92.3%
<0.1%
South CarolinaTulane
91.9%
0.2%
South CarolinaThe Citadel
91.9%
0.2%
ArkansasTulane
90.2%
<0.1%
South CarolinaWashington St
87.7%
0.1%
FloridaWashington St
86.7%
0.1%
Mississippi StTulane
82.5%
<0.1%
FloridaThe Citadel
82.4%
0.2%
GeorgiaWashington St
81.5%
1.4%
FloridaTulane
79.8%
0.2%
GeorgiaTulane
79.6%
2.9%
GeorgiaThe Citadel
78.8%
2.2%
Mississippi StThe Citadel
73.0%
<0.1%
LSUMississippi St
35.6%
0.1%
FloridaMississippi St
33.3%
0.1%
Mississippi StSouth Carolina
30.3%
0.1%
Mississippi StOklahoma
29.3%
0.1%
ArkansasSouth Carolina
28.2%
0.2%
ArkansasLSU
27.9%
0.2%
LSUOklahoma
27.6%
0.5%
ArkansasFlorida
26.1%
0.1%
ArkansasMississippi St
25.9%
<0.1%
ArkansasOklahoma
25.8%
0.2%
FloridaOklahoma
25.1%
0.4%
LSUSouth Carolina
24.6%
0.4%
OklahomaSouth Carolina
24.4%
0.5%
FloridaLSU
24.2%
0.3%
FloridaSouth Carolina
23.9%
0.3%
GeorgiaMississippi St
21.4%
1.6%
GeorgiaLSU
19.5%
4.7%
GeorgiaSouth Carolina
18.6%
4.7%
ArkansasGeorgia
15.8%
1.9%
FloridaGeorgia
15.1%
3.4%
GeorgiaOklahoma
12.9%
5.5%
Any 3 losses
23.0%
10.0%
ArkansasThe CitadelTulane
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUThe CitadelWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
OklahomaTulaneWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
South CarolinaThe CitadelWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUTulaneWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
The CitadelTulaneWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
South CarolinaTulaneWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
Mississippi StThe CitadelWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasThe CitadelWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
OklahomaThe CitadelTulane
92.6%
<0.1%
LSUThe CitadelTulane
91.2%
<0.1%
ArkansasTulaneWashington St
90.9%
<0.1%
FloridaThe CitadelWashington St
90.9%
<0.1%
South CarolinaThe CitadelTulane
89.7%
<0.1%
Mississippi StThe CitadelTulane
88.9%
<0.1%
OklahomaThe CitadelWashington St
88.2%
<0.1%
FloridaTulaneWashington St
87.5%
<0.1%
FloridaThe CitadelTulane
86.7%
<0.1%
GeorgiaTulaneWashington St
82.3%
0.2%
Mississippi StTulaneWashington St
80.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaThe CitadelTulane
79.7%
0.3%
GeorgiaThe CitadelWashington St
76.5%
0.2%
ArkansasFloridaThe Citadel
60.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasSouth CarolinaTulane
50.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasMississippi StThe Citadel
50.0%
<0.1%
Mississippi StOklahomaWashington St
46.7%
<0.1%
ArkansasFloridaTulane
40.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasOklahomaThe Citadel
40.0%
<0.1%
LSUMississippi StWashington St
40.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasLSUWashington St
38.5%
<0.1%
ArkansasLSUTulane
37.5%
<0.1%
ArkansasSouth CarolinaWashington St
33.3%
<0.1%
FloridaMississippi StThe Citadel
30.8%
<0.1%
OklahomaSouth CarolinaWashington St
29.6%
<0.1%
LSUSouth CarolinaWashington St
29.6%
<0.1%
FloridaSouth CarolinaWashington St
29.4%
<0.1%
LSUOklahomaWashington St
27.6%
<0.1%
OklahomaSouth CarolinaThe Citadel
27.5%
<0.1%
LSUOklahomaTulane
27.4%
<0.1%
Mississippi StSouth CarolinaWashington St
27.3%
<0.1%
ArkansasSouth CarolinaThe Citadel
26.3%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMississippi StTulane
26.2%
0.2%
LSUMississippi StTulane
26.1%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMississippi StThe Citadel
25.3%
0.2%
ArkansasFloridaWashington St
25.0%
<0.1%
LSUOklahomaThe Citadel
24.4%
<0.1%
FloridaSouth CarolinaThe Citadel
24.2%
<0.1%
ArkansasOklahomaTulane
24.1%
<0.1%
Mississippi StSouth CarolinaThe Citadel
23.5%
<0.1%
GeorgiaLSUThe Citadel
22.7%
0.5%
FloridaLSUThe Citadel
22.2%
<0.1%
LSUMississippi StThe Citadel
22.2%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMississippi StWashington St
21.6%
0.1%
ArkansasOklahomaWashington St
21.4%
<0.1%
GeorgiaSouth CarolinaThe Citadel
21.0%
0.5%
GeorgiaLSUTulane
20.9%
0.6%
FloridaSouth CarolinaTulane
20.0%
<0.1%
Mississippi StSouth CarolinaTulane
20.0%
<0.1%
FloridaMississippi StWashington St
20.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaSouth CarolinaTulane
19.8%
0.6%
LSUSouth CarolinaThe Citadel
19.2%
<0.1%
GeorgiaLSUWashington St
19.0%
0.3%
FloridaGeorgiaThe Citadel
18.8%
0.4%
OklahomaSouth CarolinaTulane
17.9%
<0.1%
GeorgiaOklahomaWashington St
17.6%
0.3%
GeorgiaSouth CarolinaWashington St
17.4%
0.3%
FloridaOklahomaThe Citadel
17.4%
<0.1%
FloridaGeorgiaWashington St
17.2%
0.2%
FloridaOklahomaWashington St
16.7%
<0.1%
ArkansasGeorgiaThe Citadel
16.6%
0.2%
FloridaOklahomaTulane
16.3%
<0.1%
Mississippi StOklahomaTulane
15.4%
<0.1%
ArkansasLSUThe Citadel
15.4%
<0.1%
ArkansasGeorgiaWashington St
15.3%
0.1%
ArkansasGeorgiaTulane
15.1%
0.3%
FloridaLSUWashington St
15.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasMississippi StTulane
14.3%
<0.1%
FloridaGeorgiaTulane
14.1%
0.5%
GeorgiaOklahomaThe Citadel
13.8%
0.6%
FloridaLSUTulane
12.5%
<0.1%
FloridaMississippi StTulane
12.5%
<0.1%
LSUSouth CarolinaTulane
12.1%
<0.1%
GeorgiaOklahomaTulane
12.0%
0.8%
Mississippi StOklahomaThe Citadel
10.5%
<0.1%
FloridaMississippi StSouth Carolina
4.2%
<0.1%
GeorgiaLSUMississippi St
1.3%
0.3%
FloridaLSUOklahoma
1.3%
<0.1%
ArkansasGeorgiaMississippi St
0.8%
0.1%
FloridaGeorgiaMississippi St
0.8%
0.3%
GeorgiaMississippi StSouth Carolina
0.6%
0.3%
Any 4 losses
12.3%
1.2%
LSUThe CitadelTulaneWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
Mississippi StOklahomaTulaneWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
Mississippi StThe CitadelTulaneWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
OklahomaThe CitadelTulaneWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
FloridaThe CitadelTulaneWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
South CarolinaThe CitadelTulaneWashington St
100.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasMississippi StThe CitadelTulane
100.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaThe CitadelTulaneWashington St
73.9%
<0.1%
ArkansasSouth CarolinaThe CitadelWashington St
66.7%
<0.1%
FloridaSouth CarolinaThe CitadelWashington St
50.0%
<0.1%
LSUMississippi StThe CitadelWashington St
50.0%
<0.1%
FloridaLSUTulaneWashington St
50.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasSouth CarolinaThe CitadelTulane
50.0%
<0.1%
FloridaLSUThe CitadelWashington St
50.0%
<0.1%
LSUOklahomaTulaneWashington St
50.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasOklahomaTulaneWashington St
50.0%
<0.1%
Mississippi StSouth CarolinaTulaneWashington St
50.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasFloridaThe CitadelWashington St
50.0%
<0.1%
LSUMississippi StTulaneWashington St
50.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasLSUThe CitadelTulane
50.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMississippi StThe CitadelWashington St
42.9%
<0.1%
LSUSouth CarolinaThe CitadelTulane
40.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMississippi StThe CitadelTulane
38.1%
<0.1%
LSUOklahomaThe CitadelWashington St
33.3%
<0.1%
ArkansasSouth CarolinaTulaneWashington St
33.3%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMississippi StTulaneWashington St
30.8%
<0.1%
GeorgiaSouth CarolinaThe CitadelWashington St
29.0%
<0.1%
LSUSouth CarolinaTulaneWashington St
25.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaLSUTulaneWashington St
23.1%
<0.1%
GeorgiaLSUThe CitadelTulane
22.8%
<0.1%
GeorgiaSouth CarolinaTulaneWashington St
21.9%
<0.1%
GeorgiaSouth CarolinaThe CitadelTulane
21.4%
<0.1%
FloridaLSUThe CitadelTulane
20.0%
<0.1%
LSUOklahomaThe CitadelTulane
20.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaLSUThe CitadelWashington St
18.5%
<0.1%
FloridaGeorgiaThe CitadelWashington St
15.4%
<0.1%
FloridaGeorgiaThe CitadelTulane
15.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasGeorgiaThe CitadelWashington St
14.3%
<0.1%
GeorgiaOklahomaThe CitadelTulane
13.6%
<0.1%
GeorgiaOklahomaTulaneWashington St
13.2%
<0.1%
ArkansasGeorgiaThe CitadelTulane
11.1%
<0.1%
FloridaGeorgiaTulaneWashington St
8.7%
<0.1%
GeorgiaOklahomaThe CitadelWashington St
7.1%
<0.1%
ArkansasGeorgiaTulaneWashington St
5.9%
<0.1%
ArkansasFloridaGeorgiaThe Citadel
3.1%
<0.1%
FloridaGeorgiaLSUThe Citadel
2.4%
<0.1%
ArkansasGeorgiaLSUThe Citadel
2.3%
<0.1%
ArkansasGeorgiaSouth CarolinaTulane
1.7%
<0.1%
GeorgiaOklahomaSouth CarolinaThe Citadel
1.4%
0.1%
GeorgiaLSUOklahomaWashington St
1.2%
<0.1%
FloridaGeorgiaOklahomaThe Citadel
1.0%
0.1%

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

MississippiCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com