Arkansas

ArkansasRazorbacks

2-0 T2nd (0-0) in SEC

Data from 2025-09-07 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.4%

Based on 100,000 simulations

ArkansasSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/30
W52-7
29/06
W56-14
39/13
Win prob:8%
49/20
Win prob:38%
59/27
Win prob:4%
710/11
Win prob:17%
810/18
Win prob:40%
910/25
Win prob:53%
1011/01
Win prob:77%
1211/15
Win prob:23%
1311/22
Win prob:12%
1411/29
Win prob:48%

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

ArkansasRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
0%
100.0%
7-1
0.1%
84.4%
6-2
1.1%
28.8%
5-3
6.4%
0.2%
4-4
19.2%
0%
3-5
31.6%
0%
2-6
28.0%
0%
1-7
12.0%
0%
0-8
1.8%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Arkansas CCG Opponents

if Arkansas makes the CCG

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

ArkansasThis Week's Impact

Game
ArkansasCCG OddsAway
ArkansasCCG OddsHome
2.5%
(+2.1%)
0.2%
(-0.2%)
0.4%
(-0.0%)
0.4%
(+0.0%)
0.4%
(+0.0%)
0.4%
(-0.0%)
0.4%
(+0.0%)
0.4%
(-0.0%)
0.4%
(+0.0%)
0.4%
(-0.0%)
0.5%
(+0.1%)
0.4%
(-0.0%)
0.8%
(+0.4%)
0.4%
(-0.0%)
0.3%
(-0.1%)
0.4%
(+0.0%)
0.4%
(-0.0%)
0.4%
(+0.0%)
0.4%
(+0.0%)
0.4%
(+0.0%)
0.3%
(-0.1%)
0.4%
(+0.0%)
0.3%
(-0.1%)
0.5%
(+0.1%)

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

ArkansasLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Arkansas CCG Probability
Likelihood
Any 2 losses
76.9%
<0.1%
MemphisTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
Notre DameTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
MissouriTexas
100.0%
<0.1%
Notre DameTexas A&M
100.0%
<0.1%
MissouriNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
MemphisNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
MemphisTexas A&M
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUMissouri
100.0%
<0.1%
TennesseeTexas
100.0%
<0.1%
MemphisMissouri
100.0%
<0.1%
Notre DameTexas
83.3%
<0.1%
MississippiNotre Dame
73.7%
<0.1%
LSUMississippi
50.0%
<0.1%
MississippiTennessee
50.0%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
34.8%
0.4%
MemphisNotre DameTexas A&M
100.0%
<0.1%
MemphisNotre DameTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
MemphisMissouriNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnNotre DameTexas A&M
100.0%
<0.1%
MemphisMississippiNotre Dame
87.5%
<0.1%
LSUMemphisNotre Dame
85.7%
<0.1%
MemphisNotre DameTexas
81.8%
<0.1%
Notre DameTexasTexas A&M
62.5%
<0.1%
Notre DameTennesseeTexas A&M
60.0%
<0.1%
MississippiMississippi StNotre Dame
50.0%
<0.1%
LSUMemphisMississippi
50.0%
<0.1%
LSUNotre DameTennessee
50.0%
<0.1%
AuburnLSUNotre Dame
50.0%
<0.1%
LSUMississippi StNotre Dame
50.0%
<0.1%
MissouriNotre DameTexas A&M
50.0%
<0.1%
LSUMemphisTennessee
50.0%
<0.1%
LSUMemphisTexas
50.0%
<0.1%
LSUNotre DameTexas A&M
50.0%
<0.1%
MississippiNotre DameTexas A&M
46.7%
<0.1%
LSUMissouriNotre Dame
42.9%
<0.1%
AuburnMississippiNotre Dame
33.3%
<0.1%
MemphisMississippiTennessee
33.3%
<0.1%
MissouriNotre DameTennessee
33.3%
<0.1%
Mississippi StNotre DameTennessee
33.3%
<0.1%
MemphisTennesseeTexas
33.3%
<0.1%
Notre DameTennesseeTexas
30.8%
<0.1%
AuburnNotre DameTexas
28.6%
<0.1%
AuburnNotre DameTennessee
28.6%
<0.1%
LSUNotre DameTexas
28.0%
<0.1%
LSUMississippiNotre Dame
26.5%
<0.1%
MississippiNotre DameTennessee
26.2%
<0.1%
MississippiNotre DameTexas
17.4%
<0.1%
MississippiMissouriNotre Dame
11.1%
<0.1%
Any 4 losses
26.6%
0.7%
AuburnMemphisNotre DameTexas A&M
100.0%
<0.1%
MemphisMississippi StNotre DameTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
MemphisMississippi StNotre DameTexas A&M
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnMemphisMissouriNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnMemphisNotre DameTennessee
72.7%
<0.1%
MemphisMissouriNotre DameTennessee
63.6%
<0.1%
MemphisNotre DameTexasTexas A&M
52.6%
<0.1%
LSUMemphisNotre DameTexas A&M
50.0%
<0.1%
MemphisNotre DameTennesseeTexas A&M
50.0%
<0.1%
AuburnMississippi StNotre DameTexas
50.0%
<0.1%
AuburnLSUMemphisNotre Dame
40.0%
<0.1%
AuburnMemphisNotre DameTexas
40.0%
<0.1%
LSUMemphisNotre DameTexas
38.1%
<0.1%
MemphisMissouriNotre DameTexas
37.5%
<0.1%
LSUMemphisMissouriNotre Dame
33.3%
<0.1%
MemphisMississippiMississippi StNotre Dame
33.3%
<0.1%
LSUMemphisMississippiNotre Dame
31.5%
<0.1%
MemphisMississippiMissouriNotre Dame
30.0%
<0.1%
MemphisMississippiNotre DameTexas A&M
28.1%
<0.1%
AuburnMemphisMississippiNotre Dame
27.8%
<0.1%
LSUMemphisMississippiTexas A&M
25.0%
<0.1%
LSUMemphisMississippi StNotre Dame
25.0%
<0.1%
MemphisMissouriTennesseeTexas
25.0%
<0.1%
LSUMemphisNotre DameTennessee
24.1%
<0.1%
MemphisMississippiNotre DameTennessee
23.5%
0.1%
MemphisNotre DameTennesseeTexas
23.0%
<0.1%
MemphisMississippiNotre DameTexas
19.6%
0.1%
AuburnLSUNotre DameTexas A&M
8.3%
<0.1%
Notre DameTennesseeTexasTexas A&M
1.6%
<0.1%

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

ArkansasCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com