MinnesotaGolden Gophers

2-1 T3rd (0-0) in B1G

Data from 2025-09-14 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.6%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/28	vsBuffaloBUF	W23-10
2	9/06	vsNorthwestern StateNWST	W66-0
3	9/13	@CaliforniaCAL	L14-27
5	9/27	vsRutgersRUTG	Win prob:63%
6	10/04	@Ohio StateOSU	Win prob:9%
7	10/11	vsPurduePUR	Win prob:91%
8	10/17	vsNebraskaNEB	Win prob:48%
9	10/25	@IowaIOWA	Win prob:35%
10	11/01	vsMichigan StateMSU	Win prob:83%
12	11/14	@OregonORE	Win prob:8%
13	11/22	vsNorthwesternNU(N)	Win prob:79%
14	11/29	vsWisconsinWIS	Win prob:59%

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
9-0	0.0%	100.0%
8-1	0.8%	52.8%
7-2	6.2%	2.2%
6-3	20.4%	0%
5-4	32.0%	0%
4-5	26.1%	0%
3-6	11.4%	0%
2-7	2.8%	0%
1-8	0.3%	0%
0-9	0.0%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

44.8%

22.4%

17.2%

10.3%

5.2%

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
IllinoisILL@IndianaIU	0.8% (+0.2%)	0.5% (-0.0%)
WashingtonWASH@Washington StateWSU	0.6% (+0.0%)	0.6% (-0.0%)
Oregon StateORST@OregonORE	0.4% (-0.2%)	0.6% (+0.0%)
IowaIOWA@RutgersRUTG	0.6% (+0.0%)	0.5% (-0.0%)
MarylandMD@WisconsinWIS	0.6% (+0.0%)	0.6% (+0.0%)
MichiganMICH@NebraskaNEB	0.5% (-0.1%)	0.6% (+0.1%)
Michigan StateMSU@USCUSC	0.7% (+0.1%)	0.6% (+0.0%)
PurduePUR@Notre DameND	0.7% (+0.1%)	0.6% (+0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for

Illinois

Washington

Rutgers

Maryland

Nebraska

Michigan State

CCG: 8.7% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

Illinois

Oregon

Notre Dame

CCG: 0.8% • Scenario: 16.1%

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

100.0%

<0.1%

Any 1 loss

53.0%

0.8%

100.0%

<0.1%

73.1%

<0.1%

72.7%

<0.1%

66.7%

<0.1%

66.7%

<0.1%

63.2%

<0.1%

57.1%

<0.1%

51.7%

0.3%

46.6%

0.3%

Any 2 losses

2.2%

6.1%

20.0%

<0.1%

18.2%

<0.1%

12.5%

<0.1%

11.1%

<0.1%

11.1%

<0.1%

11.1%

<0.1%

10.7%

<0.1%

8.9%

<0.1%

7.7%

<0.1%

6.3%

0.2%

5.8%

<0.1%

5.1%

<0.1%

4.7%

0.2%

3.5%

0.2%

3.4%

0.5%

3.2%

<0.1%

3.2%

<0.1%

3.2%

0.3%

3.0%

<0.1%

3.0%

0.6%

2.9%

<0.1%

2.4%

0.3%

2.2%

<0.1%

1.5%

0.2%

0.8%

3.1%

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com