Delaware

DelawareBlue Hens

1-1 T1st (0-0) in CUSA

Data from 2026-09-17

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

67.5%

Based on 1,000,000 simulations

What is Delaware's probability of making the Conference USA Championship Game?

Delaware has a 67.5% chance to reach the Conference USA Championship Game, as of week 3 of the 2026 season, based on a 1,000,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Delaware's Conference USA Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.

DelawareSchedule & Results

WkDateOpponentResult
19/03
vsMerrimackMRMK
W42-7
29/12
@VanderbiltVAN
L26-35
39/19
vsCoastal CarCCU
Win prob:76%
49/26
@VirginiaUVA
Win prob:6%
510/02
vsLibertyLIB
Win prob:75%
710/13
@MTSUMTSU
Win prob:78%
810/20
vsMissouri StMOST
Win prob:81%
910/27
@WKUWKU
Win prob:74%
1011/07
@KennesawKENN
Win prob:64%
1111/14
vsFlorida IntlFIU
Win prob:75%
1211/21
@New Mexico StNMSU
Win prob:71%
1311/28
vsJacksonville StJXST
Win prob:74%

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

DelawareRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
8.8%
100.0%
7-1
25.2%
99.9%
6-2
31.3%
88.5%
5-3
22.0%
26.6%
4-4
9.6%
0.1%
3-5
2.7%
0%
2-6
0.4%
0%
1-7
0.0%
0%
0-8
0%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

Possible Delaware CCG Opponents

if Delaware makes the CCG

JXSTJacksonville St
21.9%
LIBLiberty
20.8%
FIUFlorida Intl
17.2%
KENNKennesaw
13.6%
MOSTMissouri St
8.3%
NMSUNew Mexico St
6.4%
WKUWKU
4.8%
SHSUSam Houston St
4.7%
MTSUMTSU
2.3%

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

DelawareThis Week's Impact

Game
DelawareCCG OddsAway Wins
DelawareCCG OddsHome Wins
Sat, Sep 19
Coastal CarCCU@DelawareDEL
67.6%
(+0.1%)		67.5%
(-0.0%)
Ball StBALL@LibertyLIB
67.5%
(+0.0%)		67.5%
(+0.0%)
WKUWKU@IndianaIU
66.8%
(-0.7%)		67.5%
(+0.0%)
Florida IntlFIU@FL AtlanticFAU
67.5%
(-0.0%)		67.5%
(+0.0%)
MarshallMRSH@Missouri StMOST
67.4%
(-0.1%)		67.5%
(+0.1%)
Ga SouthernGASO@Jacksonville StJXST
67.6%
(+0.1%)		67.4%
(-0.1%)
NevadaNEV@MTSUMTSU
67.5%
(-0.0%)		67.6%
(+0.1%)
NichollsNICH@Sam Houston StSHSU
67.6%
(+0.1%)		67.5%
(-0.0%)
KennesawKENN@TennesseeTENN
68.3%
(+0.8%)		67.5%
(-0.0%)

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

DelawareLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Delaware CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
0.4%
Any 1 loss
100.0%
7.5%
Virginia
100.0%
6.3%
WKU
100.0%
0.1%
MTSU
100.0%
0.1%
New Mexico St
100.0%
0.1%
Coastal Car
100.0%
0.1%
Florida Intl
100.0%
0.1%
Missouri St
100.0%
<0.1%
Kennesaw
99.9%
0.2%
Jacksonville St
99.9%
0.1%
Liberty
99.7%
0.1%
Any 2 losses
99.2%
21.7%
Coastal CarVirginia
100.0%
2.0%
Coastal CarKennesaw
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarNew Mexico St
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarJacksonville St
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarFlorida Intl
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarMTSU
100.0%
<0.1%
MTSUVirginia
100.0%
1.8%
New Mexico StVirginia
100.0%
2.6%
VirginiaWKU
100.0%
2.3%
Missouri StVirginia
99.9%
1.5%
KennesawVirginia
99.9%
3.5%
Florida IntlVirginia
99.9%
2.1%
LibertyVirginia
99.8%
2.2%
Coastal CarLiberty
99.8%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StVirginia
99.8%
2.2%
Coastal CarMissouri St
99.6%
<0.1%
MTSUWKU
98.5%
<0.1%
MTSUMissouri St
96.4%
<0.1%
New Mexico StWKU
95.5%
<0.1%
MTSUNew Mexico St
95.4%
<0.1%
Missouri StWKU
94.4%
<0.1%
KennesawMTSU
93.8%
<0.1%
Florida IntlMTSU
93.6%
<0.1%
Missouri StNew Mexico St
93.1%
<0.1%
LibertyMTSU
92.8%
<0.1%
KennesawWKU
92.4%
<0.1%
KennesawNew Mexico St
90.5%
<0.1%
KennesawMissouri St
89.8%
<0.1%
Florida IntlNew Mexico St
89.8%
<0.1%
LibertyWKU
89.5%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StMTSU
88.6%
<0.1%
Florida IntlWKU
87.6%
<0.1%
Florida IntlMissouri St
87.4%
<0.1%
Florida IntlKennesaw
86.8%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StNew Mexico St
86.7%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StWKU
86.6%
<0.1%
LibertyNew Mexico St
85.8%
<0.1%
KennesawLiberty
84.1%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StKennesaw
83.9%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StMissouri St
83.8%
<0.1%
LibertyMissouri St
83.2%
<0.1%
Florida IntlLiberty
79.6%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StLiberty
76.0%
<0.1%
Florida IntlJacksonville St
74.7%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
88.7%
29.5%
Coastal CarMTSUVirginia
100.0%
0.6%
Coastal CarVirginiaWKU
100.0%
0.7%
Coastal CarMissouri StVirginia
100.0%
0.5%
Coastal CarNew Mexico StVirginia
100.0%
0.8%
Coastal CarKennesawVirginia
99.9%
1.1%
Coastal CarFlorida IntlVirginia
99.8%
0.7%
Coastal CarJacksonville StVirginia
99.8%
0.7%
Coastal CarLibertyVirginia
99.7%
0.7%
Coastal CarMTSUNew Mexico St
97.9%
<0.1%
Coastal CarMTSUWKU
97.0%
<0.1%
MTSUNew Mexico StVirginia
96.6%
0.7%
MTSUVirginiaWKU
96.1%
0.7%
Coastal CarNew Mexico StWKU
95.6%
<0.1%
New Mexico StVirginiaWKU
95.0%
0.9%
MTSUMissouri StVirginia
94.8%
0.4%
KennesawMTSUVirginia
94.5%
1.0%
Coastal CarMTSUMissouri St
94.5%
<0.1%
Missouri StVirginiaWKU
93.9%
0.5%
Coastal CarKennesawMTSU
93.8%
<0.1%
Coastal CarKennesawWKU
93.8%
<0.1%
KennesawVirginiaWKU
93.3%
1.2%
Missouri StNew Mexico StVirginia
93.0%
0.6%
Florida IntlMTSUVirginia
92.6%
0.6%
Coastal CarJacksonville StMTSU
91.8%
<0.1%
Coastal CarKennesawNew Mexico St
91.8%
<0.1%
LibertyMTSUVirginia
91.5%
0.6%
KennesawNew Mexico StVirginia
91.5%
1.4%
Coastal CarMissouri StNew Mexico St
91.4%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StMTSUVirginia
91.4%
0.6%
Coastal CarFlorida IntlMTSU
91.3%
<0.1%
Coastal CarMissouri StWKU
91.2%
<0.1%
Coastal CarKennesawMissouri St
91.1%
<0.1%
KennesawMissouri StVirginia
90.2%
0.8%
Coastal CarFlorida IntlWKU
89.9%
<0.1%
Florida IntlNew Mexico StVirginia
89.8%
0.8%
Florida IntlVirginiaWKU
89.8%
0.8%
LibertyVirginiaWKU
89.5%
0.8%
Coastal CarLibertyNew Mexico St
89.2%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StVirginiaWKU
88.8%
0.8%
Coastal CarLibertyWKU
88.7%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StNew Mexico StVirginia
88.3%
0.9%
Coastal CarLibertyMissouri St
88.1%
<0.1%
Coastal CarJacksonville StWKU
88.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarLibertyMTSU
87.9%
<0.1%
LibertyNew Mexico StVirginia
87.5%
0.9%
Coastal CarFlorida IntlNew Mexico St
86.9%
<0.1%
Florida IntlMissouri StVirginia
86.8%
0.5%
Coastal CarFlorida IntlMissouri St
86.1%
<0.1%
Coastal CarJacksonville StNew Mexico St
85.6%
<0.1%
Coastal CarJacksonville StMissouri St
85.6%
<0.1%
LibertyMissouri StVirginia
85.5%
0.5%
Jacksonville StMissouri StVirginia
84.5%
0.5%
Coastal CarJacksonville StKennesaw
84.4%
<0.1%
Coastal CarKennesawLiberty
84.3%
<0.1%
Florida IntlKennesawVirginia
84.2%
1.2%
Jacksonville StKennesawVirginia
82.9%
1.2%
KennesawLibertyVirginia
82.5%
1.2%
Coastal CarFlorida IntlKennesaw
79.8%
<0.1%
Florida IntlJacksonville StVirginia
77.6%
0.7%
Florida IntlLibertyVirginia
77.3%
0.7%
Coastal CarFlorida IntlJacksonville St
77.3%
<0.1%
Coastal CarFlorida IntlLiberty
77.1%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StLibertyVirginia
73.9%
0.8%
Coastal CarJacksonville StLiberty
69.8%
<0.1%
KennesawMTSUNew Mexico St
44.1%
<0.1%
MTSUMissouri StWKU
43.8%
<0.1%
MTSUMissouri StNew Mexico St
41.0%
<0.1%
MTSUNew Mexico StWKU
40.5%
<0.1%
Florida IntlMTSUNew Mexico St
38.0%
<0.1%
KennesawMTSUWKU
37.5%
<0.1%
Florida IntlMTSUWKU
37.1%
<0.1%
KennesawMissouri StNew Mexico St
35.6%
<0.1%
KennesawNew Mexico StWKU
35.4%
<0.1%
KennesawMTSUMissouri St
35.1%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StMTSUWKU
34.3%
<0.1%
Missouri StNew Mexico StWKU
34.3%
<0.1%
Florida IntlMissouri StWKU
34.0%
<0.1%
Florida IntlKennesawMTSU
33.5%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StKennesawMTSU
32.7%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StNew Mexico StWKU
32.5%
<0.1%
LibertyMTSUNew Mexico St
31.9%
<0.1%
LibertyNew Mexico StWKU
30.8%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StMissouri StWKU
30.3%
<0.1%
Florida IntlMTSUMissouri St
30.1%
<0.1%
Florida IntlJacksonville StWKU
29.7%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StMTSUNew Mexico St
29.6%
<0.1%
LibertyMissouri StWKU
29.3%
<0.1%
Florida IntlNew Mexico StWKU
29.1%
<0.1%
Florida IntlJacksonville StMTSU
28.1%
<0.1%
LibertyMTSUWKU
27.5%
<0.1%
KennesawLibertyWKU
26.6%
<0.1%
LibertyMissouri StNew Mexico St
26.5%
<0.1%
LibertyMTSUMissouri St
25.9%
<0.1%
Florida IntlLibertyMTSU
25.8%
<0.1%
KennesawLibertyMTSU
25.4%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StMTSUMissouri St
25.3%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StKennesawNew Mexico St
25.1%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StKennesawWKU
24.4%
<0.1%
KennesawMissouri StWKU
23.7%
<0.1%
Florida IntlKennesawWKU
22.9%
<0.1%
KennesawLibertyNew Mexico St
22.8%
<0.1%
Florida IntlMissouri StNew Mexico St
22.4%
<0.1%
Florida IntlKennesawMissouri St
22.2%
<0.1%
Florida IntlLibertyWKU
22.1%
<0.1%
Florida IntlKennesawNew Mexico St
21.1%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StLibertyNew Mexico St
20.9%
<0.1%
Florida IntlLibertyMissouri St
20.8%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StLibertyWKU
20.8%
<0.1%
KennesawLibertyMissouri St
20.5%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StLibertyMissouri St
20.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StLibertyMTSU
18.5%
<0.1%
Florida IntlJacksonville StNew Mexico St
18.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StMissouri StNew Mexico St
17.5%
<0.1%
Florida IntlKennesawLiberty
15.1%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StKennesawLiberty
15.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StKennesawMissouri St
14.8%
<0.1%
Florida IntlJacksonville StKennesaw
13.5%
<0.1%
Florida IntlLibertyNew Mexico St
13.4%
<0.1%
Florida IntlJacksonville StMissouri St
13.3%
<0.1%
Florida IntlJacksonville StLiberty
13.2%
<0.1%

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

DelawareCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1 (8/4)Week 1 (8/31)Week 3 (9/8)Week 3 (9/13)

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com