Florida InternationalPanthers
0-0 T1st (0-0) in CUSA
Data from 2026-08-26
Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
12.3%
Based on 100,000 simulations
What is Florida International's probability of making the Conference USA Championship Game?
Florida International has a 12.3% chance to reach the Conference USA Championship Game, as of week 1 of the 2026 season, based on a 100,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Florida International's Conference USA Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.
Schedule & Results
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9/05 | Win prob:20% | ||
| 9/12 | Win prob:52% | ||
| 9/19 | Win prob:41% | ||
| 9/26 | Win prob:90% | ||
| 10/07 | Win prob:63% | ||
| 10/13 | Win prob:35% | ||
| 10/20 | Win prob:64% | ||
| 10/31 | Win prob:33% | ||
| 11/07 | Win prob:50% | ||
| 11/14 | Win prob:31% | ||
| 11/21 | Win prob:36% | ||
| 11/28 | Win prob:69% |
Data from 2026-08-26
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 8-0 | 0.2% | 100.0% |
| 7-1 | 1.9% | 99.3% |
| 6-2 | 8.4% | 80.0% |
| 5-3 | 19.9% | 17.9% |
| 4-4 | 28.6% | 0.1% |
| 3-5 | 24.7% | 0% |
| 2-6 | 12.5% | 0% |
| 1-7 | 3.5% | 0% |
| 0-8 | 0.4% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2026-08-26
Most Likely
CCG Opponents
if
makes the CCG
Data from 2026-08-26
This Week's Impact
| Game | ||
|---|---|---|
| 12.2% (-0.1%) | 12.4% (+0.1%) | |
| 12.3% (-0.0%) | 12.3% (+0.0%) |
Data from 2026-08-26
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
<0.1%Any 1 loss
100.0%
0.1%Any 2 losses
91.3%
0.9%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%98.4%
<0.1%98.3%
<0.1%98.3%
<0.1%94.4%
<0.1%93.3%
<0.1%92.9%
<0.1%90.0%
<0.1%90.0%
<0.1%90.0%
<0.1%88.9%
<0.1%81.8%
<0.1%81.5%
<0.1%80.0%
<0.1%77.8%
<0.1%75.0%
<0.1%73.5%
<0.1%71.4%
<0.1%70.0%
<0.1%64.3%
<0.1%56.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%Any 3 losses
71.8%
3.6%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%99.0%
0.1%98.7%
<0.1%98.6%
<0.1%98.5%
<0.1%93.8%
<0.1%93.8%
<0.1%92.3%
<0.1%91.4%
<0.1%90.9%
<0.1%90.9%
<0.1%90.7%
<0.1%90.0%
<0.1%90.0%
<0.1%88.9%
<0.1%88.2%
<0.1%87.9%
<0.1%87.5%
<0.1%87.5%
<0.1%87.5%
<0.1%87.5%
<0.1%85.7%
<0.1%85.7%
<0.1%85.7%
<0.1%85.7%
<0.1%85.7%
<0.1%85.1%
<0.1%83.3%
<0.1%83.3%
<0.1%83.3%
<0.1%83.3%
<0.1%83.3%
<0.1%83.3%
<0.1%82.8%
<0.1%82.3%
<0.1%81.8%
<0.1%81.4%
0.1%81.0%
<0.1%80.0%
<0.1%80.0%
<0.1%80.0%
<0.1%80.0%
<0.1%80.0%
<0.1%80.0%
<0.1%80.0%
<0.1%79.5%
0.1%78.8%
<0.1%78.6%
<0.1%78.3%
<0.1%77.3%
<0.1%76.9%
<0.1%76.6%
0.1%76.5%
<0.1%75.6%
<0.1%75.0%
<0.1%75.0%
<0.1%75.0%
<0.1%75.0%
<0.1%75.0%
<0.1%74.1%
<0.1%73.1%
<0.1%71.4%
<0.1%70.8%
0.1%70.6%
<0.1%70.4%
<0.1%69.2%
<0.1%68.4%
0.1%67.9%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%62.7%
<0.1%62.5%
<0.1%58.5%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%37.5%
<0.1%37.5%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%30.8%
<0.1%27.3%
<0.1%26.7%
<0.1%26.7%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%23.8%
<0.1%23.5%
<0.1%23.1%
<0.1%22.2%
<0.1%22.2%
<0.1%21.1%
<0.1%20.0%
<0.1%20.0%
<0.1%20.0%
<0.1%19.5%
<0.1%18.2%
<0.1%17.4%
<0.1%16.7%
<0.1%16.7%
<0.1%16.7%
<0.1%16.7%
<0.1%15.9%
<0.1%15.8%
<0.1%15.6%
<0.1%15.4%
<0.1%15.4%
<0.1%14.3%
<0.1%14.3%
<0.1%14.3%
<0.1%14.3%
<0.1%13.3%
<0.1%6.3%
<0.1%5.0%
<0.1%Any 4 losses
48.1%
9.0%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%98.5%
<0.1%95.5%
<0.1%95.2%
<0.1%95.2%
<0.1%94.7%
<0.1%94.1%
<0.1%93.8%
<0.1%92.9%
<0.1%92.5%
<0.1%92.3%
<0.1%92.3%
<0.1%90.9%
<0.1%90.0%
<0.1%90.0%
<0.1%89.1%
<0.1%88.9%
<0.1%88.9%
<0.1%88.9%
<0.1%88.9%
<0.1%88.2%
<0.1%88.0%
<0.1%87.5%
<0.1%87.5%
<0.1%87.5%
<0.1%87.5%
<0.1%87.5%
<0.1%87.5%
<0.1%87.2%
<0.1%86.7%
<0.1%86.5%
<0.1%85.9%
<0.1%85.7%
<0.1%84.6%
<0.1%84.0%
<0.1%84.0%
<0.1%83.9%
<0.1%83.3%
<0.1%83.3%
<0.1%83.3%
<0.1%83.3%
<0.1%83.3%
<0.1%83.3%
<0.1%83.3%
<0.1%83.3%
<0.1%82.9%
<0.1%82.9%
<0.1%82.9%
<0.1%82.3%
0.1%82.0%
<0.1%81.6%
<0.1%81.3%
<0.1%80.5%
0.1%80.0%
<0.1%80.0%
<0.1%80.0%
<0.1%80.0%
<0.1%80.0%
<0.1%79.7%
0.1%79.0%
<0.1%78.7%
<0.1%78.6%
0.2%78.3%
<0.1%78.1%
0.1%76.2%
<0.1%75.0%
<0.1%75.0%
<0.1%75.0%
<0.1%75.0%
<0.1%75.0%
<0.1%75.0%
<0.1%75.0%
<0.1%74.3%
0.2%72.2%
<0.1%72.1%
<0.1%72.0%
0.1%71.4%
<0.1%71.4%
0.2%71.0%
<0.1%70.8%
0.2%70.3%
0.1%70.3%
<0.1%70.3%
<0.1%70.0%
<0.1%69.2%
<0.1%68.4%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%65.7%
<0.1%63.6%
<0.1%60.0%
<0.1%60.0%
<0.1%60.0%
<0.1%60.0%
<0.1%60.0%
<0.1%55.6%
<0.1%53.8%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%45.5%
<0.1%42.9%
<0.1%42.9%
<0.1%40.9%
<0.1%40.0%
<0.1%40.0%
<0.1%40.0%
<0.1%40.0%
<0.1%37.5%
<0.1%36.4%
<0.1%35.7%
<0.1%35.0%
<0.1%35.0%
<0.1%34.8%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%30.4%
<0.1%30.0%
<0.1%29.4%
<0.1%29.0%
<0.1%28.8%
<0.1%28.6%
<0.1%28.6%
<0.1%28.6%
<0.1%28.6%
<0.1%28.0%
<0.1%27.8%
<0.1%27.5%
<0.1%27.3%
<0.1%27.3%
<0.1%27.3%
<0.1%26.7%
<0.1%26.7%
<0.1%26.7%
<0.1%26.1%
<0.1%26.1%
<0.1%25.7%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%24.1%
<0.1%24.1%
<0.1%24.0%
<0.1%23.9%
<0.1%23.8%
<0.1%23.5%
<0.1%23.5%
<0.1%23.1%
<0.1%22.2%
<0.1%22.2%
<0.1%22.2%
<0.1%22.2%
<0.1%22.2%
<0.1%21.2%
<0.1%20.2%
0.1%20.0%
<0.1%20.0%
<0.1%20.0%
<0.1%20.0%
<0.1%20.0%
<0.1%20.0%
<0.1%20.0%
<0.1%20.0%
<0.1%20.0%
<0.1%20.0%
<0.1%20.0%
<0.1%19.6%
<0.1%19.1%
<0.1%18.2%
<0.1%18.2%
<0.1%17.9%
<0.1%17.6%
<0.1%17.6%
<0.1%17.4%
<0.1%17.2%
<0.1%17.0%
<0.1%16.7%
<0.1%16.7%
<0.1%16.7%
<0.1%16.7%
<0.1%16.7%
<0.1%16.3%
<0.1%16.1%
<0.1%15.9%
<0.1%15.6%
<0.1%15.4%
0.2%15.3%
0.1%15.2%
<0.1%15.0%
<0.1%15.0%
<0.1%14.8%
<0.1%14.3%
<0.1%14.3%
<0.1%14.3%
<0.1%14.3%
<0.1%14.3%
<0.1%14.3%
<0.1%14.3%
<0.1%14.0%
<0.1%13.9%
<0.1%13.8%
<0.1%13.6%
<0.1%13.6%
<0.1%13.5%
<0.1%13.2%
0.2%13.2%
0.2%12.7%
<0.1%12.5%
<0.1%12.5%
<0.1%12.4%
0.1%12.2%
<0.1%11.8%
<0.1%11.1%
<0.1%11.0%
<0.1%10.0%
<0.1%10.0%
<0.1%10.0%
<0.1%9.5%
<0.1%9.4%
0.2%9.1%
<0.1%9.1%
<0.1%8.8%
<0.1%8.7%
<0.1%7.4%
<0.1%6.7%
<0.1%6.3%
<0.1%6.3%
<0.1%5.3%
<0.1%4.5%
<0.1%4.3%
<0.1%3.3%
<0.1%2.2%
<0.1%Data from 2026-08-26