Florida Intl

Florida InternationalPanthers

1-1 T1st (0-0) in CUSA

Data from 2026-09-17

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

22.5%

Based on 1,000,000 simulations

What is Florida International's probability of making the Conference USA Championship Game?

Florida International has a 22.5% chance to reach the Conference USA Championship Game, as of week 3 of the 2026 season, based on a 1,000,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Florida International's Conference USA Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.

Florida IntlSchedule & Results

WkDateOpponentResult
19/05
@South FloridaUSF
L9-19
29/12
vsBuffaloBUF
W33-20
39/19
@FL AtlanticFAU
Win prob:47%
49/26
vsLong Island UniversityLIU
Win prob:90%
610/07
vsNew Mexico StNMSU
Win prob:70%
710/13
@Jacksonville StJXST
Win prob:41%
810/20
vsMTSUMTSU
Win prob:76%
910/31
@LibertyLIB
Win prob:41%
1011/07
vsMissouri StMOST
Win prob:66%
1111/14
@DelawareDEL
Win prob:25%
1211/21
@KennesawKENN
Win prob:46%
1311/28
vsSam Houston StSHSU
Win prob:74%

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

Florida IntlRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
0.5%
100.0%
7-1
4.4%
99.7%
6-2
15.1%
81.2%
5-3
27.3%
19.4%
4-4
28.3%
0.1%
3-5
17.2%
0%
2-6
6.1%
0%
1-7
1.1%
0%
0-8
0.1%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

Possible Florida Intl CCG Opponents

if Florida Intl makes the CCG

DELDelaware
51.7%
JXSTJacksonville St
12.3%
LIBLiberty
11.8%
KENNKennesaw
8.1%
MOSTMissouri St
4.5%
NMSUNew Mexico St
4.0%
WKUWKU
3.8%
SHSUSam Houston St
2.3%
MTSUMTSU
1.5%

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

Florida IntlThis Week's Impact

Game
Florida IntlCCG OddsAway Wins
Florida IntlCCG OddsHome Wins
Sat, Sep 19
Coastal CarCCU@DelawareDEL
22.4%
(-0.1%)		22.5%
(+0.0%)
Ball StBALL@LibertyLIB
22.4%
(-0.1%)		22.5%
(+0.0%)
WKUWKU@IndianaIU
22.8%
(+0.3%)		22.5%
(+0.0%)
Florida IntlFIU@FL AtlanticFAU
22.4%
(-0.1%)		22.6%
(+0.1%)
MarshallMRSH@Missouri StMOST
22.4%
(-0.0%)		22.5%
(+0.0%)
Ga SouthernGASO@Jacksonville StJXST
22.4%
(-0.1%)		22.5%
(+0.1%)
NevadaNEV@MTSUMTSU
22.5%
(+0.0%)		22.4%
(-0.1%)
NichollsNICH@Sam Houston StSHSU
22.4%
(-0.1%)		22.5%
(+0.0%)
KennesawKENN@TennesseeTENN
22.5%
(+0.0%)		22.5%
(+0.0%)

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

Florida IntlLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Florida Intl CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
0.2%
Any 1 loss
99.8%
2.1%
FL Atlantic
100.0%
0.3%
MTSU
100.0%
<0.1%
New Mexico St
100.0%
<0.1%
Long Island University
100.0%
<0.1%
Kennesaw
100.0%
0.2%
Missouri St
99.9%
0.1%
Sam Houston St
99.8%
<0.1%
Liberty
99.7%
0.3%
Jacksonville St
99.7%
0.3%
Delaware
99.6%
0.6%
Any 2 losses
86.0%
8.7%
FL AtlanticSam Houston St
100.0%
<0.1%
KennesawLong Island University
100.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticLong Island University
100.0%
<0.1%
Long Island UniversityMissouri St
100.0%
<0.1%
LibertyLong Island University
100.0%
<0.1%
Long Island UniversityNew Mexico St
100.0%
<0.1%
Long Island UniversityMTSU
100.0%
<0.1%
Long Island UniversitySam Houston St
100.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticKennesaw
99.9%
0.3%
FL AtlanticMissouri St
99.9%
0.1%
FL AtlanticNew Mexico St
99.9%
0.1%
FL AtlanticMTSU
99.9%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticJacksonville St
99.7%
0.4%
DelawareFL Atlantic
99.7%
0.7%
FL AtlanticLiberty
99.7%
0.4%
DelawareLong Island University
99.6%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StLong Island University
99.4%
<0.1%
MTSUSam Houston St
96.6%
<0.1%
MTSUMissouri St
95.0%
<0.1%
KennesawMTSU
94.3%
<0.1%
MTSUNew Mexico St
93.5%
<0.1%
Missouri StSam Houston St
93.2%
<0.1%
KennesawSam Houston St
91.5%
<0.1%
Missouri StNew Mexico St
91.2%
<0.1%
KennesawNew Mexico St
90.8%
0.1%
New Mexico StSam Houston St
89.6%
<0.1%
LibertyMTSU
89.5%
<0.1%
KennesawMissouri St
89.4%
0.1%
LibertySam Houston St
89.1%
0.1%
DelawareMTSU
89.1%
0.2%
Jacksonville StSam Houston St
88.5%
0.1%
Jacksonville StMTSU
88.4%
0.1%
LibertyMissouri St
87.2%
0.1%
DelawareSam Houston St
87.0%
0.2%
Jacksonville StMissouri St
86.1%
0.1%
Jacksonville StNew Mexico St
86.0%
0.1%
Jacksonville StKennesaw
85.2%
0.4%
LibertyNew Mexico St
85.1%
0.1%
KennesawLiberty
84.7%
0.3%
DelawareNew Mexico St
84.4%
0.3%
DelawareMissouri St
82.4%
0.3%
DelawareKennesaw
79.6%
0.7%
Jacksonville StLiberty
79.0%
0.4%
DelawareLiberty
71.6%
0.9%
DelawareJacksonville St
70.7%
0.9%
Any 3 losses
45.4%
19.6%
FL AtlanticLong Island UniversityMissouri St
100.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticLong Island UniversityNew Mexico St
100.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticLong Island UniversitySam Houston St
100.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticKennesawLong Island University
100.0%
<0.1%
Long Island UniversityMTSUNew Mexico St
100.0%
<0.1%
Long Island UniversityMTSUMissouri St
100.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticLong Island UniversityMTSU
100.0%
<0.1%
DelawareFL AtlanticLong Island University
99.6%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticJacksonville StLong Island University
99.5%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticLibertyLong Island University
99.3%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticMTSUSam Houston St
95.5%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticNew Mexico StSam Houston St
95.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticMTSUNew Mexico St
95.0%
<0.1%
Long Island UniversityMissouri StNew Mexico St
94.6%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticKennesawMTSU
94.5%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticMTSUMissouri St
94.0%
<0.1%
KennesawLong Island UniversityMTSU
93.3%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticMissouri StSam Houston St
93.1%
<0.1%
LibertyLong Island UniversityMTSU
91.9%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticMissouri StNew Mexico St
91.8%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticKennesawSam Houston St
91.2%
0.1%
FL AtlanticJacksonville StMTSU
90.9%
0.1%
DelawareLong Island UniversityMTSU
90.8%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticKennesawNew Mexico St
90.5%
0.1%
KennesawLong Island UniversityMissouri St
90.4%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticKennesawMissouri St
90.4%
0.1%
FL AtlanticLibertyMTSU
90.4%
0.1%
DelawareFL AtlanticMTSU
90.2%
0.2%
Long Island UniversityMTSUSam Houston St
90.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StLong Island UniversityMTSU
89.2%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticLibertySam Houston St
89.2%
0.1%
Long Island UniversityNew Mexico StSam Houston St
89.2%
<0.1%
DelawareLong Island UniversitySam Houston St
89.2%
<0.1%
KennesawLong Island UniversityNew Mexico St
89.1%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticJacksonville StSam Houston St
89.1%
0.1%
FL AtlanticLibertyNew Mexico St
88.8%
0.1%
LibertyLong Island UniversitySam Houston St
88.5%
<0.1%
Long Island UniversityMissouri StSam Houston St
88.4%
<0.1%
KennesawLong Island UniversitySam Houston St
88.3%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticLibertyMissouri St
88.2%
0.2%
Jacksonville StLong Island UniversityMissouri St
87.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StLong Island UniversitySam Houston St
86.9%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticJacksonville StNew Mexico St
86.2%
0.1%
FL AtlanticJacksonville StMissouri St
86.2%
0.2%
DelawareFL AtlanticSam Houston St
86.1%
0.3%
LibertyLong Island UniversityMissouri St
85.5%
<0.1%
DelawareLong Island UniversityNew Mexico St
85.4%
<0.1%
KennesawLibertyLong Island University
85.1%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticKennesawLiberty
84.9%
0.4%
DelawareFL AtlanticNew Mexico St
84.9%
0.3%
LibertyLong Island UniversityNew Mexico St
84.7%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StKennesawLong Island University
84.6%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticJacksonville StKennesaw
84.5%
0.4%
Jacksonville StLong Island UniversityNew Mexico St
83.8%
<0.1%
DelawareFL AtlanticMissouri St
82.5%
0.4%
DelawareLong Island UniversityMissouri St
80.8%
<0.1%
DelawareFL AtlanticKennesaw
80.5%
0.8%
FL AtlanticJacksonville StLiberty
80.1%
0.5%
Jacksonville StLibertyLong Island University
79.7%
<0.1%
DelawareKennesawLong Island University
79.4%
<0.1%
DelawareLibertyLong Island University
71.4%
0.1%
DelawareJacksonville StLong Island University
71.2%
0.1%
DelawareFL AtlanticLiberty
71.2%
1.1%
DelawareFL AtlanticJacksonville St
71.0%
1.1%
MTSUMissouri StSam Houston St
51.9%
<0.1%
MTSUNew Mexico StSam Houston St
45.6%
<0.1%
Missouri StNew Mexico StSam Houston St
39.3%
<0.1%
KennesawMTSUSam Houston St
36.1%
<0.1%
KennesawMTSUMissouri St
35.0%
<0.1%
MTSUMissouri StNew Mexico St
34.3%
<0.1%
KennesawMTSUNew Mexico St
33.9%
<0.1%
DelawareMTSUSam Houston St
33.8%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StMTSUNew Mexico St
31.8%
<0.1%
KennesawNew Mexico StSam Houston St
31.3%
<0.1%
LibertyMTSUNew Mexico St
31.0%
<0.1%
DelawareMTSUNew Mexico St
30.6%
<0.1%
LibertyMTSUSam Houston St
30.6%
<0.1%
LibertyMTSUMissouri St
30.4%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StMTSUSam Houston St
29.9%
<0.1%
KennesawMissouri StSam Houston St
29.2%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StMissouri StSam Houston St
28.5%
<0.1%
KennesawLibertyMTSU
28.3%
0.1%
DelawareNew Mexico StSam Houston St
28.1%
0.1%
Jacksonville StNew Mexico StSam Houston St
28.1%
<0.1%
DelawareMissouri StSam Houston St
27.0%
0.1%
Jacksonville StKennesawMTSU
26.8%
0.1%
DelawareKennesawMTSU
26.4%
0.2%
Jacksonville StKennesawSam Houston St
26.0%
0.1%
LibertyNew Mexico StSam Houston St
26.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StMissouri StNew Mexico St
25.9%
<0.1%
LibertyMissouri StSam Houston St
25.9%
<0.1%
KennesawLibertySam Houston St
25.6%
0.1%
DelawareMissouri StNew Mexico St
25.3%
0.1%
KennesawMissouri StNew Mexico St
25.1%
<0.1%
DelawareMTSUMissouri St
25.1%
0.1%
Jacksonville StMTSUMissouri St
24.6%
<0.1%
LibertyMissouri StNew Mexico St
24.6%
<0.1%
KennesawLibertyNew Mexico St
23.6%
0.1%
DelawareJacksonville StMTSU
22.8%
0.3%
DelawareKennesawSam Houston St
22.7%
0.3%
DelawareKennesawNew Mexico St
22.1%
0.3%
Jacksonville StKennesawNew Mexico St
22.1%
0.1%
DelawareLibertyMTSU
22.0%
0.3%
Jacksonville StLibertySam Houston St
21.6%
0.2%
Jacksonville StLibertyMTSU
21.6%
0.1%
DelawareKennesawMissouri St
19.9%
0.4%
KennesawLibertyMissouri St
19.8%
0.2%
Jacksonville StLibertyNew Mexico St
19.8%
0.2%
Jacksonville StKennesawMissouri St
19.4%
0.2%
DelawareLibertySam Houston St
19.4%
0.3%
DelawareLibertyNew Mexico St
18.0%
0.4%
DelawareJacksonville StSam Houston St
18.0%
0.3%
Jacksonville StKennesawLiberty
17.8%
0.5%
Jacksonville StLibertyMissouri St
16.8%
0.2%
DelawareJacksonville StNew Mexico St
16.3%
0.4%
DelawareLibertyMissouri St
16.3%
0.5%
DelawareJacksonville StMissouri St
15.3%
0.5%
DelawareKennesawLiberty
14.5%
1.1%
DelawareJacksonville StKennesaw
14.4%
1.1%
DelawareJacksonville StLiberty
12.4%
1.3%

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

Florida IntlCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1 (8/4)Week 1 (8/31)Week 3 (9/8)Week 3 (9/13)

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com