Vanderbilt

VanderbiltCommodores

0-0 T1st (0-0) in SEC

Data from 2026-08-26

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

1.5%

Based on 100,000 simulations

What is Vanderbilt's probability of making the SEC Championship Game?

Vanderbilt has a 1.5% chance to reach the SEC Championship Game, as of week 1 of the 2026 season, based on a 100,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Vanderbilt's SEC Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.

VanderbiltSchedule & Results

WkDateOpponentResult
9/05
vsAustin PeayAPSU
Win prob:90%
9/12
vsDelawareDEL
Win prob:86%
9/19
vsNC StateNCSU
Win prob:68%
9/26
@AuburnAUB
Win prob:37%
10/03
@GeorgiaUGA
Win prob:14%
10/10
vsMississippiMISS
Win prob:39%
10/17
vsArkansasARK
Win prob:66%
10/24
@KentuckyUK
Win prob:53%
11/07
@Mississippi StMSST
Win prob:56%
11/14
vsAlabamaALA
Win prob:31%
11/21
@FloridaFLA
Win prob:34%
11/28
vsTennesseeTENN
Win prob:42%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

VanderbiltRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
9-0
0.0%
100.0%
8-1
0.3%
93.2%
7-2
2.1%
46.2%
6-3
7.8%
2.9%
5-4
18.2%
0%
4-5
26.8%
0%
3-6
25.3%
0%
2-7
14.3%
0%
1-8
4.6%
0%
0-9
0.6%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Vanderbilt CCG Opponents

if Vanderbilt makes the CCG

TexasTexas
42.5%
GeorgiaGeorgia
27.6%
LSULSU
11.0%
Texas A&MTexas A&M
10.2%
AlabamaAlabama
8.7%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

VanderbiltThis Week's Impact

Game
VanderbiltCCG OddsAway
VanderbiltCCG OddsHome

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

VanderbiltLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Vanderbilt CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 1 loss
95.4%
0.1%
Mississippi
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
Alabama
100.0%
<0.1%
Kentucky
100.0%
<0.1%
Tennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
NC State
100.0%
<0.1%
Delaware
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas
100.0%
<0.1%
Auburn
93.8%
<0.1%
Georgia
88.7%
<0.1%
Mississippi St
75.0%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
50.4%
1.2%
AlabamaNC State
100.0%
<0.1%
DelawareGeorgia
100.0%
<0.1%
MississippiNC State
100.0%
<0.1%
Austin PeayGeorgia
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnNC State
100.0%
<0.1%
DelawareNC State
100.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaAustin Peay
100.0%
<0.1%
DelawareMississippi
100.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasNC State
100.0%
<0.1%
DelawareTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
DelawareFlorida
100.0%
<0.1%
DelawareMississippi St
100.0%
<0.1%
DelawareKentucky
100.0%
<0.1%
Austin PeayFlorida
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnAustin Peay
100.0%
<0.1%
Austin PeayMississippi
100.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasAustin Peay
100.0%
<0.1%
FloridaNC State
91.7%
<0.1%
NC StateTennessee
90.9%
<0.1%
KentuckyMississippi
83.3%
<0.1%
AuburnKentucky
83.3%
<0.1%
KentuckyNC State
83.3%
<0.1%
GeorgiaNC State
80.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasAuburn
80.0%
<0.1%
AuburnFlorida
75.7%
<0.1%
KentuckyMississippi St
75.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasTennessee
75.0%
<0.1%
KentuckyTennessee
71.4%
<0.1%
ArkansasFlorida
71.4%
<0.1%
MississippiMississippi St
70.0%
<0.1%
AuburnDelaware
66.7%
<0.1%
FloridaMississippi St
62.5%
<0.1%
FloridaKentucky
58.8%
<0.1%
AlabamaKentucky
58.3%
<0.1%
AuburnMississippi St
57.1%
<0.1%
Mississippi StTennessee
55.6%
<0.1%
AlabamaFlorida
55.2%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMississippi St
54.7%
<0.1%
FloridaTennessee
52.4%
<0.1%
AlabamaAuburn
50.0%
<0.1%
Mississippi StNC State
50.0%
<0.1%
AuburnGeorgia
49.4%
<0.1%
MississippiTennessee
47.8%
<0.1%
AuburnTennessee
47.4%
<0.1%
GeorgiaKentucky
46.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaTennessee
45.2%
<0.1%
ArkansasGeorgia
44.8%
<0.1%
AlabamaMississippi St
44.4%
<0.1%
FloridaMississippi
44.4%
<0.1%
GeorgiaTennessee
43.6%
<0.1%
ArkansasMississippi St
40.0%
<0.1%
FloridaGeorgia
38.4%
0.1%
AuburnMississippi
35.5%
<0.1%
ArkansasKentucky
33.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaArkansas
33.3%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMississippi
32.2%
<0.1%
ArkansasMississippi
30.8%
<0.1%
AlabamaGeorgia
30.7%
0.1%
AlabamaMississippi
27.3%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
11.6%
4.3%
KentuckyMississippi StNC State
100.0%
<0.1%
DelawareGeorgiaNC State
100.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaDelawareNC State
100.0%
<0.1%
DelawareMississippiNC State
100.0%
<0.1%
DelawareFloridaKentucky
100.0%
<0.1%
Austin PeayKentuckyMississippi
100.0%
<0.1%
Austin PeayDelawareGeorgia
100.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaAustin PeayTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
Austin PeayMississippi StNC State
100.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaArkansasAustin Peay
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnDelawareKentucky
100.0%
<0.1%
DelawareMississippi StNC State
100.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaAustin PeayNC State
100.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaAustin PeayKentucky
100.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaDelawareMississippi St
100.0%
<0.1%
DelawareNC StateTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaAustin PeayMississippi St
100.0%
<0.1%
DelawareMississippi StTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
Austin PeayFloridaNC State
100.0%
<0.1%
Austin PeayNC StateTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasMississippi StNC State
100.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasAustin PeayFlorida
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnAustin PeayDelaware
100.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaArkansasDelaware
100.0%
<0.1%
Austin PeayMississippi StTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasAustin PeayMississippi
100.0%
<0.1%
Austin PeayFloridaMississippi St
100.0%
<0.1%
Austin PeayKentuckyMississippi St
100.0%
<0.1%
Austin PeayFloridaMississippi
100.0%
<0.1%
DelawareKentuckyNC State
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnMississippi StNC State
83.3%
<0.1%
AuburnKentuckyNC State
80.0%
<0.1%
DelawareGeorgiaKentucky
78.6%
<0.1%
Austin PeayGeorgiaKentucky
77.8%
<0.1%
DelawareKentuckyTennessee
75.0%
<0.1%
FloridaKentuckyNC State
75.0%
<0.1%
FloridaNC StateTennessee
73.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaDelawareTennessee
71.4%
<0.1%
AlabamaDelawareFlorida
66.7%
<0.1%
Austin PeayGeorgiaNC State
66.7%
<0.1%
ArkansasMississippiNC State
66.7%
<0.1%
ArkansasGeorgiaNC State
62.5%
<0.1%
AuburnDelawareTennessee
60.0%
<0.1%
MississippiNC StateTennessee
57.1%
<0.1%
AuburnFloridaNC State
57.1%
<0.1%
AlabamaMississippi StNC State
57.1%
<0.1%
FloridaGeorgiaNC State
56.1%
<0.1%
GeorgiaKentuckyNC State
53.8%
<0.1%
Mississippi StNC StateTennessee
50.0%
<0.1%
AuburnGeorgiaNC State
50.0%
<0.1%
KentuckyNC StateTennessee
50.0%
<0.1%
AuburnDelawareGeorgia
50.0%
<0.1%
MississippiMississippi StNC State
50.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaFloridaNC State
50.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaArkansasNC State
50.0%
<0.1%
Austin PeayGeorgiaMississippi St
50.0%
<0.1%
FloridaMississippi StNC State
50.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasAuburnDelaware
50.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaAustin PeayMississippi
50.0%
<0.1%
AuburnAustin PeayFlorida
50.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaAustin PeayFlorida
50.0%
<0.1%
AuburnAustin PeayGeorgia
50.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasKentuckyNC State
50.0%
<0.1%
Austin PeayFloridaGeorgia
50.0%
<0.1%
DelawareFloridaNC State
50.0%
<0.1%
DelawareFloridaGeorgia
46.2%
<0.1%
AuburnMississippiNC State
45.5%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMississippi StNC State
45.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaAuburnNC State
44.4%
<0.1%
AlabamaMississippiNC State
43.8%
<0.1%
GeorgiaNC StateTennessee
43.2%
<0.1%
DelawareFloridaMississippi
42.9%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMississippiNC State
38.9%
<0.1%
AlabamaDelawareGeorgia
38.1%
<0.1%
AuburnDelawareFlorida
37.5%
<0.1%
DelawareFloridaTennessee
37.5%
<0.1%
DelawareGeorgiaMississippi St
36.4%
<0.1%
AlabamaNC StateTennessee
35.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaAuburnDelaware
33.3%
<0.1%
AuburnAustin PeayMississippi St
33.3%
<0.1%
ArkansasNC StateTennessee
33.3%
<0.1%
ArkansasAuburnNC State
33.3%
<0.1%
ArkansasKentuckyMississippi St
33.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaKentuckyNC State
30.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaGeorgiaNC State
29.6%
<0.1%
AlabamaAuburnAustin Peay
28.6%
<0.1%
ArkansasDelawareGeorgia
28.6%
<0.1%
FloridaKentuckyMississippi St
28.6%
<0.1%
KentuckyMississippiNC State
28.6%
<0.1%
Austin PeayGeorgiaTennessee
27.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaAustin PeayGeorgia
26.7%
<0.1%
ArkansasAustin PeayGeorgia
25.0%
<0.1%
DelawareGeorgiaMississippi
25.0%
<0.1%
DelawareMississippiMississippi St
25.0%
<0.1%
DelawareMississippiTennessee
25.0%
<0.1%
AuburnNC StateTennessee
25.0%
<0.1%
FloridaMississippiNC State
21.4%
<0.1%
AuburnKentuckyMississippi St
18.2%
<0.1%
Austin PeayGeorgiaMississippi
18.2%
<0.1%
AlabamaDelawareMississippi
16.7%
<0.1%
FloridaKentuckyTennessee
15.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasMississippiMississippi St
14.3%
<0.1%
DelawareGeorgiaTennessee
11.8%
<0.1%
AlabamaArkansasMississippi St
11.1%
<0.1%
KentuckyMississippi StTennessee
10.0%
<0.1%
AuburnKentuckyMississippi
10.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasAuburnTennessee
9.1%
<0.1%
AuburnGeorgiaMississippi St
8.5%
<0.1%
KentuckyMississippiMississippi St
8.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaFloridaKentucky
8.1%
<0.1%
FloridaGeorgiaKentucky
7.4%
0.1%
ArkansasGeorgiaKentucky
7.1%
<0.1%
ArkansasFloridaKentucky
6.7%
<0.1%
AlabamaAuburnMississippi
6.3%
<0.1%
FloridaGeorgiaMississippi St
6.3%
<0.1%
ArkansasAuburnGeorgia
5.9%
<0.1%
AlabamaAuburnTennessee
5.4%
<0.1%
AuburnFloridaKentucky
5.4%
<0.1%
AuburnMississippi StTennessee
5.3%
<0.1%
AuburnFloridaTennessee
5.0%
<0.1%
AuburnFloridaMississippi
4.9%
<0.1%
AuburnFloridaMississippi St
4.8%
<0.1%
FloridaMississippi StTennessee
4.8%
<0.1%
AuburnMississippiMississippi St
4.5%
<0.1%
AuburnGeorgiaKentucky
4.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaGeorgiaMississippi St
4.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaArkansasAuburn
4.2%
<0.1%
AlabamaKentuckyTennessee
3.9%
<0.1%
AlabamaKentuckyMississippi
3.9%
<0.1%
FloridaKentuckyMississippi
3.9%
<0.1%
AlabamaAuburnMississippi St
3.5%
<0.1%
ArkansasFloridaGeorgia
3.5%
<0.1%
GeorgiaKentuckyMississippi
3.2%
<0.1%
AlabamaFloridaMississippi St
3.1%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMississippiTennessee
3.0%
0.1%
FloridaMississippiTennessee
2.9%
<0.1%
FloridaGeorgiaMississippi
2.8%
0.2%
AuburnGeorgiaTennessee
2.7%
0.1%
AuburnMississippiTennessee
2.6%
<0.1%
AlabamaGeorgiaKentucky
2.5%
0.1%
AlabamaAuburnKentucky
2.5%
<0.1%
GeorgiaKentuckyMississippi St
2.3%
<0.1%
AuburnFloridaGeorgia
2.3%
0.2%
ArkansasGeorgiaMississippi
2.2%
<0.1%
FloridaGeorgiaTennessee
2.2%
0.1%
AlabamaFloridaTennessee
2.2%
<0.1%
AlabamaMississippiTennessee
2.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMississippiMississippi St
1.7%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMississippi StTennessee
1.7%
<0.1%
AlabamaArkansasGeorgia
1.5%
<0.1%
AlabamaFloridaMississippi
1.5%
<0.1%
AlabamaAuburnGeorgia
1.5%
0.2%
AlabamaGeorgiaTennessee
1.3%
0.2%
AuburnGeorgiaMississippi
0.8%
0.1%
AlabamaGeorgiaMississippi
0.5%
0.2%
Any 4 losses
6.8%
1.7%
ArkansasAustin PeayDelawareMississippi
100.0%
<0.1%
DelawareFloridaMississippiNC State
100.0%
<0.1%
Austin PeayGeorgiaMississippi StNC State
100.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaDelawareMississippi StNC State
100.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasAustin PeayDelawareMississippi St
100.0%
<0.1%
Austin PeayDelawareGeorgiaNC State
100.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaDelawareKentuckyNC State
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnDelawareMississippi StNC State
100.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaAustin PeayDelawareMississippi St
100.0%
<0.1%
Austin PeayDelawareFloridaMississippi
100.0%
<0.1%
DelawareFloridaKentuckyNC State
100.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaAustin PeayFloridaNC State
100.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasDelawareKentuckyNC State
100.0%
<0.1%
DelawareMississippi StNC StateTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasDelawareNC StateTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnDelawareNC StateTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
Austin PeayDelawareFloridaNC State
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnAustin PeayDelawareMississippi St
100.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaAustin PeayNC StateTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
Austin PeayDelawareFloridaKentucky
100.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasDelawareMississippiNC State
100.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaAustin PeayMississippi StNC State
100.0%
<0.1%
DelawareKentuckyMississippi StNC State
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnDelawareKentuckyTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaAuburnDelawareNC State
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnAustin PeayGeorgiaNC State
80.0%
<0.1%
DelawareFloridaGeorgiaNC State
75.0%
<0.1%
DelawareGeorgiaMississippi StNC State
75.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaArkansasAustin PeayNC State
66.7%
<0.1%
ArkansasAustin PeayGeorgiaNC State
66.7%
<0.1%
Austin PeayFloridaMississippiNC State
66.7%
<0.1%
AuburnDelawareFloridaNC State
66.7%
<0.1%
Austin PeayGeorgiaMississippiNC State
66.7%
<0.1%
Austin PeayKentuckyMississippi StTennessee
50.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaAuburnAustin PeayNC State
50.0%
<0.1%
DelawareGeorgiaKentuckyNC State
50.0%
<0.1%
DelawareFloridaNC StateTennessee
50.0%
<0.1%
AuburnDelawareMississippiNC State
50.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasAuburnDelawareTennessee
50.0%
<0.1%
AuburnAustin PeayFloridaMississippi St
50.0%
<0.1%
AuburnAustin PeayDelawareGeorgia
50.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasDelawareGeorgiaNC State
50.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaDelawareNC StateTennessee
50.0%
<0.1%
DelawareGeorgiaNC StateTennessee
42.9%
<0.1%
DelawareGeorgiaMississippiNC State
40.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaDelawareFloridaNC State
40.0%
<0.1%
AuburnDelawareGeorgiaNC State
37.5%
<0.1%
KentuckyMississippi StNC StateTennessee
33.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaAustin PeayGeorgiaNC State
33.3%
<0.1%
ArkansasMississippi StNC StateTennessee
33.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaDelawareMississippiNC State
33.3%
<0.1%
Austin PeayGeorgiaKentuckyNC State
33.3%
<0.1%
ArkansasDelawareFloridaMississippi St
33.3%
<0.1%
Austin PeayGeorgiaNC StateTennessee
33.3%
<0.1%
AuburnAustin PeayKentuckyMississippi St
33.3%
<0.1%
AuburnAustin PeayFloridaTennessee
33.3%
<0.1%
ArkansasAustin PeayFloridaTennessee
33.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaDelawareGeorgiaNC State
28.6%
<0.1%
ArkansasFloridaMississippi StNC State
25.0%
<0.1%
AuburnDelawareKentuckyNC State
25.0%
<0.1%
AuburnMississippi StNC StateTennessee
25.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasAuburnMississippiNC State
25.0%
<0.1%
AuburnDelawareFloridaMississippi
25.0%
<0.1%
FloridaMississippi StNC StateTennessee
25.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaDelawareFloridaMississippi
18.2%
<0.1%
AlabamaArkansasNC StateTennessee
16.7%
<0.1%
AuburnAustin PeayGeorgiaMississippi St
16.7%
<0.1%
DelawareGeorgiaMississippiMississippi St
16.7%
<0.1%
Austin PeayFloridaGeorgiaNC State
12.5%
<0.1%
ArkansasAustin PeayGeorgiaMississippi
12.5%
<0.1%
AuburnKentuckyNC StateTennessee
11.8%
<0.1%
GeorgiaKentuckyMississippi StNC State
10.5%
<0.1%
DelawareGeorgiaKentuckyTennessee
10.0%
<0.1%
AuburnDelawareGeorgiaMississippi St
10.0%
<0.1%
Austin PeayGeorgiaKentuckyMississippi
10.0%
<0.1%
DelawareFloridaGeorgiaMississippi St
9.1%
<0.1%
AlabamaDelawareGeorgiaMississippi St
8.7%
<0.1%
AlabamaAuburnNC StateTennessee
8.7%
<0.1%
AlabamaKentuckyMississippi StNC State
8.3%
<0.1%
AuburnDelawareGeorgiaTennessee
8.3%
<0.1%
AuburnFloridaGeorgiaNC State
8.0%
<0.1%
AuburnFloridaMississippi StNC State
7.7%
<0.1%
AlabamaAuburnDelawareFlorida
7.7%
<0.1%
AlabamaKentuckyMississippiNC State
7.1%
<0.1%
AuburnFloridaNC StateTennessee
7.1%
<0.1%
AlabamaArkansasGeorgiaNC State
6.9%
<0.1%
AuburnGeorgiaMississippi StNC State
6.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaArkansasFloridaNC State
6.3%
<0.1%
AuburnAustin PeayGeorgiaMississippi
6.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaAustin PeayGeorgiaTennessee
6.3%
<0.1%
AuburnDelawareFloridaGeorgia
5.9%
<0.1%
AuburnDelawareGeorgiaKentucky
5.9%
<0.1%
AuburnGeorgiaMississippiNC State
5.6%
<0.1%
AlabamaDelawareGeorgiaKentucky
5.6%
<0.1%
FloridaMississippiNC StateTennessee
5.3%
<0.1%
DelawareGeorgiaKentuckyMississippi
5.3%
<0.1%
AuburnMississippiNC StateTennessee
5.3%
<0.1%
DelawareFloridaGeorgiaKentucky
5.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaKentuckyNC StateTennessee
5.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasFloridaGeorgiaNC State
5.0%
<0.1%
AuburnFloridaMississippiNC State
4.5%
<0.1%
AlabamaAustin PeayGeorgiaMississippi
4.5%
<0.1%
AlabamaAustin PeayFloridaGeorgia
3.7%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMississippiMississippi StNC State
3.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaDelawareGeorgiaTennessee
2.9%
<0.1%
GeorgiaKentuckyMississippiNC State
2.8%
<0.1%
AlabamaGeorgiaMississippiNC State
2.2%
<0.1%
AuburnGeorgiaKentuckyNC State
2.2%
<0.1%
FloridaGeorgiaKentuckyNC State
2.1%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMississippiNC StateTennessee
1.8%
<0.1%
AuburnGeorgiaNC StateTennessee
1.8%
<0.1%
AlabamaGeorgiaKentuckyNC State
1.7%
<0.1%
FloridaGeorgiaNC StateTennessee
1.4%
<0.1%
FloridaGeorgiaMississippiNC State
1.4%
<0.1%
AlabamaFloridaGeorgiaNC State
1.0%
0.1%
AlabamaAuburnGeorgiaNC State
0.9%
0.1%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com