Vanderbilt

VanderbiltCommodores

2-0 T2nd (0-0) in SEC

Data from 2026-09-17

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.0%

Based on 1,000,000 simulations

What is Vanderbilt's probability of making the SEC Championship Game?

Vanderbilt has a <0.1% chance to reach the SEC Championship Game, as of week 3 of the 2026 season, based on a 1,000,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Vanderbilt's SEC Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.

VanderbiltSchedule & Results

WkDateOpponentResult
19/05
vsAustin PeayAPSU
W28-9
29/12
vsDelawareDEL
W35-26
39/19
vsNC StateNCSU
Win prob:72%
49/26
@AuburnAUB
Win prob:20%
510/03
@GeorgiaUGA
Win prob:3%
610/10
vsMississippiMISS
Win prob:30%
710/17
vsArkansasARK
Win prob:82%
810/24
@KentuckyUK
Win prob:50%
1011/07
@Mississippi StMSST
Win prob:26%
1111/14
vsAlabamaALA
Win prob:12%
1211/21
@FloridaFLA
Win prob:16%
1311/28
vsTennesseeTENN
Win prob:24%

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

VanderbiltRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
9-0
0%
0%
8-1
0.0%
72.6%
7-2
0.1%
18.2%
6-3
1.0%
0.2%
5-4
5.1%
0%
4-5
16.3%
0%
3-6
30.2%
0%
2-7
30.7%
0%
1-8
14.5%
0%
0-9
2.0%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

Possible Vanderbilt CCG Opponents

if Vanderbilt makes the CCG

TEXTexas
50.0%
UGAGeorgia
50.0%

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

VanderbiltThis Week's Impact

Game
VanderbiltCCG OddsAway Wins
VanderbiltCCG OddsHome Wins
Sat, Sep 19
GeorgiaUGA@ArkansasARK
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
NC StateNCSU@VanderbiltVAN
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
Florida StFSU@AlabamaALA
0.0%
(-0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
KentuckyUK@Texas A&MTA&M
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
Mississippi StMSST@South CarolinaSC
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
FloridaFLA@AuburnAUB
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
TroyTROY@MissouriMIZ
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
LSULSU@MississippiMISS
0.0%
(-0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
New MexicoUNM@OklahomaOU
0.0%
(-0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
KennesawKENN@TennesseeTENN
0.0%
(-0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
UT San AntonioUTSA@TexasTEX
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

VanderbiltLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Vanderbilt CCG Probability
Likelihood
Any 1 loss
<0.1%
<0.1%
Alabama
100.0%
<0.1%
Kentucky
100.0%
<0.1%
Auburn
83.3%
<0.1%
Georgia
70.8%
<0.1%
Mississippi
66.7%
<0.1%
Florida
50.0%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
15.6%
<0.1%
AuburnNC State
100.0%
<0.1%
FloridaNC State
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnKentucky
100.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasMississippi
100.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasAuburn
100.0%
<0.1%
MississippiNC State
100.0%
<0.1%
KentuckyMississippi St
100.0%
<0.1%
FloridaKentucky
75.0%
<0.1%
NC StateTennessee
66.7%
<0.1%
AuburnMississippi
66.7%
<0.1%
AlabamaKentucky
66.7%
<0.1%
AlabamaNC State
66.7%
<0.1%
GeorgiaNC State
62.5%
<0.1%
MississippiMississippi St
50.0%
<0.1%
FloridaMississippi
41.7%
<0.1%
AuburnMississippi St
40.0%
<0.1%
AuburnFlorida
33.3%
<0.1%
FloridaMississippi St
30.8%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMississippi St
26.9%
<0.1%
Mississippi StTennessee
20.0%
<0.1%
AuburnGeorgia
19.4%
<0.1%
AlabamaTennessee
18.8%
<0.1%
FloridaTennessee
18.2%
<0.1%
KentuckyTennessee
16.7%
<0.1%
AlabamaMississippi
16.7%
<0.1%
MississippiTennessee
16.7%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMississippi
16.3%
<0.1%
FloridaGeorgia
15.4%
<0.1%
GeorgiaTennessee
14.7%
<0.1%
AlabamaMississippi St
13.3%
<0.1%
AuburnTennessee
12.5%
<0.1%
AlabamaFlorida
11.1%
<0.1%
AlabamaGeorgia
8.6%
<0.1%
GeorgiaKentucky
6.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaAuburn
5.6%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
2.0%
<0.1%
AuburnMississippiNC State
100.0%
<0.1%
FloridaMississippiNC State
80.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasAuburnKentucky
50.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaMississippiNC State
40.0%
<0.1%
AuburnFloridaNC State
40.0%
<0.1%
FloridaMississippi StNC State
40.0%
<0.1%
Mississippi StNC StateTennessee
33.3%
<0.1%
AuburnMississippi StNC State
33.3%
<0.1%
AuburnGeorgiaNC State
30.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaMississippi StNC State
28.6%
<0.1%
GeorgiaKentuckyNC State
28.6%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMississippi StNC State
26.9%
<0.1%
AuburnNC StateTennessee
25.0%
<0.1%
MississippiMississippi StNC State
20.0%
<0.1%
FloridaGeorgiaNC State
19.1%
<0.1%
AlabamaFloridaNC State
16.7%
<0.1%
GeorgiaNC StateTennessee
12.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaAuburnNC State
11.1%
<0.1%
AlabamaNC StateTennessee
11.1%
<0.1%
AlabamaGeorgiaNC State
10.2%
<0.1%
FloridaKentuckyMississippi St
8.3%
<0.1%
ArkansasGeorgiaMississippi St
5.9%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMississippiNC State
5.6%
<0.1%
GeorgiaKentuckyMississippi St
1.7%
<0.1%
AuburnGeorgiaMississippi St
0.9%
<0.1%
FloridaGeorgiaMississippi
0.8%
<0.1%
AuburnGeorgiaMississippi
0.6%
<0.1%
Any 4 losses
0.7%
<0.1%
ArkansasGeorgiaMississippiNC State
25.0%
<0.1%
AuburnFloridaNC StateTennessee
5.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaFloridaNC StateTennessee
2.7%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMississippi StNC StateTennessee
1.1%
<0.1%
FloridaGeorgiaMississippi StNC State
0.8%
<0.1%
AlabamaGeorgiaMississippi StNC State
0.6%
<0.1%
AuburnFloridaGeorgiaNC State
0.5%
<0.1%

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

VanderbiltCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1 (8/4)Week 1 (8/31)Week 3 (9/8)Week 3 (9/13)

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com