Sam Houston St

Sam HoustonBearkats

0-0 T1st (0-0) in CUSA

Data from 2026-08-26

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

2.7%

Based on 100,000 simulations

What is Sam Houston's probability of making the Conference USA Championship Game?

Sam Houston has a 2.7% chance to reach the Conference USA Championship Game, as of week 1 of the 2026 season, based on a 100,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Sam Houston's Conference USA Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.

Sam Houston StSchedule & Results

WkDateOpponentResult
9/05
@TroyTROY
Win prob:21%
9/12
vsTulsaTLSA
Win prob:34%
9/19
vsNichollsNICH
Win prob:90%
9/26
@Texas TechTTU
Win prob:1%
10/08
@LibertyLIB
Win prob:22%
10/14
vsWKUWKU
Win prob:26%
10/21
vsNew Mexico StNMSU
Win prob:49%
10/27
@Missouri StMOST
Win prob:27%
11/07
@Jacksonville StJXST
Win prob:23%
11/14
vsKennesawKENN
Win prob:34%
11/21
vsMTSUMTSU
Win prob:50%
11/28
@Florida IntlFIU
Win prob:31%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

Sam Houston StRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
0.0%
100.0%
7-1
0.2%
99.4%
6-2
1.3%
84.3%
5-3
6.1%
22.3%
4-4
16.6%
0.1%
3-5
27.9%
0%
2-6
28.4%
0%
1-7
15.9%
0%
0-8
3.6%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Sam Houston St CCG Opponents

if Sam Houston St makes the CCG

Western KentuckyWKU
30.5%
DelawareDelaware
25.1%
LibertyLiberty
17.5%
Jacksonville StateJacksonville St
14.8%
Kennesaw StateKennesaw
12.1%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

Sam Houston StThis Week's Impact

Game
Sam Houston StCCG OddsAway
Sam Houston StCCG OddsHome
Jacksonville StJXST@North Dakota StNDSU
2.7%
(+0.0%)		2.7%
(-0.0%)
New Mexico StNMSU@Florida StFSU
2.2%
(-0.5%)		2.7%
(+0.0%)

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

Sam Houston StLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Sam Houston St CCG Probability
Likelihood
Texas Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
<0.1%
<0.1%
KennesawTexas Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
MTSUTexas Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Missouri StTexas Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
LibertyTexas Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Texas TechTulsa
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida IntlTexas Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Texas TechWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
KennesawTroy
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
90.7%
0.1%
Jacksonville StTexas TechTroy
100.0%
<0.1%
Missouri StTexas TechTulsa
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida IntlTexas TechWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
LibertyTexas TechTulsa
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida IntlTexas TechTroy
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida IntlLibertyTexas Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida IntlTexas TechTulsa
100.0%
<0.1%
LibertyMTSUTexas Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Texas TechTroyTulsa
100.0%
<0.1%
New Mexico StTexas TechTulsa
100.0%
<0.1%
KennesawTexas TechTroy
100.0%
<0.1%
KennesawMTSUTexas Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StTexas TechTulsa
100.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StLibertyTroy
100.0%
<0.1%
Missouri StTexas TechTroy
100.0%
<0.1%
LibertyTexas TechTroy
100.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StNew Mexico StTexas Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
LibertyNew Mexico StTexas Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StMissouri StTroy
100.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StTexas TechWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
New Mexico StTexas TechTroy
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida IntlMTSUTexas Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StLibertyTulsa
100.0%
<0.1%
New Mexico StTexas TechWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Texas TechTulsaWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
MTSUTexas TechTulsa
100.0%
<0.1%
MTSUTexas TechTroy
100.0%
<0.1%
LibertyTroyWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida IntlMissouri StTexas Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
KennesawTexas TechTulsa
100.0%
<0.1%
Missouri StTroyTulsa
100.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StMTSUTexas Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
MTSUTexas TechWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Texas TechTroyWKU
85.7%
<0.1%
LibertyTexas TechWKU
85.7%
<0.1%
KennesawTexas TechWKU
85.7%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StLibertyTexas Tech
85.7%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StMissouri StTexas Tech
85.7%
<0.1%
LibertyMissouri StTexas Tech
80.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StKennesawTexas Tech
80.0%
<0.1%
KennesawLibertyTexas Tech
66.7%
<0.1%
KennesawMissouri StTexas Tech
66.7%
<0.1%
Missouri StTexas TechWKU
66.7%
<0.1%
Florida IntlKennesawTexas Tech
50.0%
<0.1%
Missouri StNew Mexico StTexas Tech
50.0%
<0.1%
Any 4 losses
64.1%
0.9%
Florida IntlTexas TechTroyWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida IntlLibertyTexas TechTroy
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida IntlNew Mexico StTexas TechTroy
100.0%
<0.1%
MTSUTexas TechTroyTulsa
100.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StTexas TechTroyTulsa
100.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StTexas TechTulsaWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
LibertyTexas TechTroyTulsa
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida IntlTexas TechTroyTulsa
100.0%
<0.1%
MTSUTexas TechTulsaWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Texas TechTroyTulsaWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StMTSUTexas TechTroy
100.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StKennesawNew Mexico StTexas Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Missouri StTexas TechTroyTulsa
100.0%
<0.1%
KennesawNew Mexico StNichollsTroy
100.0%
<0.1%
New Mexico StTexas TechTroyTulsa
100.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StMissouri StTexas TechTroy
100.0%
<0.1%
LibertyNew Mexico StTexas TechTulsa
100.0%
<0.1%
MTSUMissouri StTexas TechTroy
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida IntlMTSUTexas TechTroy
100.0%
<0.1%
KennesawTexas TechTroyTulsa
100.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StMissouri StTexas TechTulsa
100.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StMissouri StNichollsTexas Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida IntlLibertyTexas TechTulsa
100.0%
<0.1%
NichollsTexas TechTroyWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida IntlKennesawNew Mexico StTexas Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida IntlLibertyNichollsTexas Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida IntlKennesawTexas TechTroy
100.0%
<0.1%
LibertyNew Mexico StNichollsTexas Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StNew Mexico StTexas TechTulsa
100.0%
<0.1%
LibertyNichollsTexas TechWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida IntlNew Mexico StTexas TechTulsa
100.0%
<0.1%
LibertyMissouri StNichollsTexas Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida IntlMissouri StTexas TechTulsa
100.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StLibertyTroyTulsa
100.0%
<0.1%
MTSUNichollsTexas TechTulsa
100.0%
<0.1%
KennesawMissouri StTexas TechTulsa
100.0%
<0.1%
LibertyTroyTulsaWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida IntlNichollsTexas TechTroy
100.0%
<0.1%
KennesawMTSUTexas TechTulsa
100.0%
<0.1%
MTSUNew Mexico StTexas TechTulsa
100.0%
<0.1%
Missouri StTroyTulsaWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
NichollsTexas TechTroyTulsa
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida IntlLibertyNichollsTroy
100.0%
<0.1%
New Mexico StTexas TechTulsaWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Missouri StNichollsTexas TechTroy
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida IntlMTSUTexas TechTulsa
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida IntlMissouri StNew Mexico StTroy
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida IntlMTSUTroyTulsa
100.0%
<0.1%
KennesawLibertyMTSUTroy
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida IntlNichollsTexas TechWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StLibertyMissouri StTroy
100.0%
<0.1%
LibertyMissouri StTroyWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
KennesawMTSUTroyTulsa
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida IntlJacksonville StMissouri StTroy
100.0%
<0.1%
Missouri StNichollsTexas TechTulsa
100.0%
<0.1%
Missouri StTexas TechTroyWKU
95.2%
<0.1%
Florida IntlJacksonville StTexas TechTroy
91.7%
<0.1%
KennesawTexas TechTroyWKU
91.7%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StLibertyTexas TechTulsa
90.9%
<0.1%
LibertyMissouri StTexas TechTulsa
90.0%
<0.1%
Missouri StTexas TechTulsaWKU
88.9%
<0.1%
Florida IntlKennesawTexas TechTulsa
88.9%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StLibertyTexas TechTroy
87.5%
<0.1%
LibertyTexas TechTulsaWKU
87.5%
<0.1%
MTSUTexas TechTroyWKU
87.5%
<0.1%
KennesawLibertyTexas TechTroy
85.7%
<0.1%
Missouri StNew Mexico StTexas TechTroy
85.7%
<0.1%
LibertyNew Mexico StTexas TechTroy
85.7%
<0.1%
Florida IntlMissouri StTexas TechTroy
84.6%
<0.1%
KennesawTexas TechTulsaWKU
83.3%
<0.1%
Missouri StNew Mexico StTexas TechTulsa
80.0%
<0.1%
Florida IntlJacksonville StTexas TechTulsa
80.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StNew Mexico StTexas TechTroy
80.0%
<0.1%
LibertyMTSUTexas TechTroy
80.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StKennesawTexas TechTroy
76.9%
<0.1%
LibertyMissouri StTexas TechTroy
76.7%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StTexas TechTroyWKU
75.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StMTSUTexas TechWKU
75.0%
<0.1%
KennesawNew Mexico StTexas TechTroy
75.0%
<0.1%
LibertyMTSUTexas TechTulsa
75.0%
<0.1%
KennesawMTSUTexas TechTroy
75.0%
<0.1%
KennesawLibertyTexas TechTulsa
70.0%
<0.1%
Florida IntlTexas TechTulsaWKU
66.7%
<0.1%
LibertyMTSUMissouri StTexas Tech
66.7%
<0.1%
Florida IntlMissouri StNew Mexico StTexas Tech
66.7%
<0.1%
LibertyTexas TechTroyWKU
64.7%
<0.1%
KennesawMissouri StTexas TechTroy
62.5%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StLibertyMTSUTexas Tech
57.1%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StLibertyNew Mexico StTexas Tech
50.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StKennesawTexas TechTulsa
50.0%
<0.1%
MTSUNew Mexico StTexas TechTroy
50.0%
<0.1%
Florida IntlKennesawMTSUTexas Tech
50.0%
<0.1%
Florida IntlMTSUNew Mexico StTexas Tech
50.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StMTSUTexas TechTulsa
50.0%
<0.1%
KennesawMissouri StNew Mexico StTexas Tech
50.0%
<0.1%
New Mexico StTexas TechTroyWKU
50.0%
<0.1%
KennesawMTSUNew Mexico StTexas Tech
50.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StMissouri StNew Mexico StTexas Tech
37.5%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StKennesawLibertyTexas Tech
36.4%
<0.1%
Florida IntlMissouri StTexas TechWKU
35.7%
<0.1%
Florida IntlLibertyMTSUTexas Tech
33.3%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StKennesawMissouri StTexas Tech
33.3%
<0.1%
MTSUMissouri StTexas TechWKU
33.3%
<0.1%
LibertyMissouri StTulsaWKU
33.3%
<0.1%
Florida IntlJacksonville StTexas TechWKU
33.3%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StKennesawMTSUTexas Tech
33.3%
<0.1%
KennesawLibertyMTSUTexas Tech
33.3%
<0.1%
LibertyMissouri StNew Mexico StTexas Tech
33.3%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StMTSUMissouri StTexas Tech
28.6%
<0.1%
Florida IntlNew Mexico StTexas TechWKU
28.6%
<0.1%
Florida IntlKennesawLibertyTexas Tech
25.0%
<0.1%
Florida IntlJacksonville StKennesawTexas Tech
25.0%
<0.1%
Florida IntlJacksonville StMTSUTexas Tech
25.0%
<0.1%
LibertyNew Mexico StTexas TechWKU
20.0%
<0.1%
Florida IntlJacksonville StMissouri StTexas Tech
20.0%
<0.1%
Florida IntlLibertyMissouri StTexas Tech
20.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StNew Mexico StTexas TechWKU
20.0%
<0.1%
Florida IntlMTSUMissouri StTexas Tech
20.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StLibertyTexas TechWKU
18.8%
<0.1%
KennesawLibertyMissouri StTexas Tech
18.2%
<0.1%
Florida IntlJacksonville StLibertyTexas Tech
17.6%
<0.1%
LibertyMissouri StTexas TechWKU
16.7%
<0.1%
Florida IntlKennesawMissouri StTexas Tech
14.3%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StLibertyMissouri StTexas Tech
11.8%
<0.1%
KennesawMissouri StTexas TechWKU
10.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StMissouri StTexas TechWKU
9.5%
<0.1%
KennesawLibertyTexas TechWKU
7.1%
<0.1%
Florida IntlLibertyTexas TechWKU
6.3%
<0.1%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com