Kennesaw

Kennesaw StateOwls

1-1 T1st (0-0) in CUSA

Data from 2026-09-17

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

18.4%

Based on 1,000,000 simulations

What is Kennesaw State's probability of making the Conference USA Championship Game?

Kennesaw State has a 18.4% chance to reach the Conference USA Championship Game, as of week 3 of the 2026 season, based on a 1,000,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Kennesaw State's Conference USA Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.

KennesawSchedule & Results

WkDateOpponentResult
19/03
vsWest GeorgiaWGA
W47-0
29/12
vsGeorgia StGAST
L17-31
39/19
@TennesseeTENN
Win prob:1%
49/26
@Arkansas StARST
Win prob:36%
610/07
vsJacksonville StJXST
Win prob:53%
710/14
@Missouri StMOST
Win prob:46%
810/22
vsLibertyLIB
Win prob:53%
910/28
@MTSUMTSU
Win prob:57%
1011/07
vsDelawareDEL
Win prob:36%
1111/14
@Sam Houston StSHSU
Win prob:55%
1211/21
vsFlorida IntlFIU
Win prob:54%
1311/28
@WKUWKU
Win prob:52%

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

KennesawRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
0.4%
100.0%
7-1
3.3%
99.8%
6-2
11.4%
84.5%
5-3
22.7%
22.1%
4-4
27.7%
0.1%
3-5
21.2%
0%
2-6
10.2%
0%
1-7
2.8%
0%
0-8
0.3%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

Possible Kennesaw CCG Opponents

if Kennesaw makes the CCG

DELDelaware
49.7%
JXSTJacksonville St
12.6%
LIBLiberty
11.8%
FIUFlorida Intl
9.9%
NMSUNew Mexico St
5.1%
MOSTMissouri St
4.5%
WKUWKU
2.9%
SHSUSam Houston St
2.2%
MTSUMTSU
1.4%

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

KennesawThis Week's Impact

Game
KennesawCCG OddsAway Wins
KennesawCCG OddsHome Wins
Sat, Sep 19
Coastal CarCCU@DelawareDEL
18.4%
(+0.0%)		18.4%
(-0.0%)
Ball StBALL@LibertyLIB
18.4%
(-0.0%)		18.4%
(+0.0%)
WKUWKU@IndianaIU
18.8%
(+0.4%)		18.4%
(+0.0%)
Florida IntlFIU@FL AtlanticFAU
18.5%
(+0.1%)		18.3%
(-0.1%)
MarshallMRSH@Missouri StMOST
18.4%
(+0.0%)		18.4%
(-0.0%)
Ga SouthernGASO@Jacksonville StJXST
18.4%
(-0.0%)		18.4%
(+0.0%)
NevadaNEV@MTSUMTSU
18.4%
(+0.0%)		18.4%
(-0.0%)
NichollsNICH@Sam Houston StSHSU
18.2%
(-0.2%)		18.4%
(+0.0%)
KennesawKENN@TennesseeTENN
18.4%
(-0.0%)		18.4%
(+0.0%)

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

KennesawLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Kennesaw CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 1 loss
100.0%
0.1%
Any 2 losses
99.8%
1.4%
Arkansas StTennessee
100.0%
0.3%
MTSUTennessee
100.0%
0.1%
Missouri StTennessee
100.0%
0.2%
Arkansas StDelaware
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StMissouri St
100.0%
<0.1%
MTSUSam Houston St
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StJacksonville St
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida IntlWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StLiberty
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StSam Houston St
100.0%
<0.1%
Sam Houston StWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Missouri StSam Houston St
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StFlorida Intl
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StMTSU
100.0%
<0.1%
Florida IntlMTSU
100.0%
<0.1%
LibertyMTSU
100.0%
<0.1%
MTSUMissouri St
100.0%
<0.1%
MTSUWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
TennesseeWKU
99.9%
0.1%
Florida IntlTennessee
99.9%
0.1%
Sam Houston StTennessee
99.9%
0.1%
LibertyTennessee
99.8%
0.1%
Jacksonville StTennessee
99.6%
0.1%
DelawareTennessee
99.4%
0.3%
Missouri StWKU
92.3%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StMissouri St
91.7%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StLiberty
90.9%
<0.1%
Florida IntlSam Houston St
90.0%
<0.1%
LibertySam Houston St
90.0%
<0.1%
LibertyWKU
88.9%
<0.1%
DelawareMissouri St
87.1%
<0.1%
DelawareMTSU
85.7%
<0.1%
LibertyMissouri St
85.7%
<0.1%
DelawareSam Houston St
84.6%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StWKU
84.6%
<0.1%
Florida IntlMissouri St
84.6%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StMTSU
83.3%
<0.1%
Florida IntlJacksonville St
78.6%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StSam Houston St
76.9%
<0.1%
DelawareLiberty
76.0%
<0.1%
DelawareJacksonville St
75.0%
<0.1%
DelawareWKU
70.8%
<0.1%
Florida IntlLiberty
69.2%
<0.1%
DelawareFlorida Intl
60.9%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
89.8%
6.1%
Arkansas StMTSUTennessee
100.0%
0.2%
Arkansas StTennesseeWKU
100.0%
0.2%
Arkansas StJacksonville StWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StMTSUMissouri St
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StFlorida IntlSam Houston St
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StMTSUWKU
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StMissouri StTennessee
99.9%
0.3%
Arkansas StSam Houston StTennessee
99.9%
0.2%
Arkansas StLibertyTennessee
99.8%
0.2%
Arkansas StJacksonville StTennessee
99.6%
0.2%
Arkansas StFlorida IntlTennessee
99.6%
0.2%
Arkansas StDelawareTennessee
99.6%
0.5%
MTSUTennesseeWKU
98.5%
<0.1%
Arkansas StMissouri StWKU
97.1%
<0.1%
MTSUSam Houston StTennessee
96.7%
<0.1%
MTSUMissouri StTennessee
95.6%
0.1%
Sam Houston StTennesseeWKU
95.6%
0.1%
Arkansas StDelawareMTSU
95.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StJacksonville StSam Houston St
94.4%
<0.1%
Arkansas StMTSUSam Houston St
94.4%
<0.1%
Missouri StTennesseeWKU
94.1%
0.2%
Missouri StSam Houston StTennessee
93.6%
0.1%
Arkansas StSam Houston StWKU
92.3%
<0.1%
Arkansas StJacksonville StMTSU
91.7%
<0.1%
DelawareMTSUTennessee
90.5%
0.2%
Arkansas StLibertyWKU
90.5%
<0.1%
Florida IntlMTSUTennessee
89.8%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StMTSUTennessee
89.4%
<0.1%
LibertyMTSUTennessee
89.3%
<0.1%
Florida IntlMissouri StTennessee
89.1%
0.1%
Florida IntlTennesseeWKU
88.9%
0.1%
Arkansas StFlorida IntlLiberty
88.9%
<0.1%
Arkansas StDelawareWKU
88.9%
<0.1%
Florida IntlSam Houston StTennessee
88.8%
0.1%
Arkansas StFlorida IntlWKU
88.2%
<0.1%
LibertyTennesseeWKU
87.8%
0.1%
LibertySam Houston StTennessee
87.7%
0.1%
LibertyMissouri StTennessee
87.6%
0.1%
Jacksonville StTennesseeWKU
87.4%
0.1%
Jacksonville StSam Houston StTennessee
87.0%
0.1%
Arkansas StMissouri StSam Houston St
87.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StFlorida IntlMissouri St
87.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StMissouri StTennessee
86.5%
0.1%
DelawareSam Houston StTennessee
86.3%
0.2%
DelawareTennesseeWKU
86.1%
0.2%
Arkansas StLibertyMTSU
85.7%
<0.1%
Arkansas StLibertySam Houston St
85.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StDelawareMissouri St
84.8%
<0.1%
DelawareMissouri StTennessee
84.0%
0.3%
Arkansas StLibertyMissouri St
82.9%
<0.1%
Arkansas StDelawareSam Houston St
79.4%
<0.1%
Arkansas StJacksonville StLiberty
79.0%
<0.1%
Florida IntlJacksonville StTennessee
78.8%
0.1%
Arkansas StJacksonville StMissouri St
78.6%
<0.1%
Florida IntlLibertyTennessee
78.2%
0.1%
Arkansas StDelawareLiberty
75.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StLibertyTennessee
73.4%
0.1%
Arkansas StFlorida IntlMTSU
71.4%
<0.1%
DelawareFlorida IntlTennessee
71.0%
0.2%
Arkansas StDelawareFlorida Intl
67.7%
<0.1%
DelawareLibertyTennessee
66.0%
0.2%
Arkansas StDelawareJacksonville St
66.0%
<0.1%
DelawareJacksonville StTennessee
64.8%
0.2%
MTSUMissouri StWKU
60.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StFlorida IntlJacksonville St
54.5%
<0.1%
LibertyMissouri StSam Houston St
50.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StMTSUWKU
46.2%
<0.1%
LibertySam Houston StWKU
44.4%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StSam Houston StWKU
42.9%
<0.1%
Florida IntlJacksonville StWKU
41.7%
<0.1%
DelawareFlorida IntlWKU
38.9%
<0.1%
DelawareMissouri StSam Houston St
38.2%
<0.1%
Florida IntlMTSUSam Houston St
37.5%
<0.1%
MTSUMissouri StSam Houston St
36.8%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StMTSUMissouri St
36.4%
<0.1%
DelawareMTSUSam Houston St
35.3%
<0.1%
LibertyMTSUSam Houston St
33.3%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StLibertyWKU
33.3%
<0.1%
Florida IntlMTSUMissouri St
33.3%
<0.1%
MTSUSam Houston StWKU
33.3%
<0.1%
DelawareMissouri StWKU
30.3%
<0.1%
Florida IntlMissouri StSam Houston St
30.0%
<0.1%
DelawareMTSUWKU
30.0%
<0.1%
LibertyMissouri StWKU
29.4%
<0.1%
DelawareFlorida IntlSam Houston St
28.6%
<0.1%
DelawareSam Houston StWKU
28.6%
<0.1%
Missouri StSam Houston StWKU
27.8%
<0.1%
LibertyMTSUWKU
27.3%
<0.1%
DelawareJacksonville StSam Houston St
26.7%
<0.1%
Florida IntlMissouri StWKU
25.0%
<0.1%
DelawareLibertyWKU
25.0%
<0.1%
Florida IntlSam Houston StWKU
23.5%
<0.1%
DelawareMTSUMissouri St
22.2%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StMTSUSam Houston St
22.2%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StMissouri StWKU
22.2%
<0.1%
LibertyMTSUMissouri St
22.2%
<0.1%
DelawareFlorida IntlJacksonville St
20.8%
<0.1%
Florida IntlJacksonville StSam Houston St
20.0%
<0.1%
DelawareJacksonville StMTSU
20.0%
<0.1%
Florida IntlJacksonville StMTSU
20.0%
<0.1%
DelawareFlorida IntlMissouri St
19.4%
<0.1%
Florida IntlLibertySam Houston St
18.2%
<0.1%
Florida IntlMTSUWKU
16.7%
<0.1%
DelawareLibertySam Houston St
16.7%
<0.1%
DelawareJacksonville StMissouri St
13.6%
<0.1%
DelawareLibertyMissouri St
13.0%
<0.1%
DelawareFlorida IntlLiberty
12.5%
<0.1%
DelawareJacksonville StLiberty
11.8%
<0.1%
DelawareJacksonville StWKU
11.1%
<0.1%
Florida IntlLibertyMTSU
10.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StLibertySam Houston St
10.0%
<0.1%
Jacksonville StLibertyMissouri St
10.0%
<0.1%
DelawareLibertyMTSU
7.7%
<0.1%
DelawareFlorida IntlMTSU
6.7%
<0.1%
Florida IntlLibertyMissouri St
5.9%
<0.1%

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

KennesawCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1 (8/4)Week 1 (8/31)Week 3 (9/8)Week 3 (9/13)

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com