Coastal CarolinaChanticleers
3-5 T4th (2-2) in SBC
Data from 2026-11-02
Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
1.3%
Based on 1,000,000 simulations
What is Coastal Carolina's probability of making the Sun Belt Conference Championship Game?
Coastal Carolina has a 1.3% chance to reach the Sun Belt Conference Championship Game, as of latest of the 2026 season, based on a 1,000,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Coastal Carolina's Sun Belt Conference Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.
What is the biggest game this week for Coastal Carolina's Sun Belt Conference Championship Game odds?
The biggest swing game for Coastal Carolina's Sun Belt Conference Championship Game odds this week isn't even its own: a Marshall win would boost them to 3.0%, while a Georgia Southern win would leave them at 1.0%.
Schedule & Results
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9/05 | L24-31 | |
| 2 | 9/12 | W45-7 | |
| 3 | 9/19 | L14-22 | |
| 4 | 9/24 | L17-34 | |
| 5 | 10/03 | L24-31 | |
| 6 | 10/10 | W27-21 | |
| 7 | 10/16 | L32-35 | |
| 9 | 10/31 | W31-20 | |
| 10 | 11/07 | Win prob:77% | |
| 11 | 11/14 | Win prob:53% | |
| 12 | 11/21 | Win prob:20% | |
| 13 | 11/28 | Win prob:8% |
Data from 2026-11-02
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 6-2 | 0.7% | 16.1% |
| 5-3 | 11.0% | 5.6% |
| 4-4 | 42.1% | 1.3% |
| 3-5 | 38.2% | 0% |
| 2-6 | 8.1% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2026-11-02
Possible CCG Opponents
if makes the CCG
Data from 2026-11-02
This Week's Impact
| Time | Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway Wins | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome Wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Nov 5Thursday, November 5 | |||
| 1.3% (+0.0%) | 1.3% (+0.0%) | ||
| Sat, Nov 7Saturday, November 7 | |||
| 0.0% (-1.3%) | 1.7% (+0.4%) | ||
| 2.5% (+1.2%) | 0.5% (-0.8%) | ||
| 1.2% (-0.1%) | 1.3% (+0.0%) | ||
| 3.0% (+1.8%) | 1.0% (-0.3%) | ||
| 1.3% (-0.0%) | 1.3% (+0.0%) | ||
| 1.2% (-0.1%) | 1.3% (+0.0%) | ||
Best Winner Combination for
Louisiana Tech
Southern Miss
Georgia State
Marshall
Arkansas State
South AlabamaCoastal CarolinaCCG: 6.4% • Scenario: 0.1%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
Georgia StateCoastal CarolinaCCG: 3.0% • Scenario: 29.9%
Data from 2026-11-02
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2026-11-02