VirginiaCavaliers

4-5 T12th (2-4) in ACC

Data from 2026-11-02

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.0%

Based on 1,000,000 simulations

What is Virginia's probability of making the Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game?

Virginia has a - chance to reach the Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game, as of latest of the 2026 season, based on a 1,000,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Virginia has been eliminated from Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game contention.

Schedule & Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	Result
0	8/29	vsNC StateNCSU	W34-8
2	9/11	vsNorfolk StateNORF	W59-3
3	9/19	vsWest VirginiaWVU(N)	L27-38
4	9/26	vsDelawareDEL	W42-3
5	10/03	@Florida StateFSU	L7-38
6	10/10	vsSyracuseSYR	W28-25
7	10/17	@SMUSMU	L13-23
8	10/23	vsDukeDUKE	L16-19
9	10/31	@Wake ForestWAKE	L7-51
11	11/14	vsCaliforniaCAL	Win prob:86%
12	11/21	vsNorth CarolinaUNC	Win prob:42%
13	11/28	@Virginia TechVT	Win prob:34%

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
5-4	12.3%	0%
4-5	43.0%	0%
3-6	39.5%	0%
2-7	5.2%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Time	Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway Wins	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome Wins
Fri, Nov 6Friday, November 6
	Virginia TechVT@SMUSMU	0.0% (+0.0%)	0.0% (+0.0%)
Sat, Nov 7Saturday, November 7
	ClemsonCLEM@SyracuseSYR	0.0% (+0.0%)	0.0% (+0.0%)
	Florida StateFSU@Boston CollegeBC	0.0% (+0.0%)	0.0% (+0.0%)
	North CarolinaUNC@UConnCONN	0.0% (+0.0%)	0.0% (+0.0%)
	DukeDUKE@NC StateNCSU	0.0% (+0.0%)	0.0% (+0.0%)
	MerrimackMRMK@Wake ForestWAKE	0.0% (+0.0%)	0.0% (+0.0%)
	LouisvilleLOU@Georgia TechGT	0.0% (+0.0%)	0.0% (+0.0%)
	MiamiMIA@Notre DameND	0.0% (+0.0%)	0.0% (+0.0%)

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com