Georgia St

Georgia StatePanthers

0-0 T1st (0-0) in SBC

Data from 2026-08-26

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

2.7%

Based on 100,000 simulations

What is Georgia State's probability of making the Sun Belt Conference Championship Game?

Georgia State has a 2.7% chance to reach the Sun Belt Conference Championship Game, as of week 1 of the 2026 season, based on a 100,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Georgia State's Sun Belt Conference Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.

Georgia StSchedule & Results

WkDateOpponentResult
9/04
vsNorth Carolina A&TNCAT
Win prob:90%
9/12
@KennesawKENN
Win prob:30%
9/19
@UCFUCF
Win prob:12%
9/26
vsN IllinoisNIU
Win prob:54%
10/03
vsOld DominionODU
Win prob:31%
10/17
@James MadisonJMU
Win prob:18%
10/24
@Arkansas StARST
Win prob:31%
10/31
vsCoastal CarCCU
Win prob:49%
11/07
@Appalachian StAPP
Win prob:32%
11/14
vsGa SouthernGASO
Win prob:41%
11/21
@MarshallMRSH
Win prob:30%
11/28
vsLouisianaUL
Win prob:40%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

Georgia StRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
0.0%
100.0%
7-1
0.2%
78.8%
6-2
1.7%
44.3%
5-3
7.0%
15.3%
4-4
17.6%
3.5%
3-5
28.0%
0.0%
2-6
27.3%
0%
1-7
14.7%
0%
0-8
3.4%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Georgia St CCG Opponents

if Georgia St makes the CCG

Southern MissSouthern Miss
31.8%
TroyTroy
19.2%
LouisianaLouisiana
18.4%
Arkansas StateArkansas St
16.3%
Louisiana TechLouisiana Tech
14.2%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

Georgia StThis Week's Impact

Game
Georgia StCCG OddsAway
Georgia StCCG OddsHome

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

Georgia StLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Georgia St CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 1 loss
<0.1%
<0.1%
UCF
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian St
100.0%
<0.1%
Marshall
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
27.1%
<0.1%
LouisianaOld Dominion
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaMarshall
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StGa Southern
100.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StJames Madison
100.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernN Illinois
100.0%
<0.1%
KennesawUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarMarshall
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StN Illinois
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
KennesawN Illinois
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StLouisiana
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StKennesaw
100.0%
<0.1%
James MadisonN Illinois
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StCoastal Car
100.0%
<0.1%
North Carolina A&TUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StLouisiana
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StKennesaw
100.0%
<0.1%
N IllinoisUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernKennesaw
100.0%
<0.1%
North Carolina A&TOld Dominion
100.0%
<0.1%
MarshallUCF
75.0%
<0.1%
Old DominionUCF
66.7%
<0.1%
James MadisonUCF
40.0%
<0.1%
James MadisonKennesaw
25.0%
<0.1%
James MadisonMarshall
14.3%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
57.7%
0.3%
Arkansas StCoastal CarUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
KennesawLouisianaMarshall
100.0%
<0.1%
KennesawN IllinoisUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StN IllinoisUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StKennesawUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarGa SouthernKennesaw
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StKennesawN Illinois
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StKennesawLouisiana
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StCoastal CarKennesaw
100.0%
<0.1%
KennesawLouisianaOld Dominion
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StLouisianaMarshall
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StLouisianaUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaN IllinoisUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StLouisianaUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StKennesawNorth Carolina A&T
100.0%
<0.1%
KennesawLouisianaUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StKennesawUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StArkansas StGa Southern
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaMarshallN Illinois
100.0%
<0.1%
MarshallNorth Carolina A&TUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StKennesawMarshall
100.0%
<0.1%
MarshallN IllinoisUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StKennesawNorth Carolina A&T
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StLouisianaN Illinois
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StKennesawOld Dominion
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StArkansas StLouisiana
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarLouisianaUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
KennesawMarshallN Illinois
100.0%
<0.1%
KennesawLouisianaN Illinois
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StNorth Carolina A&TUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StKennesawLouisiana
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StLouisianaN Illinois
100.0%
<0.1%
James MadisonLouisianaN Illinois
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StLouisianaOld Dominion
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StLouisianaNorth Carolina A&T
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarN IllinoisUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StN IllinoisUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StCoastal CarLouisiana
100.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernLouisianaN Illinois
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarLouisianaN Illinois
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StGa SouthernKennesaw
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarKennesawUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernKennesawUCF
85.7%
<0.1%
LouisianaMarshallUCF
83.3%
<0.1%
Appalachian StArkansas StUCF
81.8%
<0.1%
Arkansas StGa SouthernUCF
80.0%
<0.1%
James MadisonN IllinoisUCF
80.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StOld DominionUCF
75.0%
<0.1%
James MadisonLouisianaUCF
73.3%
<0.1%
Arkansas StJames MadisonUCF
72.7%
<0.1%
KennesawOld DominionUCF
71.4%
<0.1%
Arkansas StMarshallUCF
70.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernKennesawLouisiana
66.7%
<0.1%
Arkansas StGa SouthernLouisiana
66.7%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernLouisianaUCF
66.7%
<0.1%
Appalachian StLouisianaOld Dominion
66.7%
<0.1%
KennesawN IllinoisOld Dominion
66.7%
<0.1%
Arkansas StJames MadisonKennesaw
66.7%
<0.1%
LouisianaOld DominionUCF
62.5%
<0.1%
Arkansas StJames MadisonLouisiana
60.0%
<0.1%
James MadisonKennesawUCF
54.2%
<0.1%
KennesawMarshallUCF
53.8%
<0.1%
Appalachian StCoastal CarUCF
50.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StGa SouthernLouisiana
50.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarKennesawOld Dominion
50.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StCoastal CarN Illinois
50.0%
<0.1%
N IllinoisOld DominionUCF
50.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarKennesawMarshall
50.0%
<0.1%
James MadisonNorth Carolina A&TUCF
50.0%
<0.1%
MarshallOld DominionUCF
50.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarJames MadisonLouisiana
50.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernJames MadisonN Illinois
33.3%
<0.1%
James MadisonKennesawOld Dominion
33.3%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernN IllinoisOld Dominion
33.3%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernJames MadisonKennesaw
33.3%
<0.1%
Coastal CarGa SouthernUCF
33.3%
<0.1%
Appalachian StMarshallUCF
28.6%
<0.1%
James MadisonKennesawLouisiana
25.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StGa SouthernUCF
25.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernMarshallUCF
25.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StJames MadisonUCF
17.6%
<0.1%
James MadisonMarshallUCF
13.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernJames MadisonUCF
12.5%
<0.1%
Coastal CarJames MadisonUCF
12.5%
<0.1%
Appalachian StOld DominionUCF
11.1%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernOld DominionUCF
9.1%
<0.1%
Any 4 losses
41.3%
1.5%
Arkansas StKennesawLouisianaUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaN IllinoisNorth Carolina A&TUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StArkansas StNorth Carolina A&TUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StJames MadisonLouisianaN Illinois
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StArkansas StLouisianaUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StLouisianaN IllinoisUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernKennesawNorth Carolina A&TUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StKennesawLouisianaOld Dominion
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StLouisianaNorth Carolina A&TUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StCoastal CarKennesawN Illinois
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StCoastal CarLouisianaN Illinois
100.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernKennesawLouisianaUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
KennesawLouisianaMarshallUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
KennesawLouisianaN IllinoisUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StGa SouthernKennesawN Illinois
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StKennesawLouisianaMarshall
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StKennesawLouisianaN Illinois
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarLouisianaN IllinoisUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StLouisianaMarshallN Illinois
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StArkansas StKennesawLouisiana
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StLouisianaN IllinoisUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StKennesawMarshallN Illinois
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StJames MadisonKennesawN Illinois
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StMarshallN IllinoisUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarKennesawNorth Carolina A&TUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StKennesawLouisianaN Illinois
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StLouisianaN IllinoisOld Dominion
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StKennesawNorth Carolina A&TUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StGa SouthernLouisianaUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
KennesawMarshallN IllinoisUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StCoastal CarKennesawN Illinois
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StGa SouthernKennesawLouisiana
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StGa SouthernLouisianaN Illinois
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StArkansas StCoastal CarKennesaw
100.0%
<0.1%
KennesawLouisianaMarshallN Illinois
100.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernKennesawN IllinoisUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StKennesawN IllinoisUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StCoastal CarNorth Carolina A&TUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StArkansas StKennesawN Illinois
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StCoastal CarGa SouthernN Illinois
100.0%
<0.1%
KennesawLouisianaNorth Carolina A&TUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarKennesawLouisianaN Illinois
100.0%
<0.1%
KennesawNorth Carolina A&TOld DominionUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StKennesawNorth Carolina A&TUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StGa SouthernKennesawLouisiana
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StCoastal CarKennesawUCF
90.9%
<0.1%
Appalachian StKennesawLouisianaUCF
90.9%
<0.1%
Arkansas StKennesawMarshallUCF
89.5%
<0.1%
Arkansas StN IllinoisOld DominionUCF
88.9%
<0.1%
LouisianaMarshallN IllinoisUCF
88.9%
<0.1%
Arkansas StCoastal CarLouisianaUCF
87.5%
<0.1%
Appalachian StKennesawN IllinoisUCF
83.3%
<0.1%
Arkansas StJames MadisonKennesawLouisiana
81.3%
<0.1%
Arkansas StGa SouthernN IllinoisUCF
80.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StGa SouthernKennesawUCF
80.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarKennesawN IllinoisUCF
80.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarKennesawLouisianaUCF
80.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StLouisianaMarshallUCF
76.9%
<0.1%
Arkansas StJames MadisonLouisianaUCF
76.2%
<0.1%
Appalachian StArkansas StKennesawUCF
75.0%
<0.1%
James MadisonKennesawNorth Carolina A&TUCF
75.0%
<0.1%
KennesawN IllinoisOld DominionUCF
71.4%
<0.1%
James MadisonKennesawLouisianaUCF
71.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StArkansas StN IllinoisUCF
66.7%
<0.1%
Arkansas StGa SouthernMarshallN Illinois
66.7%
<0.1%
Arkansas StNorth Carolina A&TOld DominionUCF
66.7%
<0.1%
Coastal CarGa SouthernKennesawUCF
66.7%
<0.1%
Arkansas StCoastal CarN IllinoisUCF
66.7%
<0.1%
Arkansas StGa SouthernKennesawOld Dominion
66.7%
<0.1%
Arkansas StJames MadisonNorth Carolina A&TUCF
66.7%
<0.1%
KennesawLouisianaOld DominionUCF
63.6%
<0.1%
James MadisonLouisianaN IllinoisUCF
63.6%
<0.1%
Arkansas StLouisianaOld DominionUCF
62.5%
<0.1%
Arkansas StCoastal CarGa SouthernUCF
60.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StKennesawN IllinoisOld Dominion
60.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StJames MadisonN IllinoisUCF
57.1%
<0.1%
Appalachian StCoastal CarKennesawUCF
55.6%
<0.1%
Arkansas StKennesawOld DominionUCF
55.0%
<0.1%
James MadisonKennesawN IllinoisUCF
53.3%
<0.1%
Arkansas StLouisianaMarshallOld Dominion
50.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StMarshallN IllinoisOld Dominion
50.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaN IllinoisOld DominionUCF
50.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StArkansas StCoastal CarUCF
50.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarKennesawLouisianaMarshall
50.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StArkansas StLouisianaN Illinois
50.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarLouisianaMarshallUCF
50.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StArkansas StCoastal CarN Illinois
50.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StJames MadisonKennesawUCF
48.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarJames MadisonN IllinoisUCF
44.4%
<0.1%
James MadisonKennesawLouisianaN Illinois
42.9%
<0.1%
Appalachian StGa SouthernLouisianaUCF
42.9%
<0.1%
Appalachian StArkansas StMarshallN Illinois
40.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StArkansas StKennesawMarshall
40.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StArkansas StMarshallUCF
39.1%
<0.1%
Appalachian StArkansas StLouisianaMarshall
37.5%
<0.1%
Coastal CarKennesawMarshallUCF
36.4%
<0.1%
Coastal CarGa SouthernLouisianaUCF
33.3%
<0.1%
Arkansas StGa SouthernLouisianaMarshall
33.3%
<0.1%
Arkansas StGa SouthernN IllinoisOld Dominion
33.3%
<0.1%
Coastal CarKennesawLouisianaOld Dominion
33.3%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernKennesawLouisianaOld Dominion
33.3%
<0.1%
James MadisonLouisianaNorth Carolina A&TUCF
33.3%
<0.1%
Arkansas StGa SouthernJames MadisonLouisiana
33.3%
<0.1%
Appalachian StArkansas StN IllinoisOld Dominion
33.3%
<0.1%
Arkansas StJames MadisonMarshallN Illinois
33.3%
<0.1%
Coastal CarKennesawOld DominionUCF
33.3%
<0.1%
Appalachian StCoastal CarLouisianaUCF
33.3%
<0.1%
Arkansas StMarshallOld DominionUCF
29.2%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernN IllinoisOld DominionUCF
28.6%
<0.1%
Appalachian StGa SouthernKennesawUCF
28.6%
<0.1%
Appalachian StJames MadisonKennesawN Illinois
28.6%
<0.1%
Appalachian StArkansas StGa SouthernKennesaw
28.6%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernLouisianaMarshallUCF
27.3%
<0.1%
Arkansas StGa SouthernMarshallUCF
27.3%
<0.1%
Arkansas StGa SouthernJames MadisonUCF
25.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StKennesawMarshallUCF
25.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarJames MadisonLouisianaUCF
25.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StGa SouthernLouisianaOld Dominion
25.0%
<0.1%
LouisianaMarshallOld DominionUCF
25.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernKennesawMarshallUCF
25.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StCoastal CarMarshallUCF
25.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernMarshallN IllinoisUCF
25.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StMarshallN IllinoisUCF
25.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StJames MadisonLouisianaMarshall
25.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StCoastal CarKennesawMarshall
25.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StJames MadisonKennesawMarshall
25.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StCoastal CarGa SouthernKennesaw
25.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarN IllinoisOld DominionUCF
25.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StArkansas StGa SouthernUCF
21.4%
<0.1%
Arkansas StCoastal CarOld DominionUCF
20.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StLouisianaOld DominionUCF
20.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StKennesawLouisianaMarshall
20.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StCoastal CarJames MadisonLouisiana
20.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StKennesawOld DominionUCF
19.1%
<0.1%
Appalachian StArkansas StOld DominionUCF
18.8%
<0.1%
Arkansas StJames MadisonMarshallUCF
18.2%
<0.1%
Arkansas StGa SouthernJames MadisonKennesaw
18.2%
<0.1%
James MadisonMarshallN IllinoisUCF
18.2%
<0.1%
Appalachian StArkansas StJames MadisonUCF
17.9%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernJames MadisonLouisianaUCF
17.6%
<0.1%
KennesawMarshallOld DominionUCF
16.7%
<0.1%
Arkansas StCoastal CarJames MadisonUCF
16.7%
<0.1%
Coastal CarLouisianaOld DominionUCF
16.7%
<0.1%
KennesawMarshallN IllinoisOld Dominion
16.7%
<0.1%
James MadisonLouisianaMarshallUCF
16.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StJames MadisonLouisianaUCF
14.3%
<0.1%
Appalachian StLouisianaMarshallUCF
14.3%
<0.1%
Appalachian StJames MadisonKennesawUCF
13.6%
<0.1%
Arkansas StJames MadisonOld DominionUCF
12.8%
<0.1%
Appalachian StGa SouthernN IllinoisUCF
12.5%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernKennesawOld DominionUCF
10.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StJames MadisonLouisianaOld Dominion
10.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StJames MadisonKennesawOld Dominion
10.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernJames MadisonKennesawUCF
9.1%
<0.1%
James MadisonKennesawMarshallUCF
8.3%
<0.1%
Coastal CarJames MadisonKennesawUCF
5.9%
<0.1%
James MadisonKennesawOld DominionUCF
5.0%
<0.1%
James MadisonN IllinoisOld DominionUCF
5.0%
<0.1%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com