MarylandTerrapins

2-0 T1st (0-0) in B1G

Data from 2025-09-07 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.2%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/30	vsFlorida AtlanticFAU	W39-7
2	9/05	vsNorthern IllinoisNIU	W20-9
3	9/13	vsTowsonTOW	Win prob:90%
4	9/20	@WisconsinWIS	Win prob:34%
6	10/04	vsWashingtonWASH	Win prob:44%
7	10/11	vsNebraskaNEB	Win prob:56%
8	10/18	@UCLAUCLA	Win prob:57%
10	11/01	vsIndianaIU	Win prob:20%
11	11/08	@RutgersRUTG	Win prob:40%
12	11/15	@IllinoisILL	Win prob:33%
13	11/22	vsMichiganMICH	Win prob:23%
14	11/29	vsMichigan StateMSU(N)	Win prob:65%

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
9-0	0.0%	100.0%
8-1	0.3%	42.2%
7-2	2.1%	2.9%
6-3	7.9%	0%
5-4	18.3%	0%
4-5	26.9%	0%
3-6	24.9%	0%
2-7	14.2%	0%
1-8	4.6%	0%
0-9	0.6%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

55.0%

25.0%

10.0%

5.0%

5.0%

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
Central MichiganCMU@MichiganMICH	0.2% (+0.0%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
VillanovaVILL@Penn StatePSU	0.1% (-0.1%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
New MexicoUNM@UCLAUCLA	0.2% (+0.0%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
Houston ChristianHCU@NebraskaNEB	0.2% (-0.0%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
Youngstown StateYSU@Michigan StateMSU	0.2% (+0.0%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
Western MichiganWMU@IllinoisILL	0.2% (+0.0%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
USCUSC@PurduePUR	0.2% (-0.0%)	0.4% (+0.2%)
Indiana StateINST@IndianaIU	0.2% (-0.1%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
MinnesotaMINN@CaliforniaCAL	0.2% (+0.0%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
WisconsinWIS@AlabamaALA	0.2% (+0.0%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
OhioOHIO@Ohio StateOSU	0.2% (+0.0%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
Norfolk StateNORF@RutgersRUTG	0.3% (+0.1%)	0.2% (-0.0%)
TowsonTOW@MarylandMD	0.1% (-0.1%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
OregonORE@NorthwesternNU	0.2% (+0.0%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
MassachusettsMASS@IowaIOWA	0.2% (+0.0%)	0.2% (+0.0%)

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

100.0%

<0.1%

Any 1 loss

43.4%

0.3%

59.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

48.3%

<0.1%

41.7%

<0.1%

38.5%

<0.1%

35.7%

<0.1%

35.1%

<0.1%

34.5%

<0.1%

Any 2 losses

3.9%

1.6%

66.7%

<0.1%

33.3%

<0.1%

25.0%

<0.1%

20.0%

<0.1%

20.0%

<0.1%

14.3%

<0.1%

9.7%

<0.1%

8.5%

<0.1%

7.7%

<0.1%

6.9%

<0.1%

6.3%

<0.1%

6.3%

<0.1%

6.0%

<0.1%

5.3%

<0.1%

4.3%

<0.1%

4.3%

<0.1%

4.2%

<0.1%

3.7%

0.2%

3.7%

<0.1%

3.6%

<0.1%

3.5%

0.1%

3.4%

<0.1%

3.2%

0.1%

3.2%

0.1%

2.7%

<0.1%

2.6%

<0.1%

2.1%

<0.1%

1.3%

0.2%

1.0%

0.1%

Any 3 losses

16.1%

<0.1%

20.0%

<0.1%

18.2%

<0.1%

16.7%

<0.1%

14.3%

<0.1%

11.1%

<0.1%

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com