Vanderbilt

VanderbiltCommodores

3-0 T1st (1-0) in SEC

Data from 2025-09-14 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.4%

Based on 100,000 simulations

VanderbiltSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/30
vsCharleston SouthernCHSO
W45-3
29/06
@Virginia TechVT
W44-20
39/13
@South CarolinaSC
W31-7
49/20
vsGeorgia StGAST
Win prob:91%
59/27
vsUtah StUSU
Win prob:79%
610/04
@AlabamaALA
Win prob:9%
810/18
vsLSULSU
Win prob:35%
910/25
vsMissouriMIZ
Win prob:45%
1011/01
@TexasTEX
Win prob:10%
1111/08
vsAuburnAUB
Win prob:45%
1311/22
vsKentuckyUK
Win prob:64%
1411/29
@TennesseeTENN
Win prob:16%

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

VanderbiltRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
0.0%
100.0%
7-1
0.2%
79.2%
6-2
2.0%
14.4%
5-3
10.3%
0.0%
4-4
26.4%
0%
3-5
34.6%
0%
2-6
21.5%
0%
1-7
5.0%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Vanderbilt CCG Opponents

if Vanderbilt makes the CCG

GeorgiaGeorgia
69.8%
Ole MissMississippi
11.6%
TexasTexas
9.3%
AlabamaAlabama
7.0%
LSULSU
2.3%

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

VanderbiltThis Week's Impact

Game
VanderbiltCCG OddsAway
VanderbiltCCG OddsHome
South CarolinaSC@MissouriMIZ
0.4%
(+0.0%)		0.4%
(+0.0%)
AuburnAUB@OklahomaOU
0.5%
(+0.0%)		0.4%
(-0.0%)
N IllinoisNIU@Mississippi StMSST
0.4%
(-0.0%)		0.5%
(+0.0%)
SE LouisianaSELA@LSULSU
0.4%
(-0.1%)		0.4%
(+0.0%)
UABUAB@TennesseeTENN
0.3%
(-0.2%)		0.4%
(+0.0%)
TulaneTULN@MississippiMISS
0.3%
(-0.1%)		0.5%
(+0.0%)
Sam Houston StSHSU@TexasTEX
0.5%
(+0.0%)		0.4%
(+0.0%)
ArkansasARK@MemphisMEM
0.4%
(-0.0%)		0.5%
(+0.0%)
FloridaFLA@Miami FLMIA
0.4%
(-0.1%)		0.5%
(+0.0%)
Georgia StGAST@VanderbiltVAN
0.4%
(-0.0%)		0.4%
(+0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for Vanderbilt

OklahomaOklahomaN IllinoisNorthern IllinoisUABUABTulaneTulaneSam Houston StSam HoustonMemphisMemphis

CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for Vanderbilt

LSULSUTennesseeTennesseeMississippiOle MissTexasTexasMiami FLMiami

CCG: 0.5% • Scenario: 50.4%

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

VanderbiltLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Vanderbilt CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 1 loss
80.7%
0.1%
Missouri
100.0%
<0.1%
LSU
100.0%
<0.1%
Auburn
100.0%
<0.1%
Kentucky
100.0%
<0.1%
Utah St
100.0%
<0.1%
Alabama
80.8%
<0.1%
Texas
75.7%
<0.1%
Tennessee
74.3%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
16.0%
1.5%
TexasUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StTexas
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnGeorgia St
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StMissouri
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StLSU
100.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaUtah St
77.8%
<0.1%
AuburnKentucky
66.7%
<0.1%
TennesseeUtah St
60.0%
<0.1%
AuburnTennessee
54.5%
<0.1%
MissouriTennessee
50.0%
<0.1%
KentuckyMissouri
50.0%
<0.1%
KentuckyLSU
50.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaGeorgia St
42.9%
<0.1%
AuburnMissouri
27.3%
<0.1%
AuburnLSU
21.4%
<0.1%
LSUMissouri
20.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaMissouri
19.1%
<0.1%
MissouriTexas
17.4%
<0.1%
AlabamaTennessee
15.7%
0.2%
KentuckyTexas
15.2%
<0.1%
TennesseeTexas
14.8%
0.2%
LSUTennessee
14.6%
<0.1%
AlabamaKentucky
12.5%
<0.1%
AlabamaLSU
9.6%
<0.1%
AuburnTexas
8.8%
<0.1%
AlabamaTexas
8.3%
0.4%
AlabamaAuburn
8.0%
<0.1%
LSUTexas
8.0%
<0.1%
KentuckyTennessee
5.9%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
15.6%
0.5%
AuburnMissouriUtah St
66.7%
<0.1%
Georgia StTexasUtah St
66.7%
<0.1%
AlabamaGeorgia StUtah St
66.7%
<0.1%
AuburnLSUUtah St
66.7%
<0.1%
AlabamaMissouriUtah St
50.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StMissouriTennessee
50.0%
<0.1%
KentuckyTexasUtah St
40.0%
<0.1%
KentuckyLSUUtah St
33.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaAuburnGeorgia St
33.3%
<0.1%
AuburnTennesseeUtah St
28.6%
<0.1%
MissouriTexasUtah St
27.3%
<0.1%
MissouriTennesseeUtah St
27.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaGeorgia StLSU
25.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaAuburnUtah St
21.1%
<0.1%
AlabamaGeorgia StKentucky
20.0%
<0.1%
LSUTennesseeUtah St
20.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StLSUTennessee
20.0%
<0.1%
AuburnGeorgia StTexas
20.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaLSUUtah St
18.2%
<0.1%
TennesseeTexasUtah St
16.4%
<0.1%
AlabamaGeorgia StTennessee
16.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StTennesseeTexas
13.6%
<0.1%
AlabamaTexasUtah St
10.6%
0.1%
AlabamaTennesseeUtah St
9.2%
<0.1%
AlabamaGeorgia StTexas
6.3%
<0.1%
AuburnMissouriTennessee
2.4%
<0.1%
Any 4 losses
2.5%
0.1%
AlabamaGeorgia StLSUUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StLSUTexasUtah St
50.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaGeorgia StTennesseeUtah St
20.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaAuburnTexasUtah St
0.9%
0.1%

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

VanderbiltCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com