SEC Championship Probabilities

CCG Odds by Conference Record

Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record

Team	8-0	7-1	6-2	5-3	Overall
GeorgiaUGA	100%	97.7%	30.3%	0.4%	81.1%
Ole MissMISS	99.8%	67.8%	13.0%	<0.1%	39.9%
AlabamaALA	100%	86.6%	25.1%	0.6%	32.0%
TexasTEX	99.8%	63.4%	8.8%	<0.1%	27.0%
TennesseeTENN	-	66.3%	7.0%	<0.1%	5.3%
LSULSU	100%	75.1%	14.3%	0.1%	5.0%
Texas A&MTA&M	100%	54.5%	6.1%	<0.1%	3.8%
MissouriMIZ	100%	53.3%	5.5%	<0.1%	1.6%
OklahomaOU	100%	93.6%	36.7%	0.4%	1.1%
AuburnAUB	100%	85.1%	13.3%	0.1%	1.1%
South CarolinaSC	-	79.8%	20.9%	<0.1%	0.9%
ArkansasARK	-	76.3%	15.9%	<0.1%	0.6%
VanderbiltVAN	100%	79.2%	14.4%	<0.1%	0.4%
FloridaFLA	-	100%	38.8%	0.4%	0.3%
KentuckyUK	-	-	28.1%	0.8%	<0.1%
Mississippi StateMSST	-	-	-	1.1%	-

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

Team	8-0	7-1	6-2	5-3	4-4	3-5	2-6	1-7	0-8	Avg Wins
GeorgiaUGA(1-0)	35.1%	41.2%	18.6%	4.4%	0.6%	<0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	-	7.1
Ole MissMISS(2-0)	9.0%	38.8%	35.4%	14.0%	2.6%	0.3%	<0.1%	-	-	6.4
TexasTEX(0-0)	5.5%	28.8%	36.3%	21.1%	6.8%	1.3%	0.1%	<0.1%	0.0%	6.0
AlabamaALA(0-0)	4.2%	22.1%	33.9%	25.6%	11.0%	2.7%	0.4%	<0.1%	0.0%	5.7
TennesseeTENN(0-1)	-	5.4%	24.4%	35.5%	23.8%	8.9%	1.8%	0.2%	0.0%	4.9
LSULSU(1-0)	0.3%	3.4%	14.6%	28.6%	30.1%	17.3%	5.1%	0.6%	-	4.4
Texas A&MTA&M(0-0)	0.4%	4.4%	15.2%	26.8%	28.3%	17.5%	6.1%	1.1%	<0.1%	4.4
MissouriMIZ(0-0)	0.2%	1.8%	8.1%	19.7%	28.4%	25.1%	13.0%	3.4%	0.3%	3.8
AuburnAUB(0-0)	<0.1%	0.6%	4.3%	14.0%	26.7%	29.4%	18.5%	5.8%	0.8%	3.4
South CarolinaSC(0-1)	-	0.3%	3.1%	13.3%	27.5%	31.0%	18.7%	5.5%	0.6%	3.3
ArkansasARK(0-1)	-	0.2%	2.7%	12.8%	27.7%	31.8%	18.9%	5.4%	0.5%	3.3
VanderbiltVAN(1-0)	<0.1%	0.2%	2.0%	10.3%	26.4%	34.6%	21.5%	5.0%	-	3.2
OklahomaOU(0-0)	<0.1%	0.3%	2.2%	8.7%	21.4%	30.4%	24.9%	10.4%	1.8%	3.0
FloridaFLA(0-1)	-	<0.1%	0.6%	4.6%	17.6%	33.0%	30.9%	12.0%	1.4%	2.7
KentuckyUK(0-1)	-	0.0%	<0.1%	0.5%	3.4%	13.9%	30.8%	35.1%	16.2%	1.5
Mississippi StateMSST(0-0)	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	<0.1%	0.8%	4.9%	18.5%	39.4%	36.3%	0.9

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com