MissouriTigers

3-0 T5th (0-0) in SEC

Data from 2025-09-14 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

1.6%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/28	vsCentral ArkansasCARK	W61-6
2	9/06	vsKansasKU	W42-31
3	9/13	vsLouisianaUL	W52-10
4	9/20	vsSouth CarolinaSC	Win prob:48%
5	9/27	vsMassachusettsMASS	Win prob:97%
7	10/11	vsAlabamaALA	Win prob:23%
8	10/18	@AuburnAUB	Win prob:42%
9	10/25	@VanderbiltVAN	Win prob:55%
11	11/08	vsTexas A&MTA&M	Win prob:49%
12	11/15	vsMississippi StateMSST	Win prob:83%
13	11/22	@OklahomaOU	Win prob:39%
14	11/29	@ArkansasARK	Win prob:40%

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
8-0	0.2%	100.0%
7-1	1.8%	53.3%
6-2	8.1%	5.5%
5-3	19.7%	0.0%
4-4	28.4%	0%
3-5	25.1%	0%
2-6	13.0%	0%
1-7	3.4%	0%
0-8	0.3%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

66.7%

16.3%

8.5%

7.2%

1.3%

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
South CarolinaSC@MissouriMIZ	0.4% (-1.1%)	2.8% (+1.2%)
AuburnAUB@OklahomaOU	1.7% (+0.1%)	1.5% (-0.1%)
Northern IllinoisNIU@Mississippi StateMSST	1.5% (-0.0%)	1.6% (+0.0%)
SE LouisianaSELA@LSULSU	1.5% (-0.1%)	1.6% (+0.0%)
UABUAB@TennesseeTENN	1.4% (-0.2%)	1.6% (+0.0%)
TulaneTULN@Ole MissMISS	1.6% (+0.0%)	1.6% (+0.0%)
Sam HoustonSHSU@TexasTEX	1.3% (-0.3%)	1.6% (+0.0%)
ArkansasARK@MemphisMEM	1.6% (+0.0%)	1.6% (-0.0%)
FloridaFLA@MiamiMIA	1.5% (-0.1%)	1.6% (+0.0%)
Georgia StateGAST@VanderbiltVAN	1.9% (+0.3%)	1.5% (-0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for

Oklahoma

Mississippi State

SE Louisiana

Sam Houston

Florida

Georgia State

CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

Missouri

CCG: 2.8% • Scenario: 47.8%

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

100.0%

0.2%

Any 1 loss

53.3%

1.7%

100.0%

<0.1%

71.0%

0.2%

62.0%

0.2%

56.8%

0.1%

56.4%

0.2%

49.6%

0.6%

48.9%

0.2%

40.8%

0.2%

33.3%

<0.1%

Any 2 losses

5.9%

7.8%

71.4%

<0.1%

62.5%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

42.9%

<0.1%

23.5%

<0.1%

13.9%

0.2%

12.8%

0.2%

12.1%

0.2%

10.9%

0.1%

10.3%

0.2%

10.2%

0.2%

7.3%

0.1%

6.8%

0.3%

6.4%

0.2%

6.3%

<0.1%

6.0%

0.3%

5.9%

0.8%

5.9%

0.3%

5.7%

<0.1%

5.7%

0.2%

4.9%

0.1%

4.6%

0.4%

4.5%

0.3%

4.3%

0.2%

4.1%

0.4%

4.0%

0.6%

3.6%

<0.1%

3.1%

0.6%

2.5%

0.8%

2.2%

0.9%

Any 3 losses

12.5%

0.1%

33.3%

<0.1%

25.0%

<0.1%

16.7%

<0.1%

16.7%

<0.1%

11.8%

<0.1%

9.1%

<0.1%

8.3%

<0.1%

7.1%

<0.1%

5.3%

<0.1%

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com