GeorgiaBulldogs

3-0 T1st (1-0) in SEC

Data from 2025-09-14 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

81.1%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/30	vsMarshallMRSH	W45-7
2	9/06	vsAustin PeayAPSU	W28-6
3	9/13	@TennesseeTENN	W44-41
5	9/27	vsAlabamaALA	Win prob:77%
6	10/04	vsKentuckyUK	Win prob:97%
7	10/11	@AuburnAUB	Win prob:89%
8	10/18	vsOle MissMISS	Win prob:77%
10	11/01	vsFloridaFLA(N)	Win prob:91%
11	11/08	@Mississippi StateMSST	Win prob:97%
12	11/15	vsTexasTEX	Win prob:79%
13	11/22	vsCharlotteCLT	Win prob:99%
14	11/28	vsGeorgia TechGT(N)	Win prob:95%

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
8-0	35.1%	100.0%
7-1	41.2%	97.7%
6-2	18.6%	30.3%
5-3	4.4%	0.4%
4-4	0.6%	0%
3-5	0.0%	0%
2-6	0%	0%
1-7	0%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

36.9%

29.9%

23.5%

5.5%

4.3%

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
South CarolinaSC@MissouriMIZ	81.1% (+0.0%)	81.1% (-0.0%)
AuburnAUB@OklahomaOU	81.9% (+0.8%)	80.6% (-0.5%)
Northern IllinoisNIU@Mississippi StateMSST	81.0% (-0.1%)	81.2% (+0.1%)
SE LouisianaSELA@LSULSU	80.8% (-0.3%)	81.1% (+0.0%)
UABUAB@TennesseeTENN	81.9% (+0.8%)	81.1% (-0.0%)
TulaneTULN@Ole MissMISS	81.5% (+0.4%)	81.0% (-0.1%)
Sam HoustonSHSU@TexasTEX	80.5% (-0.6%)	81.1% (+0.0%)
ArkansasARK@MemphisMEM	80.8% (-0.3%)	81.4% (+0.3%)
FloridaFLA@MiamiMIA	81.3% (+0.2%)	81.0% (-0.1%)
Georgia StateGAST@VanderbiltVAN	80.6% (-0.5%)	81.1% (+0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for

Missouri

SE Louisiana

UAB

Sam Houston

CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

Auburn

CCG: 81.9% • Scenario: 39.5%

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

100.0%

33.1%

Any 1 loss

97.8%

40.8%

100.0%

0.3%

100.0%

1.7%

99.7%

1.0%

99.3%

4.3%

98.7%

10.1%

97.2%

8.8%

97.0%

3.2%

96.7%

10.2%

96.4%

1.2%

Any 2 losses

38.3%

19.9%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

99.5%

0.2%

99.0%

0.1%

98.3%

0.5%

98.2%

0.5%

98.2%

0.1%

97.6%

<0.1%

97.4%

<0.1%

97.0%

<0.1%

96.7%

0.5%

94.5%

0.2%

92.9%

<0.1%

62.6%

0.1%

60.0%

0.1%

56.5%

0.1%

55.6%

<0.1%

52.8%

<0.1%

51.2%

0.4%

45.0%

0.3%

44.3%

0.3%

39.8%

1.1%

39.2%

0.3%

38.6%

0.9%

38.3%

1.3%

38.2%

0.4%

37.5%

1.0%

37.1%

0.3%

36.7%

0.3%

36.1%

0.9%

36.1%

1.3%

21.4%

2.5%

19.0%

2.7%

18.5%

3.1%

Any 3 losses

19.1%

1.9%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

76.9%

<0.1%

60.0%

<0.1%

55.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

49.0%

<0.1%

47.6%

<0.1%

46.2%

<0.1%

45.0%

<0.1%

44.4%

<0.1%

42.3%

<0.1%

40.0%

<0.1%

38.8%

<0.1%

37.5%

<0.1%

35.3%

<0.1%

34.0%

<0.1%

33.9%

<0.1%

33.3%

<0.1%

27.2%

0.2%

26.7%

<0.1%

25.0%

<0.1%

22.3%

0.1%

21.7%

<0.1%

20.6%

<0.1%

20.0%

<0.1%

19.1%

<0.1%

16.7%

<0.1%

16.7%

<0.1%

16.7%

<0.1%

14.8%

0.1%

14.8%

<0.1%

8.3%

<0.1%

3.5%

<0.1%

2.4%

<0.1%

2.1%

<0.1%

1.3%

<0.1%

1.2%

0.3%

0.8%

0.1%

0.7%

0.1%

Any 4 losses

11.1%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

11.1%

<0.1%

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com