TulsaGolden Hurricane
4-4 T10th (1-3) in AAC
Data from 2026-11-02
Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.0%
Based on 1,000,000 simulations
What is Tulsa's probability of making the American Athletic Conference Championship Game?
Tulsa has a <0.1% chance to reach the American Athletic Conference Championship Game, as of latest of the 2026 season, based on a 1,000,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Tulsa's American Athletic Conference Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.
Schedule & Results
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9/05 | W24-10 | |
| 2 | 9/12 | W23-17 | |
| 3 | 9/19 | W42-0 | |
| 4 | 9/26 | L6-34 | |
| 5 | 10/01 | L44-45 | |
| 6 | 10/10 | L26-34 | |
| 7 | 10/17 | W38-17 | |
| 8 | 10/23 | L35-38 | |
| 10 | 11/07 | Win prob:44% | |
| 11 | 11/14 | Win prob:77% | |
| 12 | 11/21 | Win prob:94% | |
| 13 | 11/28 | Win prob:27% |
Data from 2026-11-02
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 5-3 | 8.9% | 0.1% |
| 4-4 | 37.6% | 0% |
| 3-5 | 41.8% | 0% |
| 2-6 | 11.2% | 0% |
| 1-7 | 0.5% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2026-11-02
This Week's Impact
| Time | Game | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Nov 5Thursday, November 5 | |||
| 0.0% (-0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | ||
| Fri, Nov 6Friday, November 6 | |||
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | ||
| Sat, Nov 7Saturday, November 7 | |||
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (-0.0%) | ||
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (-0.0%) | ||
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | ||
Best Winner Combination for 
CCG: 0.2% • Scenario: 0.1%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for 
CCG: 0.1% • Scenario: 10.5%
Data from 2026-11-02
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2026-11-02