Big Ten Championship Probabilities

CCG Odds by Conference Record

Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record

Team	9-0	8-1	7-2	6-3	Overall
MichiganMICH	100%	85.9%	21.9%	0.4%	56.5%
Ohio StateOSU	100%	95.0%	25.2%	0.3%	43.0%
OregonORE	100%	93.4%	35.8%	1.0%	41.5%
Penn StatePSU	100%	83.6%	24.2%	0.5%	38.4%
WashingtonWASH	100%	90.8%	23.2%	0.4%	7.6%
MarylandMD	100%	69.3%	7.1%	<0.1%	7.0%
USCUSC	100%	88.2%	25.6%	0.5%	2.5%
WisconsinWIS	100%	72.9%	11.8%	<0.1%	1.2%
NebraskaNEB	98.2%	57.3%	5.8%	<0.1%	1.0%
UCLAUCLA	100%	81.8%	15.6%	0.2%	0.4%
IowaIOWA	100%	69.1%	9.4%	0.1%	0.4%
IllinoisILL	-	85.3%	15.8%	0.2%	0.1%
RutgersRUTG	90.9%	55.4%	7.2%	<0.1%	0.1%
MinnesotaMINN	-	80.0%	18.5%	0.4%	<0.1%
PurduePUR	-	87.1%	14.0%	<0.1%	<0.1%
NorthwesternNU	-	78.6%	18.8%	0.4%	<0.1%
IndianaIU	-	100%	18.2%	0.2%	<0.1%
Michigan StateMSU	-	-	21.2%	0.2%	<0.1%

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Team	9-0	8-1	7-2	6-3	5-4	4-5	3-6	2-7	1-8	0-9	Avg Wins
MichiganMICH(0-0)	17.1%	38.0%	30.7%	11.6%	2.3%	0.3%	<0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	7.5
Ohio StateOSU(0-0)	7.7%	27.4%	36.4%	21.7%	5.8%	0.8%	<0.1%	<0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	7.1
Penn StatePSU(0-0)	8.6%	26.1%	32.3%	21.8%	8.6%	2.2%	0.4%	<0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	7.0
OregonORE(0-0)	5.9%	24.5%	35.0%	23.7%	8.8%	1.9%	0.3%	<0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	6.9
MarylandMD(0-0)	0.7%	6.8%	22.5%	32.5%	23.8%	10.4%	2.8%	0.4%	<0.1%	0.0%	5.8
WashingtonWASH(0-0)	0.4%	3.9%	15.6%	29.8%	28.6%	15.8%	5.0%	0.9%	<0.1%	0.0%	5.5
USCUSC(0-0)	<0.1%	1.0%	5.9%	17.1%	28.0%	26.6%	15.3%	5.1%	0.9%	<0.1%	4.6
NebraskaNEB(0-0)	<0.1%	1.0%	6.2%	17.2%	26.9%	25.9%	15.7%	5.8%	1.2%	0.1%	4.5
WisconsinWIS(0-0)	<0.1%	0.8%	4.4%	14.1%	25.4%	27.4%	18.6%	7.4%	1.7%	0.2%	4.3
IowaIOWA(0-0)	<0.1%	0.3%	2.2%	9.1%	20.2%	27.9%	24.0%	12.3%	3.6%	0.4%	3.9
UCLAUCLA(0-0)	<0.1%	0.2%	1.7%	7.9%	19.9%	29.0%	25.2%	12.4%	3.4%	0.4%	3.8
IllinoisILL(0-0)	0.0%	<0.1%	0.5%	4.2%	14.7%	27.7%	29.1%	17.6%	5.5%	0.7%	3.4
RutgersRUTG(0-0)	<0.1%	<0.1%	0.8%	4.0%	12.2%	23.5%	28.4%	21.0%	8.6%	1.5%	3.2
PurduePUR(0-0)	0.0%	<0.1%	0.4%	2.9%	10.6%	22.8%	29.8%	22.5%	9.3%	1.6%	3.1
NorthwesternNU(0-0)	0.0%	<0.1%	0.2%	1.7%	7.6%	19.8%	30.0%	26.2%	12.2%	2.3%	2.8
MinnesotaMINN(0-0)	0.0%	<0.1%	0.3%	2.0%	7.9%	19.1%	28.3%	26.0%	13.5%	2.8%	2.8
IndianaIU(0-0)	0.0%	<0.1%	<0.1%	0.9%	4.7%	14.6%	27.1%	30.2%	17.9%	4.5%	2.5
Michigan StateMSU(0-0)	0.0%	0.0%	<0.1%	0.4%	3.3%	13.0%	27.7%	32.1%	19.0%	4.5%	2.4

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com