Wisconsin

WisconsinBadgers

1-0 T1st (0-0) in B1G

Data from 2024-09-02 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

1.2%

Based on 100,000 simulations

WisconsinSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/30
vsW MichiganWMU
W28-14
29/07
vsSouth DakotaSDAK
Win prob:90%
39/14
vsAlabamaALA
Win prob:12%
59/28
@USCUSC
Win prob:32%
610/05
vsPurduePUR
Win prob:71%
710/12
@RutgersRUTG
Win prob:61%
810/19
vsNorthwesternNU(N)
Win prob:61%
910/26
vsPenn StPSU
Win prob:23%
1011/02
@IowaIOWA
Win prob:48%
1211/16
vsOregonORE
Win prob:19%
1311/23
@NebraskaNEB
Win prob:45%
1411/29
vsMinnesotaMINN
Win prob:71%

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

WisconsinRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
9-0
0.1%
100.0%
8-1
0.8%
72.9%
7-2
4.4%
11.8%
6-3
14.1%
0.1%
5-4
25.4%
0%
4-5
27.4%
0%
3-6
18.6%
0%
2-7
7.4%
0%
1-8
1.7%
0%
0-9
0.2%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Wisconsin CCG Opponents

if Wisconsin makes the CCG

MichiganMichigan
41.2%
Ohio StateOhio St
23.7%
OregonOregon
19.3%
Penn StatePenn St
13.2%
WashingtonWashington
2.6%

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

WisconsinThis Week's Impact

Game
WisconsinCCG OddsAway
WisconsinCCG OddsHome
ColoradoCOLO@NebraskaNEB
1.1%
(-0.1%)		1.2%
(+0.0%)
TexasTEX@MichiganMICH
1.1%
(-0.1%)		1.2%
(+0.0%)
Iowa StISU@IowaIOWA
1.1%
(-0.0%)		1.2%
(+0.0%)
E MichiganEMU@WashingtonWASH
1.3%
(+0.1%)		1.2%
(-0.0%)
South DakotaSDAK@WisconsinWIS
1.1%
(-0.1%)		1.2%
(+0.0%)
Utah StUSU@USCUSC
1.5%
(+0.3%)		1.1%
(-0.0%)
Michigan StMSU@MarylandMD
1.1%
(-0.0%)		1.2%
(+0.0%)
KansasKU@IllinoisILL
1.2%
(+0.0%)		1.2%
(-0.0%)
DukeDUKE@NorthwesternNU
1.1%
(-0.0%)		1.2%
(+0.1%)
AkronAKR@RutgersRUTG
1.0%
(-0.1%)		1.2%
(+0.0%)
Bowling GreenBGSU@Penn StPSU
1.2%
(+0.1%)		1.2%
(+0.0%)
Western IllinoisWIU@IndianaIU
1.2%
(+0.0%)		1.2%
(+0.0%)
W MichiganWMU@Ohio StOSU
1.3%
(+0.1%)		1.2%
(+0.0%)
Rhode IslandURI@MinnesotaMINN
1.1%
(-0.1%)		1.2%
(+0.0%)
Boise StBOIS@OregonORE
1.2%
(+0.0%)		1.2%
(+0.0%)

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

WisconsinLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Wisconsin CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 1 loss
89.0%
0.1%
Alabama
100.0%
<0.1%
Nebraska
100.0%
<0.1%
Iowa
100.0%
<0.1%
Rutgers
100.0%
<0.1%
South Dakota
100.0%
<0.1%
USC
80.0%
<0.1%
Penn St
73.3%
<0.1%
Oregon
71.4%
<0.1%
Purdue
66.7%
<0.1%
Northwestern
50.0%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
46.3%
1.2%
Penn StSouth Dakota
100.0%
<0.1%
RutgersSouth Dakota
100.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaSouth Dakota
100.0%
<0.1%
MinnesotaNorthwestern
100.0%
<0.1%
IowaSouth Dakota
100.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaNebraska
94.7%
<0.1%
AlabamaNorthwestern
91.4%
<0.1%
AlabamaIowa
83.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaUSC
83.0%
0.1%
AlabamaMinnesota
81.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaRutgers
80.7%
<0.1%
AlabamaPurdue
80.0%
<0.1%
IowaRutgers
66.7%
<0.1%
AlabamaPenn St
64.4%
0.1%
NebraskaNorthwestern
60.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaOregon
58.1%
0.2%
PurdueUSC
57.1%
<0.1%
IowaUSC
50.0%
<0.1%
MinnesotaPurdue
50.0%
<0.1%
MinnesotaRutgers
50.0%
<0.1%
NorthwesternPurdue
50.0%
<0.1%
MinnesotaPenn St
40.0%
<0.1%
NorthwesternUSC
25.0%
<0.1%
Penn StRutgers
25.0%
<0.1%
MinnesotaUSC
25.0%
<0.1%
Penn StPurdue
22.2%
<0.1%
NebraskaUSC
21.1%
<0.1%
OregonSouth Dakota
20.0%
<0.1%
NorthwesternPenn St
18.2%
<0.1%
MinnesotaNebraska
16.7%
<0.1%
RutgersUSC
14.3%
<0.1%
IowaNebraska
14.3%
<0.1%
NebraskaPenn St
13.3%
<0.1%
NorthwesternOregon
11.5%
<0.1%
Penn StUSC
11.4%
<0.1%
MinnesotaOregon
11.1%
<0.1%
NebraskaRutgers
11.1%
<0.1%
IowaOregon
10.0%
<0.1%
NebraskaOregon
7.7%
<0.1%
OregonUSC
6.3%
<0.1%
OregonRutgers
5.9%
<0.1%
IowaPenn St
5.6%
<0.1%
OregonPenn St
5.1%
0.1%
Any 3 losses
12.4%
3.6%
AlabamaPurdueSouth Dakota
100.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaRutgersSouth Dakota
100.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaNorthwesternSouth Dakota
100.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaMinnesotaSouth Dakota
100.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaNebraskaSouth Dakota
100.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaSouth DakotaUSC
81.8%
<0.1%
AlabamaPenn StSouth Dakota
66.7%
<0.1%
AlabamaMinnesotaRutgers
63.6%
<0.1%
AlabamaIowaSouth Dakota
60.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaOregonSouth Dakota
57.1%
<0.1%
AlabamaIowaMinnesota
50.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaPurdueRutgers
50.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaMinnesotaPurdue
40.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaNorthwesternRutgers
38.5%
<0.1%
AlabamaMinnesotaNebraska
33.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaNebraskaNorthwestern
33.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaMinnesotaUSC
33.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaNorthwesternPurdue
33.3%
<0.1%
NebraskaPenn StSouth Dakota
33.3%
<0.1%
NorthwesternSouth DakotaUSC
33.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaIowaNebraska
27.1%
<0.1%
AlabamaIowaRutgers
26.7%
<0.1%
AlabamaNebraskaPurdue
26.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaRutgersUSC
25.4%
<0.1%
AlabamaIowaNorthwestern
25.0%
<0.1%
NorthwesternOregonSouth Dakota
25.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaIowaUSC
24.8%
0.1%
AlabamaNebraskaUSC
24.8%
0.1%
AlabamaIowaPurdue
22.2%
<0.1%
OregonPenn StSouth Dakota
22.2%
<0.1%
AlabamaMinnesotaNorthwestern
21.4%
<0.1%
AlabamaNebraskaRutgers
21.2%
<0.1%
AlabamaPurdueUSC
20.5%
<0.1%
AlabamaPenn StRutgers
18.5%
<0.1%
AlabamaNorthwesternUSC
17.3%
<0.1%
NorthwesternOregonRutgers
16.7%
<0.1%
MinnesotaNebraskaPenn St
14.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaMinnesotaPenn St
13.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaIowaPenn St
10.9%
0.1%
AlabamaOregonPurdue
10.7%
<0.1%
AlabamaIowaOregon
10.2%
0.2%
AlabamaNebraskaOregon
9.7%
0.2%
AlabamaPenn StUSC
9.2%
0.3%
AlabamaNebraskaPenn St
8.8%
0.1%
AlabamaNorthwesternOregon
8.3%
0.1%
AlabamaOregonRutgers
7.6%
0.1%
AlabamaNorthwesternPenn St
6.8%
<0.1%
AlabamaOregonUSC
6.8%
0.4%
AlabamaPenn StPurdue
5.6%
<0.1%
AlabamaMinnesotaOregon
5.5%
<0.1%
AlabamaOregonPenn St
2.7%
0.7%
Any 4 losses
8.5%
0.6%
AlabamaNebraskaPurdueSouth Dakota
100.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaNebraskaSouth DakotaUSC
70.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaNorthwesternPurdueSouth Dakota
50.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaMinnesotaPurdueSouth Dakota
50.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaNebraskaRutgersSouth Dakota
40.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaRutgersSouth DakotaUSC
37.5%
<0.1%
AlabamaIowaRutgersSouth Dakota
33.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaMinnesotaSouth DakotaUSC
28.6%
<0.1%
AlabamaPenn StPurdueSouth Dakota
25.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaMinnesotaOregonSouth Dakota
25.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaIowaNorthwesternSouth Dakota
25.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaIowaNebraskaSouth Dakota
20.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaPurdueSouth DakotaUSC
20.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaOregonSouth DakotaUSC
18.4%
<0.1%
AlabamaNebraskaNorthwesternSouth Dakota
14.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaMinnesotaPenn StSouth Dakota
14.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaPenn StSouth DakotaUSC
13.8%
<0.1%
AlabamaOregonPurdueSouth Dakota
10.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaNorthwesternPenn StSouth Dakota
9.1%
<0.1%
AlabamaOregonRutgersSouth Dakota
9.1%
<0.1%
AlabamaIowaSouth DakotaUSC
9.1%
<0.1%
AlabamaNorthwesternOregonSouth Dakota
8.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaPenn StRutgersSouth Dakota
7.7%
<0.1%
AlabamaIowaNorthwesternPurdue
7.7%
<0.1%
AlabamaIowaOregonSouth Dakota
5.9%
<0.1%
AlabamaNebraskaOregonSouth Dakota
5.6%
<0.1%
AlabamaIowaPenn StSouth Dakota
4.8%
<0.1%
AlabamaNebraskaPenn StSouth Dakota
4.2%
<0.1%
AlabamaOregonPenn StSouth Dakota
2.4%
<0.1%
AlabamaMinnesotaNorthwesternPenn St
2.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaNebraskaRutgersUSC
1.7%
<0.1%
AlabamaNebraskaNorthwesternUSC
1.7%
<0.1%
AlabamaNebraskaPenn StPurdue
1.3%
<0.1%

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

WisconsinCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com