Baylor

BaylorBears

1-0 T1st (0-0) in B12

Data from 2024-09-02 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.8%

Based on 100,000 simulations

BaylorSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/31
vsTarleton StateTAR
W45-3
29/07
@UtahUTAH
Win prob:19%
39/14
vsAir ForceAF
Win prob:37%
49/21
@ColoradoCOLO
Win prob:56%
59/28
vsBYUBYU
Win prob:60%
610/05
@Iowa StISU
Win prob:20%
810/19
@Texas TechTTU
Win prob:27%
910/26
vsOklahoma StOKST
Win prob:44%
1011/02
vsTCUTCU
Win prob:36%
1211/16
@West VirginiaWVU
Win prob:26%
1311/23
@HoustonHOU
Win prob:45%
1411/30
vsKansasKU
Win prob:31%

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

BaylorRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
9-0
0.0%
100.0%
8-1
0.2%
92.1%
7-2
1.4%
36.7%
6-3
5.6%
1.7%
5-4
14.9%
0%
4-5
25.1%
0%
3-6
27.2%
0%
2-7
18.0%
0%
1-8
6.6%
0%
0-9
1.0%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Baylor CCG Opponents

if Baylor makes the CCG

Kansas StateKansas St
55.2%
ArizonaArizona
26.9%
UtahUtah
7.5%
KansasKansas
6.0%
TCUTCU
4.5%

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

BaylorThis Week's Impact

Game
BaylorCCG OddsAway
BaylorCCG OddsHome
Texas TechTTU@Washington StWSU
0.8%
(-0.0%)		0.8%
(+0.0%)
ColoradoCOLO@NebraskaNEB
0.8%
(-0.0%)		0.8%
(+0.0%)
Iowa StISU@IowaIOWA
0.8%
(-0.0%)		0.8%
(+0.0%)
BaylorBAY@UtahUTAH
0.8%
(+0.0%)		0.8%
(+0.0%)
Long Island UniversityLIU@TCUTCU
0.8%
(-0.0%)		0.8%
(+0.0%)
ArkansasARK@Oklahoma StOKST
0.8%
(-0.0%)		0.8%
(+0.0%)
Mississippi StMSST@Arizona StASU
0.8%
(+0.0%)		0.8%
(-0.0%)
KansasKU@IllinoisILL
0.8%
(-0.0%)		0.8%
(+0.0%)
Sam Houston StSHSU@UCFUCF
0.7%
(-0.0%)		0.8%
(+0.0%)
PittsburghPITT@CincinnatiCIN
0.8%
(-0.0%)		0.8%
(+0.0%)
BYUBYU@SMUSMU
0.8%
(-0.0%)		0.8%
(+0.0%)
UAlbanyUALB@West VirginiaWVU
0.8%
(-0.0%)		0.8%
(+0.0%)
Kansas StKSU@TulaneTULN
0.8%
(-0.0%)		0.8%
(+0.0%)
HoustonHOU@OklahomaOU
0.6%
(-0.2%)		0.8%
(+0.0%)
Northern ArizonaNAU@ArizonaARIZ
0.9%
(+0.1%)		0.8%
(-0.0%)

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

BaylorLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Baylor CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 1 loss
90.0%
<0.1%
Iowa St
100.0%
<0.1%
West Virginia
100.0%
<0.1%
Utah
100.0%
<0.1%
Houston
100.0%
<0.1%
Oklahoma St
100.0%
<0.1%
Kansas
80.0%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
67.7%
0.1%
Texas TechUtah
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceIowa St
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceTCU
100.0%
<0.1%
ColoradoTCU
100.0%
<0.1%
KansasUtah
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceHouston
100.0%
<0.1%
TCUUtah
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceOklahoma St
100.0%
<0.1%
Texas TechWest Virginia
100.0%
<0.1%
ColoradoUtah
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonUtah
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceBYU
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceUtah
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUUtah
100.0%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StTexas Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
TCUTexas Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
ColoradoWest Virginia
100.0%
<0.1%
ColoradoHouston
100.0%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StUtah
88.9%
<0.1%
UtahWest Virginia
87.5%
<0.1%
Iowa StUtah
83.3%
<0.1%
Air ForceTexas Tech
83.3%
<0.1%
Air ForceWest Virginia
75.0%
<0.1%
KansasOklahoma St
75.0%
<0.1%
KansasTexas Tech
66.7%
<0.1%
Air ForceKansas
50.0%
<0.1%
BYUTCU
50.0%
<0.1%
KansasWest Virginia
42.9%
<0.1%
Iowa StTCU
40.0%
<0.1%
Iowa StKansas
36.4%
<0.1%
HoustonWest Virginia
33.3%
<0.1%
Iowa StWest Virginia
30.0%
<0.1%
Iowa StTexas Tech
25.0%
<0.1%
TCUWest Virginia
20.0%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
42.4%
0.8%
ColoradoOklahoma StUtah
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceColoradoUtah
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceOklahoma StUtah
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceHoustonUtah
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUHoustonUtah
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceBYUUtah
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceColoradoOklahoma St
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceColoradoTexas Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceIowa StUtah
94.7%
<0.1%
Air ForceKansasUtah
94.1%
<0.1%
Air ForceUtahWest Virginia
92.3%
<0.1%
Air ForceTCUUtah
87.5%
<0.1%
Air ForceTexas TechUtah
85.7%
<0.1%
HoustonOklahoma StUtah
80.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceHoustonKansas
66.7%
<0.1%
Air ForceKansasTexas Tech
66.7%
<0.1%
Air ForceColoradoWest Virginia
66.7%
<0.1%
Air ForceKansasTCU
62.5%
<0.1%
Iowa StKansasUtah
55.6%
<0.1%
KansasUtahWest Virginia
53.3%
<0.1%
Air ForceOklahoma StWest Virginia
50.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceBYUTexas Tech
50.0%
<0.1%
ColoradoHoustonUtah
50.0%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StTCUUtah
50.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceColoradoKansas
50.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceOklahoma StTCU
50.0%
<0.1%
HoustonTexas TechUtah
50.0%
<0.1%
BYUKansasTexas Tech
50.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceBYUOklahoma St
50.0%
<0.1%
BYUOklahoma StUtah
50.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceTexas TechWest Virginia
46.7%
<0.1%
Iowa StOklahoma StUtah
44.4%
<0.1%
Texas TechUtahWest Virginia
42.9%
<0.1%
Air ForceBYUIowa St
40.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceHoustonOklahoma St
40.0%
<0.1%
BYUTexas TechUtah
40.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceKansasWest Virginia
40.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceHoustonWest Virginia
40.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceIowa StKansas
40.0%
<0.1%
Iowa StUtahWest Virginia
37.8%
<0.1%
Air ForceTCUTexas Tech
37.5%
<0.1%
ColoradoTexas TechUtah
37.5%
<0.1%
KansasTexas TechUtah
36.8%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StTexas TechUtah
36.4%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StUtahWest Virginia
35.7%
<0.1%
Iowa StTexas TechUtah
35.5%
<0.1%
Air ForceColoradoIowa St
33.3%
<0.1%
Air ForceHoustonIowa St
33.3%
<0.1%
Air ForceOklahoma StTexas Tech
33.3%
<0.1%
KansasOklahoma StUtah
33.3%
<0.1%
ColoradoIowa StUtah
33.3%
<0.1%
HoustonTCUUtah
33.3%
<0.1%
BYUUtahWest Virginia
33.3%
<0.1%
Iowa StTCUUtah
30.8%
<0.1%
Air ForceIowa StTexas Tech
28.6%
<0.1%
KansasTCUUtah
27.8%
<0.1%
TCUUtahWest Virginia
27.3%
<0.1%
Air ForceIowa StWest Virginia
25.0%
<0.1%
BYUKansasWest Virginia
25.0%
<0.1%
BYUIowa StUtah
25.0%
<0.1%
HoustonOklahoma StTexas Tech
20.0%
<0.1%
Iowa StKansasOklahoma St
20.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceIowa StTCU
20.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceHoustonTexas Tech
20.0%
<0.1%
BYUKansasUtah
20.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceTCUWest Virginia
20.0%
<0.1%
HoustonIowa StUtah
16.7%
<0.1%
HoustonKansasUtah
16.7%
<0.1%
KansasTexas TechWest Virginia
16.7%
<0.1%
ColoradoUtahWest Virginia
16.7%
<0.1%
TCUTexas TechUtah
14.3%
<0.1%
HoustonIowa StTexas Tech
12.5%
<0.1%
KansasOklahoma StTexas Tech
12.5%
<0.1%
ColoradoKansasUtah
12.5%
<0.1%
HoustonUtahWest Virginia
11.1%
<0.1%
Any 4 losses
19.1%
1.5%
Air ForceBYUKansasUtah
75.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceColoradoOklahoma StUtah
75.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceColoradoHoustonUtah
66.7%
<0.1%
Air ForceBYUTCUUtah
66.7%
<0.1%
Air ForceColoradoIowa StUtah
61.5%
<0.1%
Air ForceBYUHoustonUtah
57.1%
<0.1%
Air ForceKansasOklahoma StUtah
56.3%
<0.1%
Air ForceTexas TechUtahWest Virginia
53.3%
<0.1%
Air ForceTCUUtahWest Virginia
51.8%
<0.1%
Air ForceKansasTexas TechUtah
50.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceColoradoUtahWest Virginia
50.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceBYUTexas TechUtah
50.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceColoradoHoustonKansas
50.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceIowa StTexas TechUtah
49.1%
<0.1%
Air ForceColoradoTexas TechUtah
46.7%
<0.1%
Air ForceHoustonTexas TechUtah
45.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceHoustonUtahWest Virginia
42.9%
<0.1%
Air ForceBYUOklahoma StUtah
42.9%
<0.1%
Air ForceOklahoma StTCUUtah
41.7%
<0.1%
Air ForceKansasTCUUtah
39.1%
<0.1%
Air ForceHoustonTCUUtah
37.5%
<0.1%
Air ForceIowa StKansasUtah
36.4%
<0.1%
Air ForceColoradoKansasUtah
36.4%
<0.1%
Air ForceOklahoma StTexas TechUtah
36.4%
<0.1%
Air ForceHoustonOklahoma StUtah
33.3%
<0.1%
Air ForceBYUColoradoIowa St
33.3%
<0.1%
Air ForceColoradoIowa StTCU
33.3%
<0.1%
Air ForceKansasUtahWest Virginia
29.5%
<0.1%
Air ForceTCUTexas TechUtah
28.6%
<0.1%
Air ForceIowa StTCUUtah
28.1%
<0.1%
Air ForceBYUUtahWest Virginia
27.3%
<0.1%
Air ForceIowa StOklahoma StUtah
27.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceIowa StUtahWest Virginia
24.2%
<0.1%
Air ForceHoustonKansasUtah
23.8%
<0.1%
Air ForceHoustonIowa StUtah
21.7%
<0.1%
BYUHoustonKansasUtah
20.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceColoradoTCUUtah
14.3%
<0.1%
Air ForceOklahoma StUtahWest Virginia
13.6%
<0.1%
ColoradoHoustonTexas TechUtah
12.5%
<0.1%
Air ForceColoradoIowa StOklahoma St
12.5%
<0.1%
HoustonKansasTexas TechUtah
11.1%
<0.1%
BYUOklahoma StTexas TechUtah
11.1%
<0.1%
HoustonKansasUtahWest Virginia
9.4%
<0.1%
Air ForceBYUIowa StUtah
9.1%
<0.1%
KansasOklahoma StTexas TechUtah
9.1%
<0.1%
Air ForceOklahoma StTexas TechWest Virginia
8.3%
<0.1%
ColoradoIowa StKansasUtah
8.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceIowa StOklahoma StTexas Tech
7.7%
<0.1%
Air ForceIowa StKansasOklahoma St
7.7%
<0.1%
BYUIowa StTexas TechUtah
7.1%
<0.1%
ColoradoIowa StTCUUtah
7.1%
<0.1%
Air ForceKansasTCUWest Virginia
7.1%
<0.1%
Air ForceHoustonIowa StTexas Tech
5.9%
<0.1%
BYUIowa StKansasUtah
5.6%
<0.1%
Iowa StOklahoma StTCUUtah
4.3%
<0.1%
HoustonTexas TechUtahWest Virginia
3.7%
<0.1%
KansasOklahoma StUtahWest Virginia
3.6%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StTexas TechUtahWest Virginia
3.1%
<0.1%
HoustonIowa StTexas TechUtah
3.0%
<0.1%
HoustonIowa StKansasUtah
2.7%
<0.1%
Iowa StKansasTCUUtah
2.4%
<0.1%
KansasTexas TechUtahWest Virginia
2.2%
<0.1%
TCUTexas TechUtahWest Virginia
2.1%
<0.1%
Iowa StTCUTexas TechUtah
1.5%
<0.1%
Iowa StKansasTexas TechUtah
1.3%
<0.1%
Iowa StTexas TechUtahWest Virginia
1.1%
<0.1%

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

BaylorCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com