Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.0%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/31 | W31-7 | |
| 2 | 9/06 | W77-3 | |
| 3 | 9/14 | Win prob:27% | |
| 4 | 9/21 | Win prob:85% | |
| 5 | 9/28 | Win prob:26% | |
| 6 | 10/05 | Win prob:39% | |
| 8 | 10/19 | Win prob:37% | |
| 9 | 10/26 | Win prob:18% | |
| 10 | 11/02 | Win prob:44% | |
| 11 | 11/09 | Win prob:8% | |
| 13 | 11/23 | Win prob:3% | |
| 14 | 11/30 | Win prob:50% |
Data from 2024-09-08
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 9-0 | 0% | 0% |
| 8-1 | 0% | 100.0% |
| 7-2 | 0.1% | 14.8% |
| 6-3 | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 5-4 | 5.0% | 0% |
| 4-5 | 14.8% | 0% |
| 3-6 | 27.8% | 0% |
| 2-7 | 29.6% | 0% |
| 1-8 | 17.4% | 0% |
| 0-9 | 4.3% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2024-09-08
Most Likely
CCG Opponents
if
makes the CCG
Data from 2024-09-08
This Week's Impact
| Game | ||
|---|---|---|
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (-0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (-0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.1% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (-0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) |
Data from 2024-09-08
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
Likelihood
100.0%
<0.1%Any 2 losses
12.7%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%37.5%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%10.0%
<0.1%7.1%
<0.1%Any 3 losses
1.5%
0.1%100.0%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%1.8%
<0.1%1.3%
<0.1%Data from 2024-09-08
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-09-08