Purdue

PurdueBoilermakers

1-0 T2nd (0-0) in B1G

Data from 2024-09-08 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.1%

Based on 100,000 simulations

PurdueSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/31
vsIndiana StateINST
W49-0
39/14
vsNotre DameND
Win prob:14%
49/21
@Oregon StORST
Win prob:20%
59/28
vsNebraskaNEB
Win prob:44%
610/05
@WisconsinWIS
Win prob:28%
710/12
@IllinoisILL
Win prob:39%
810/18
vsOregonORE
Win prob:11%
1011/02
vsNorthwesternNU
Win prob:55%
1111/09
@Ohio StOSU
Win prob:3%
1211/16
vsPenn StPSU
Win prob:15%
1311/22
@Michigan StMSU
Win prob:52%
1411/30
@IndianaIU
Win prob:50%

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

PurdueRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
9-0
0%
100.0%
8-1
0.0%
95.0%
7-2
0.4%
19.5%
6-3
2.4%
0.2%
5-4
9.4%
0%
4-5
21.5%
0%
3-6
29.7%
0%
2-7
24.1%
0%
1-8
10.5%
0%
0-9
2.0%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Purdue CCG Opponents

if Purdue makes the CCG

Ohio StateOhio St
55.6%
MichiganMichigan
22.2%
Penn StatePenn St
11.1%
OregonOregon
11.1%
USCUSC
0.0%

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

PurdueThis Week's Impact

Game
PurdueCCG OddsAway
PurdueCCG OddsHome
Notre DameND@PurduePUR
0.1%
(+0.0%)		0.1%
(+0.0%)
AlabamaALA@WisconsinWIS
0.1%
(+0.0%)		0.1%
(-0.0%)
Arkansas StARST@MichiganMICH
0.1%
(+0.0%)		0.1%
(+0.0%)
Northern IowaUNI@NebraskaNEB
0.1%
(+0.0%)		0.1%
(+0.0%)
Washington StWSU@WashingtonWASH
0.1%
(+0.0%)		0.1%
(-0.0%)
TroyTROY@IowaIOWA
0.1%
(+0.0%)		0.1%
(+0.0%)
OregonORE@Oregon StORST
0.1%
(+0.0%)		0.1%
(-0.0%)
C MichiganCMU@IllinoisILL
0.1%
(+0.0%)		0.1%
(+0.0%)
NevadaNEV@MinnesotaMINN
0.1%
(-0.0%)		0.1%
(+0.0%)
Prairie View A&MPV@Michigan StMSU
0.0%
(-0.1%)		0.1%
(+0.0%)
Eastern IllinoisEIU@NorthwesternNU
0.1%
(+0.0%)		0.1%
(+0.0%)
IndianaIU@UCLAUCLA
0.1%
(+0.0%)		0.1%
(-0.0%)
MarylandMD@VirginiaUVA
0.1%
(+0.0%)		0.1%
(-0.0%)

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

PurdueLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Purdue CCG Probability
Likelihood
Any 1 loss
<0.1%
<0.1%
Notre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio St
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
<0.1%
<0.1%
Notre DameOhio St
100.0%
<0.1%
Notre DameWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
IllinoisOregon
50.0%
<0.1%
IllinoisOhio St
50.0%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
22.0%
<0.1%
IllinoisNotre DamePenn St
100.0%
<0.1%
IllinoisNotre DameOregon
100.0%
<0.1%
IndianaNotre DameOregon St
100.0%
<0.1%
IllinoisOregonOregon St
100.0%
<0.1%
NebraskaOregon StPenn St
100.0%
<0.1%
Notre DameOregon StPenn St
100.0%
<0.1%
Notre DameOregonOregon St
100.0%
<0.1%
OregonOregon StWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
NorthwesternOregon StWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
NebraskaOregonOregon St
100.0%
<0.1%
NorthwesternNotre DameOregon St
100.0%
<0.1%
Oregon StPenn StWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
Notre DameOhio StOregon St
90.0%
<0.1%
IllinoisNotre DameOhio St
50.0%
<0.1%
IllinoisOhio StOregon St
50.0%
<0.1%
Michigan StNotre DameOhio St
33.3%
<0.1%
Ohio StOregon StWisconsin
33.3%
<0.1%
NebraskaOhio StOregon St
33.3%
<0.1%
Ohio StOregon StPenn St
20.0%
<0.1%
Notre DameOhio StWisconsin
16.7%
<0.1%
Ohio StOregonOregon St
10.0%
<0.1%
Notre DameOhio StPenn St
7.1%
<0.1%
Notre DameOhio StOregon
5.3%
<0.1%
Any 4 losses
17.6%
0.2%
IndianaNotre DameOregon StWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
IllinoisIndianaNotre DameOregon St
100.0%
<0.1%
Michigan StNotre DameOregonOregon St
100.0%
<0.1%
Michigan StNotre DameOregon StPenn St
100.0%
<0.1%
Notre DameOregon StPenn StWisconsin
50.0%
<0.1%
IllinoisNotre DameOregonOregon St
50.0%
<0.1%
NebraskaNotre DameOregon StPenn St
50.0%
<0.1%
Michigan StNebraskaNotre DameOregon St
50.0%
<0.1%
NorthwesternNotre DameOregon StPenn St
33.3%
<0.1%
IndianaNotre DameOhio StOregon St
33.3%
<0.1%
NorthwesternNotre DameOhio StOregon St
33.3%
<0.1%
IllinoisNotre DameOregon StPenn St
33.3%
<0.1%
Michigan StNotre DameOregonWisconsin
33.3%
<0.1%
Notre DameOhio StOregon StWisconsin
31.8%
<0.1%
Notre DameOregonOregon StPenn St
31.3%
<0.1%
Michigan StNotre DameOhio StOregon St
30.0%
<0.1%
IllinoisNotre DameOhio StOregon St
29.4%
<0.1%
NebraskaNotre DameOregonOregon St
20.0%
<0.1%
NebraskaNotre DameOhio StOregon St
11.1%
<0.1%
Notre DameOregonOregon StWisconsin
11.1%
<0.1%
Notre DameOhio StOregon StPenn St
6.3%
<0.1%
Notre DameOhio StOregonOregon St
4.0%
<0.1%

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

PurdueCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com