Big Ten Championship Probabilities

CCG Odds by Conference Record

Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record

Team	9-0	8-1	7-2	6-3	Overall
Ohio StateOSU	100%	97.2%	34.1%	0.9%	65.5%
OregonORE	100%	87.5%	23.9%	0.6%	54.2%
MichiganMICH	100%	94.3%	30.7%	1.0%	35.2%
Penn StatePSU	100%	72.2%	14.6%	0.2%	25.7%
USCUSC	100%	74.5%	14.5%	0.2%	9.2%
WashingtonWASH	100%	88.3%	27.7%	0.4%	5.9%
NebraskaNEB	97.9%	58.8%	6.3%	<0.1%	1.1%
IowaIOWA	100%	54.7%	7.0%	<0.1%	0.8%
MarylandMD	-	83.9%	20.3%	0.2%	0.7%
IndianaIU	100%	73.6%	10.6%	<0.1%	0.5%
WisconsinWIS	100%	73.7%	14.1%	0.2%	0.4%
RutgersRUTG	100%	49.4%	6.2%	<0.1%	0.3%
IllinoisILL	100%	81.0%	17.0%	0.1%	0.2%
MinnesotaMINN	100%	66.0%	13.6%	<0.1%	0.2%
Michigan StateMSU	-	66.7%	24.3%	0.2%	<0.1%
NorthwesternNU	-	42.9%	18.5%	0.4%	<0.1%
PurduePUR	-	-	-	1.0%	-
UCLAUCLA	-	-	28.6%	-	-

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

Team	9-0	8-1	7-2	6-3	5-4	4-5	3-6	2-7	1-8	0-9	Avg Wins
Ohio StateOSU(0-0)	17.0%	38.9%	31.0%	11.0%	1.9%	0.2%	<0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	7.6
OregonORE(0-0)	14.3%	36.5%	32.9%	13.0%	2.8%	0.4%	<0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	7.5
MichiganMICH(0-0)	4.4%	21.1%	34.9%	26.4%	10.6%	2.3%	0.3%	<0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	6.7
Penn StatePSU(0-0)	5.2%	21.6%	33.2%	25.5%	11.1%	2.9%	0.4%	<0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	6.7
USCUSC(0-0)	0.9%	7.1%	20.1%	29.8%	25.0%	12.5%	3.8%	0.7%	<0.1%	0.0%	5.7
WashingtonWASH(0-0)	0.2%	2.6%	11.9%	25.5%	29.8%	20.1%	7.9%	1.7%	0.2%	<0.1%	5.2
NebraskaNEB(0-0)	<0.1%	1.1%	7.1%	19.6%	29.1%	25.1%	13.2%	4.0%	0.7%	<0.1%	4.7
IowaIOWA(0-0)	<0.1%	0.8%	5.1%	15.2%	26.1%	27.0%	17.4%	6.7%	1.5%	0.1%	4.4
MarylandMD(0-1)	-	0.2%	2.7%	13.4%	28.2%	30.3%	17.9%	6.2%	1.1%	<0.1%	4.3
IndianaIU(1-0)	<0.1%	0.2%	2.5%	11.3%	25.5%	31.5%	21.1%	6.9%	0.9%	-	4.2
RutgersRUTG(0-0)	<0.1%	0.3%	2.0%	8.0%	18.9%	27.5%	25.4%	13.5%	4.1%	0.5%	3.8
IllinoisILL(0-0)	0.0%	<0.1%	1.0%	6.3%	18.7%	30.4%	27.0%	13.1%	3.1%	0.3%	3.7
WisconsinWIS(0-0)	<0.1%	0.2%	1.4%	6.6%	17.8%	28.2%	27.0%	14.4%	4.0%	0.4%	3.7
Michigan StateMSU(1-0)	0.0%	0.0%	0.2%	2.1%	11.0%	26.8%	34.2%	21.1%	4.7%	-	3.3
MinnesotaMINN(0-0)	0.0%	0.1%	0.8%	4.2%	12.6%	23.7%	28.0%	20.6%	8.5%	1.5%	3.2
NorthwesternNU(0-0)	0.0%	<0.1%	0.2%	1.5%	7.3%	19.3%	29.8%	26.8%	12.6%	2.4%	2.8
UCLAUCLA(0-1)	-	0.0%	<0.1%	0.1%	1.3%	6.7%	20.0%	33.3%	28.6%	10.0%	1.9
PurduePUR(0-0)	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	1.0%	5.3%	16.6%	31.4%	32.1%	13.5%	1.7

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com