Northwestern

NorthwesternWildcats

2-1 T3rd (0-0) in B1G

Data from 2024-09-15 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.0%

Based on 100,000 simulations

NorthwesternSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/31
vsMiami OHM-OH(N)
W13-6
29/06
vsDukeDUKE(N)
L20-26
39/14
vsEastern IllinoisEIU(N)
W31-7
49/21
@WashingtonWASH
Win prob:16%
610/05
vsIndianaIU(N)
Win prob:47%
710/11
@MarylandMD
Win prob:22%
810/19
vsWisconsinWIS(N)
Win prob:44%
910/26
@IowaIOWA
Win prob:31%
1011/02
@PurduePUR
Win prob:63%
1211/16
vsOhio StOSU(N)
Win prob:5%
1311/23
@MichiganMICH
Win prob:7%
1411/30
vsIllinoisILL(N)
Win prob:46%

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

NorthwesternRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
9-0
0%
0%
8-1
0.0%
42.9%
7-2
0.2%
18.5%
6-3
1.5%
0.4%
5-4
7.3%
0%
4-5
19.3%
0%
3-6
29.8%
0%
2-7
26.8%
0%
1-8
12.6%
0%
0-9
2.4%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Northwestern CCG Opponents

if Northwestern makes the CCG

Ohio StateOhio St
50.0%
MichiganMichigan
25.0%
OregonOregon
25.0%
Penn StatePenn St
0.0%
WashingtonWashington
0.0%

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

NorthwesternThis Week's Impact

Game
NorthwesternCCG OddsAway
NorthwesternCCG OddsHome
IllinoisILL@NebraskaNEB
0.0%
(-0.0%)		0.1%
(+0.0%)
USCUSC@MichiganMICH
0.0%
(-0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
IowaIOWA@MinnesotaMINN
0.0%
(-0.0%)		0.1%
(+0.0%)
CharlotteCLT@IndianaIU
0.0%
(-0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
PurduePUR@Oregon StORST
0.1%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
NorthwesternNU@WashingtonWASH
0.1%
(+0.1%)		0.0%
(-0.0%)
MarshallMRSH@Ohio StOSU
0.1%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
VillanovaVILL@MarylandMD
0.0%
(-0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
UCLAUCLA@LSULSU
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
RutgersRUTG@Virginia TechVT
0.0%
(-0.0%)		0.1%
(+0.0%)
KentKENT@Penn StPSU
0.0%
(-0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
Michigan StMSU@Boston CollegeBC
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

NorthwesternLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Northwestern CCG Probability
Likelihood
Any 1 loss
<0.1%
<0.1%
Illinois
100.0%
<0.1%
Michigan
50.0%
<0.1%
Ohio St
33.3%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
18.6%
0.2%
IowaMaryland
100.0%
<0.1%
IndianaIowa
100.0%
<0.1%
IllinoisMaryland
100.0%
<0.1%
MarylandWashington
57.1%
<0.1%
IllinoisMichigan
50.0%
<0.1%
IndianaWashington
33.3%
<0.1%
IowaWisconsin
33.3%
<0.1%
IowaOhio St
30.0%
<0.1%
MichiganWisconsin
25.0%
<0.1%
MarylandMichigan
25.0%
<0.1%
MichiganWashington
22.2%
<0.1%
IndianaOhio St
20.0%
<0.1%
IowaMichigan
16.7%
<0.1%
Ohio StWashington
15.0%
<0.1%
MarylandOhio St
10.0%
<0.1%
MichiganOhio St
8.3%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
2.9%
0.2%
Ohio StPurdueWashington
8.3%
<0.1%
IndianaIowaMichigan
8.3%
<0.1%
IowaMichiganWashington
2.6%
<0.1%
MichiganOhio StPurdue
2.3%
<0.1%
MarylandOhio StWashington
1.7%
<0.1%

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

NorthwesternCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com