MinnesotaGolden Gophers

2-1 T3rd (0-0) in B1G

Data from 2024-09-15 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.2%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/29	vsNorth CarolinaUNC	L17-19
2	9/07	vsRhode IslandURI	W48-0
3	9/14	vsNevadaNEV	W27-0
4	9/21	vsIowaIOWA	Win prob:50%
5	9/28	@MichiganMICH	Win prob:8%
6	10/05	vsUSCUSC	Win prob:27%
7	10/12	@UCLAUCLA	Win prob:54%
9	10/26	vsMarylandMD	Win prob:38%
10	11/02	@IllinoisILL	Win prob:43%
11	11/09	@RutgersRUTG	Win prob:46%
13	11/23	vsPenn StatePSU	Win prob:19%
14	11/29	@WisconsinWIS	Win prob:40%

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
9-0	0%	100.0%
8-1	0.1%	66.0%
7-2	0.8%	13.6%
6-3	4.2%	0.1%
5-4	12.6%	0%
4-5	23.7%	0%
3-6	28.0%	0%
2-7	20.6%	0%
1-8	8.5%	0%
0-9	1.5%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

44.4%

27.8%

16.7%

11.1%

0.0%

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
IllinoisILL@NebraskaNEB	0.2% (+0.0%)	0.2% (-0.0%)
USCUSC@MichiganMICH	0.2% (+0.0%)	0.2% (-0.0%)
IowaIOWA@MinnesotaMINN	0.0% (-0.1%)	0.3% (+0.1%)
CharlotteCLT@IndianaIU	0.1% (-0.1%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
PurduePUR@Oregon StateORST	0.1% (-0.1%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
NorthwesternNU@WashingtonWASH	0.2% (+0.0%)	0.2% (-0.0%)
MarshallMRSH@Ohio StateOSU	0.2% (-0.0%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
VillanovaVILL@MarylandMD	0.2% (+0.0%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
UCLAUCLA@LSULSU	0.2% (+0.1%)	0.2% (-0.0%)
RutgersRUTG@Virginia TechVT	0.2% (+0.0%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
Kent StateKENT@Penn StatePSU	0.2% (+0.0%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
Michigan StateMSU@Boston CollegeBC	0.2% (+0.0%)	0.2% (+0.0%)

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

100.0%

<0.1%

Any 1 loss

68.6%

0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

76.9%

<0.1%

68.8%

<0.1%

60.0%

<0.1%

58.2%

<0.1%

33.3%

<0.1%

Any 2 losses

13.6%

0.8%

80.0%

<0.1%

66.7%

<0.1%

66.7%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

44.4%

<0.1%

42.9%

<0.1%

40.0%

<0.1%

33.3%

<0.1%

33.3%

<0.1%

28.6%

<0.1%

25.0%

<0.1%

24.0%

<0.1%

20.0%

<0.1%

20.0%

<0.1%

20.0%

<0.1%

18.2%

<0.1%

14.3%

<0.1%

14.3%

<0.1%

13.5%

<0.1%

11.8%

<0.1%

11.1%

<0.1%

8.5%

<0.1%

8.0%

<0.1%

7.7%

<0.1%

7.5%

<0.1%

7.3%

0.2%

7.1%

<0.1%

6.7%

<0.1%

6.0%

0.1%

5.3%

<0.1%

Any 3 losses

6.9%

<0.1%

8.3%

<0.1%

5.6%

<0.1%

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com