Big Ten Championship Probabilities

CCG Odds by Conference Record

Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record

Team	9-0	8-1	7-2	6-3	Overall
Penn StatePSU	100%	88.0%	16.7%	0.1%	71.6%
Ohio StateOSU	99.9%	81.7%	14.4%	<0.1%	53.5%
USCUSC	99.9%	45.6%	3.8%	<0.1%	26.2%
OregonORE	100%	90.7%	21.7%	0.1%	21.9%
MichiganMICH	100%	54.8%	3.9%	-	12.3%
IndianaIU	99.6%	55.6%	4.6%	<0.1%	9.3%
IowaIOWA	100%	90.8%	20.6%	<0.1%	2.0%
MinnesotaMINN	97.0%	45.3%	2.3%	-	1.2%
WashingtonWASH	100%	63.4%	6.0%	<0.1%	0.9%
IllinoisILL	100%	69.8%	8.3%	-	0.6%
MarylandMD	92.3%	39.3%	2.8%	-	0.2%
NebraskaNEB	100%	70.0%	11.3%	<0.1%	0.2%
WisconsinWIS	100%	88.9%	27.0%	0.1%	0.2%
RutgersRUTG	-	66.7%	22.8%	0.1%	<0.1%
Michigan StateMSU	-	-	50.0%	-	-
NorthwesternNU	-	-	17.6%	-	-
PurduePUR	-	-	-	-	-
UCLAUCLA	-	-	18.2%	0.4%	-

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Team	9-0	8-1	7-2	6-3	5-4	4-5	3-6	2-7	1-8	0-9	Avg Wins
Penn StatePSU(0-0)	29.6%	43.6%	21.2%	4.9%	0.6%	<0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	8.0
Ohio StateOSU(0-0)	17.0%	39.4%	30.3%	11.0%	2.1%	0.3%	<0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	7.6
USCUSC(0-0)	10.4%	31.7%	33.7%	17.8%	5.4%	0.9%	<0.1%	<0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	7.2
MichiganMICH(0-0)	2.6%	15.4%	32.1%	29.7%	15.0%	4.4%	0.8%	<0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	6.4
OregonORE(0-0)	2.0%	14.7%	29.9%	29.9%	16.6%	5.6%	1.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	6.3
IndianaIU(0-0)	1.2%	11.9%	31.7%	33.2%	16.7%	4.5%	0.7%	<0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	6.3
MinnesotaMINN(0-0)	0.1%	1.9%	11.3%	27.3%	31.4%	19.6%	6.9%	1.4%	0.2%	0.0%	5.2
WashingtonWASH(0-0)	<0.1%	0.8%	5.1%	16.2%	28.2%	27.6%	16.1%	5.2%	0.8%	<0.1%	4.5
IowaIOWA(0-0)	<0.1%	0.9%	5.3%	16.1%	27.6%	27.4%	16.3%	5.4%	0.9%	<0.1%	4.5
IllinoisILL(0-0)	<0.1%	0.4%	3.3%	12.6%	25.6%	29.6%	19.8%	7.2%	1.3%	0.1%	4.2
MarylandMD(0-0)	<0.1%	0.3%	2.2%	7.9%	18.5%	27.1%	25.1%	14.1%	4.4%	0.6%	3.7
NebraskaNEB(0-0)	0.0%	<0.1%	1.1%	5.8%	16.9%	28.6%	27.9%	15.1%	4.1%	0.4%	3.6
WisconsinWIS(0-0)	0.0%	<0.1%	0.5%	3.0%	11.0%	23.4%	30.2%	22.1%	8.5%	1.3%	3.1
RutgersRUTG(0-0)	0.0%	<0.1%	0.2%	1.8%	8.1%	20.8%	31.1%	25.8%	10.5%	1.7%	2.9
NorthwesternNU(0-0)	0.0%	0.0%	<0.1%	0.3%	2.1%	10.4%	26.7%	35.6%	20.8%	4.0%	2.3
UCLAUCLA(0-0)	0.0%	0.0%	<0.1%	0.2%	2.2%	10.1%	24.7%	32.9%	23.2%	6.6%	2.2
Michigan StateMSU(0-0)	0.0%	0.0%	<0.1%	0.1%	0.9%	5.2%	17.8%	33.4%	31.9%	10.7%	1.8
PurduePUR(0-0)	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	<0.1%	0.2%	1.4%	7.4%	23.5%	40.3%	27.3%	1.2

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com