MinnesotaGolden Gophers

1-0 T1st (0-0) in B1G

Data from 2025-09-02 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

1.2%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/28	vsBuffaloBUF	W23-10
2	9/06	vsNorthwestern StateNWST	Win prob:90%
3	9/13	@CaliforniaCAL	Win prob:52%
5	9/27	vsRutgersRUTG	Win prob:71%
6	10/04	@Ohio StateOSU	Win prob:9%
7	10/11	vsPurduePUR	Win prob:90%
8	10/17	vsNebraskaNEB	Win prob:71%
9	10/25	@IowaIOWA	Win prob:34%
10	11/01	vsMichigan StateMSU	Win prob:83%
12	11/14	@OregonORE	Win prob:16%
13	11/22	vsNorthwesternNU(N)	Win prob:78%
14	11/29	vsWisconsinWIS	Win prob:65%

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
9-0	0.1%	97.0%
8-1	1.9%	45.3%
7-2	11.3%	2.3%
6-3	27.3%	0%
5-4	31.4%	0%
4-5	19.6%	0%
3-6	6.9%	0%
2-7	1.4%	0%
1-8	0.2%	0%
0-9	0%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

54.3%

25.0%

10.3%

5.2%

5.2%

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
Kennesaw StateKENN@IndianaIU	1.2% (-0.0%)	1.2% (+0.0%)
Florida InternationalFIU@Penn StatePSU	1.5% (+0.3%)	1.2% (+0.0%)
MichiganMICH@OklahomaOU	1.2% (-0.0%)	1.2% (+0.0%)
Georgia SouthernGASO@USCUSC	1.2% (-0.1%)	1.2% (+0.0%)
UC DavisUCD@WashingtonWASH	1.1% (-0.1%)	1.2% (+0.0%)
AkronAKR@NebraskaNEB	1.2% (-0.0%)	1.2% (+0.0%)
IowaIOWA@Iowa StateISU	1.2% (+0.0%)	1.2% (-0.0%)
Miami (OH)M-OH@RutgersRUTG	1.2% (+0.0%)	1.2% (-0.0%)
Northern IllinoisNIU@MarylandMD	1.3% (+0.1%)	1.2% (-0.1%)
IllinoisILL@DukeDUKE	1.2% (+0.0%)	1.2% (-0.0%)
Southern IllinoisSIU@PurduePUR	1.2% (+0.0%)	1.2% (+0.0%)
Oklahoma StateOKST@OregonORE	1.2% (+0.0%)	1.2% (+0.0%)
Northwestern StateNWST@MinnesotaMINN	1.4% (+0.2%)	1.2% (-0.0%)
GramblingGRAM@Ohio StateOSU	1.1% (-0.1%)	1.2% (+0.0%)
Western IllinoisWIU@NorthwesternNU	1.4% (+0.2%)	1.2% (-0.0%)
Boston CollegeBC@Michigan StateMSU	1.2% (+0.0%)	1.2% (-0.0%)
Middle TennesseeMTSU@WisconsinWIS	1.2% (-0.1%)	1.2% (+0.0%)
UCLAUCLA@UNLVUNLV	1.1% (-0.1%)	1.2% (+0.0%)

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

94.9%

<0.1%

Any 1 loss

48.0%

0.9%

100.0%

<0.1%

97.9%

<0.1%

88.9%

<0.1%

76.2%

<0.1%

70.6%

<0.1%

66.7%

<0.1%

64.1%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

45.3%

0.2%

37.4%

0.4%

20.0%

<0.1%

Any 2 losses

9.2%

6.2%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

80.0%

<0.1%

68.4%

<0.1%

66.7%

<0.1%

64.7%

<0.1%

63.6%

<0.1%

61.8%

<0.1%

60.0%

<0.1%

56.3%

<0.1%

55.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

48.9%

<0.1%

48.8%

0.2%

46.4%

<0.1%

40.0%

<0.1%

34.4%

0.4%

21.9%

<0.1%

14.3%

<0.1%

14.3%

<0.1%

9.1%

<0.1%

8.0%

<0.1%

6.5%

<0.1%

6.4%

0.1%

5.9%

0.1%

5.9%

0.2%

5.7%

<0.1%

4.5%

<0.1%

4.0%

0.3%

3.3%

<0.1%

2.6%

0.5%

2.6%

0.1%

2.3%

0.1%

2.3%

0.9%

1.6%

0.1%

1.1%

0.2%

0.8%

2.4%

Any 3 losses

3.1%

5.3%

100.0%

<0.1%

72.7%

<0.1%

41.7%

<0.1%

37.8%

<0.1%

33.3%

<0.1%

25.0%

<0.1%

16.7%

<0.1%

14.3%

<0.1%

12.5%

<0.1%

12.5%

<0.1%

11.5%

<0.1%

10.0%

<0.1%

9.5%

<0.1%

8.7%

<0.1%

6.7%

<0.1%

6.7%

<0.1%

6.5%

<0.1%

6.0%

0.1%

6.0%

0.1%

5.1%

0.2%

4.2%

<0.1%

4.0%

<0.1%

3.9%

<0.1%

3.6%

<0.1%

3.3%

0.4%

3.2%

<0.1%

1.9%

0.7%

1.8%

<0.1%

1.8%

0.2%

1.8%

0.1%

1.7%

0.1%

1.3%

<0.1%

1.1%

0.2%

1.1%

2.2%

0.8%

0.3%

Any 4 losses

3.8%

0.5%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

33.3%

<0.1%

22.2%

<0.1%

14.3%

<0.1%

12.5%

<0.1%

12.5%

<0.1%

8.3%

<0.1%

6.7%

<0.1%

4.8%

<0.1%

3.1%

<0.1%

2.6%

<0.1%

0.8%

0.3%

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com