Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.0%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/30 | W24-16 | |
| 2 | 9/06 | L23-30 | |
| 3 | 9/13 | W48-23 | |
| 5 | 9/27 | Win prob:18% | |
| 6 | 10/04 | Win prob:3% | |
| 8 | 10/18 | Win prob:14% | |
| 9 | 10/25 | Win prob:21% | |
| 10 | 11/01 | Win prob:25% | |
| 11 | 11/08 | Win prob:37% | |
| 12 | 11/15 | Win prob:90% | |
| 13 | 11/22 | Win prob:36% | |
| 14 | 11/29 | Win prob:18% |
Data from 2025-09-14
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 7-1 | 0% | 0% |
| 6-2 | 0.0% | 28.1% |
| 5-3 | 0.5% | 0.8% |
| 4-4 | 3.4% | 0% |
| 3-5 | 13.9% | 0% |
| 2-6 | 30.8% | 0% |
| 1-7 | 35.1% | 0% |
| 0-8 | 16.2% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2025-09-14
This Week's Impact
| Game | ||
|---|---|---|
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (-0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (-0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (-0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) |
Best Winner Combination for 
CCG: 0.4% • Scenario: 0.3%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for 
CCG: 0.0% • Scenario: 13.8%
Data from 2025-09-14
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
Likelihood
Any 1 loss
<0.1%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%Any 2 losses
14.3%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%4.8%
<0.1%Any 3 losses
4.3%
<0.1%5.3%
<0.1%3.9%
<0.1%Data from 2025-09-14
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2025-09-14