C Michigan

Central MichiganChippewas

1-1 T2nd (0-0) in MAC

Data from 2026-09-17

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.7%

Based on 1,000,000 simulations

What is Central Michigan's probability of making the Mid-American Conference Championship Game?

Central Michigan has a 0.7% chance to reach the Mid-American Conference Championship Game, as of week 3 of the 2026 season, based on a 1,000,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Central Michigan's Mid-American Conference Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.

C MichiganSchedule & Results

WkDateOpponentResult
19/05
@New MexicoUNM
L7-38
29/12
vsColgateCOLG
W13-10
39/19
vsWyomingWYO
Win prob:54%
49/26
@Miami FLMIA
Win prob:1%
510/03
vsAkronAKR
Win prob:49%
610/10
@OhioOHIO
Win prob:17%
710/17
vsW MichiganWMU
Win prob:8%
810/24
vsMiami OHM-OH
Win prob:32%
1011/04
vsE MichiganEMU(N)
Win prob:48%
1111/11
vsSacramento StSAC
Win prob:77%
1211/18
@BuffaloBUF
Win prob:29%
1311/28
@Ball StBALL
Win prob:39%

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

C MichiganRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
0.0%
100.0%
7-1
0.2%
79.8%
6-2
2.0%
23.4%
5-3
8.9%
0.5%
4-4
22.0%
0%
3-5
31.2%
0%
2-6
24.6%
0%
1-7
9.7%
0%
0-8
1.4%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

Possible C Michigan CCG Opponents

if C Michigan makes the CCG

WMUW Michigan
50.0%
TOLToledo
39.7%
OHIOOhio
4.4%
M-OHMiami OH
2.9%
MASSMassachusetts
2.9%

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

C MichiganThis Week's Impact

Game
C MichiganCCG OddsAway Wins
C MichiganCCG OddsHome Wins
Sat, Sep 19
AkronAKR@MinnesotaMINN
0.7%
(+0.0%)		0.7%
(+0.0%)
Bowling GreenBGSU@Iowa StISU
0.7%
(+0.0%)		0.7%
(+0.0%)
BuffaloBUF@Penn StPSU
0.7%
(-0.0%)		0.7%
(+0.0%)
KentKENT@Ohio StOSU
0.8%
(+0.1%)		0.7%
(+0.0%)
E MichiganEMU@WisconsinWIS
0.7%
(+0.0%)		0.7%
(+0.0%)
WyomingWYO@C MichiganCMU
0.7%
(-0.0%)		0.7%
(+0.0%)
TempleTEM@ToledoTOL
0.7%
(+0.0%)		0.7%
(+0.0%)
Miami OHM-OH@CincinnatiCIN
0.7%
(+0.0%)		0.7%
(+0.0%)
StonehillSTO@MassachusettsMASS
0.7%
(-0.0%)		0.7%
(+0.0%)
Ball StBALL@LibertyLIB
0.7%
(+0.0%)		0.7%
(+0.0%)
OhioOHIO@South AlabamaUSA
0.7%
(+0.0%)		0.7%
(-0.0%)
W MichiganWMU@RiceRICE
0.7%
(+0.0%)		0.7%
(+0.0%)
North Dakota StNDSU@Sacramento StSAC
0.7%
(+0.0%)		0.7%
(+0.0%)

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

C MichiganLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
C Michigan CCG Probability
Likelihood
Any 1 loss
<0.1%
<0.1%
E Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Ball St
100.0%
<0.1%
Miami FL
100.0%
<0.1%
Buffalo
100.0%
<0.1%
W Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Wyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio
100.0%
<0.1%
Miami OH
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
78.7%
0.1%
Miami FLWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
OhioWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
BuffaloSacramento St
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronSacramento St
100.0%
<0.1%
Miami OHWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
Ball StBuffalo
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronE Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronMiami FL
91.1%
<0.1%
Ball StMiami FL
91.0%
<0.1%
Miami FLMiami OH
87.5%
<0.1%
Miami FLSacramento St
87.5%
<0.1%
BuffaloMiami FL
85.3%
<0.1%
Miami FLOhio
84.2%
<0.1%
E MichiganMiami FL
83.0%
<0.1%
Miami FLW Michigan
72.2%
<0.1%
E MichiganMiami OH
66.7%
<0.1%
W MichiganWyoming
66.7%
<0.1%
AkronOhio
50.0%
<0.1%
Miami OHOhio
42.9%
<0.1%
Ball StW Michigan
40.0%
<0.1%
Ball StOhio
33.3%
<0.1%
AkronW Michigan
33.3%
<0.1%
BuffaloOhio
28.6%
<0.1%
BuffaloW Michigan
27.3%
<0.1%
BuffaloMiami OH
20.0%
<0.1%
Miami OHW Michigan
15.4%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
27.5%
1.2%
Ball StOhioWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
Ball StBuffaloWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganMiami OHWyoming
100.0%
<0.1%
Ball StMiami FLWyoming
92.3%
<0.1%
AkronMiami FLWyoming
90.7%
<0.1%
Miami FLOhioWyoming
90.4%
<0.1%
BuffaloMiami FLWyoming
83.7%
<0.1%
Miami FLSacramento StWyoming
81.8%
<0.1%
Miami FLMiami OHWyoming
76.5%
<0.1%
E MichiganMiami FLWyoming
75.0%
<0.1%
Miami FLW MichiganWyoming
72.4%
<0.1%
E MichiganMiami FLSacramento St
57.1%
<0.1%
AkronBall StMiami FL
55.1%
<0.1%
Ball StMiami FLSacramento St
52.2%
<0.1%
BuffaloMiami FLSacramento St
51.3%
<0.1%
AkronBuffaloMiami FL
51.2%
<0.1%
Miami FLMiami OHSacramento St
50.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganOhioWyoming
50.0%
<0.1%
Ball StMiami OHWyoming
50.0%
<0.1%
AkronE MichiganMiami FL
49.2%
<0.1%
BuffaloE MichiganMiami FL
48.9%
<0.1%
BuffaloOhioWyoming
44.4%
<0.1%
AkronMiami FLSacramento St
44.4%
<0.1%
E MichiganMiami FLMiami OH
39.4%
<0.1%
Ball StMiami FLOhio
38.9%
<0.1%
Ball StMiami FLMiami OH
38.8%
<0.1%
Ball StE MichiganMiami FL
38.2%
<0.1%
Ball StBuffaloMiami FL
37.9%
<0.1%
BuffaloMiami FLOhio
36.0%
<0.1%
Miami FLOhioSacramento St
35.9%
<0.1%
AkronMiami FLOhio
35.0%
<0.1%
AkronMiami FLMiami OH
33.3%
<0.1%
BuffaloMiami FLMiami OH
33.3%
<0.1%
E MichiganW MichiganWyoming
33.3%
<0.1%
AkronBuffaloWyoming
33.3%
<0.1%
E MichiganMiami FLOhio
30.1%
<0.1%
BuffaloW MichiganWyoming
25.0%
<0.1%
Miami FLMiami OHOhio
24.8%
<0.1%
Miami FLSacramento StW Michigan
24.5%
<0.1%
AkronMiami FLW Michigan
23.5%
<0.1%
AkronW MichiganWyoming
20.0%
<0.1%
Ball StMiami FLW Michigan
19.6%
<0.1%
BuffaloMiami FLW Michigan
18.6%
0.1%
Miami FLMiami OHW Michigan
17.1%
0.1%
E MichiganMiami FLW Michigan
15.8%
<0.1%
Miami FLOhioW Michigan
14.0%
0.3%
OhioW MichiganWyoming
11.1%
<0.1%

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

C MichiganCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1 (8/4)Week 1 (8/31)Week 3 (9/8)Week 3 (9/13)

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com