Sacramento St

Sacramento StateHornets

1-2 T2nd (0-1) in MAC

Data from 2026-09-17

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.0%

Based on 1,000,000 simulations

What is Sacramento State's probability of making the Mid-American Conference Championship Game?

Sacramento State has a <0.1% chance to reach the Mid-American Conference Championship Game, as of week 3 of the 2026 season, based on a 1,000,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Sacramento State's Mid-American Conference Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.

Sacramento StSchedule & Results

WkDateOpponentResult
08/29
@E MichiganEMU
L17-28
19/05
vsMississippi Valley StateMVSU
W52-0
29/12
@Fresno StFRES
L3-49
39/19
vsNorth Dakota StNDSU
Win prob:3%
49/26
vsMassachusettsMASS
Win prob:17%
610/10
@Bowling GreenBGSU
Win prob:25%
710/17
vsOhioOHIO
Win prob:14%
810/24
@Ball StBALL
Win prob:21%
910/30
vsKentKENT
Win prob:46%
1011/04
vsToledoTOL
Win prob:4%
1111/11
@C MichiganCMU
Win prob:23%
1311/28
@HawaiiHAW
Win prob:5%

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

Sacramento StRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
7-1
0%
60.0%
6-2
0.0%
27.8%
5-3
0.4%
0.6%
4-4
3.0%
0%
3-5
12.9%
0%
2-6
30.3%
0%
1-7
36.5%
0%
0-8
16.9%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

Possible Sacramento St CCG Opponents

if Sacramento St makes the CCG

WMUW Michigan
100%

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

Sacramento StThis Week's Impact

Game
Sacramento StCCG OddsAway Wins
Sacramento StCCG OddsHome Wins
Sat, Sep 19
AkronAKR@MinnesotaMINN
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
Bowling GreenBGSU@Iowa StISU
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
BuffaloBUF@Penn StPSU
0.0%
(-0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
KentKENT@Ohio StOSU
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
E MichiganEMU@WisconsinWIS
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
WyomingWYO@C MichiganCMU
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
TempleTEM@ToledoTOL
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
Miami OHM-OH@CincinnatiCIN
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
StonehillSTO@MassachusettsMASS
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
Ball StBALL@LibertyLIB
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
OhioOHIO@South AlabamaUSA
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
W MichiganWMU@RiceRICE
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(+0.0%)
North Dakota StNDSU@Sacramento StSAC
0.0%
(+0.0%)		0.0%
(-0.0%)

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

Sacramento StLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Sacramento St CCG Probability
Likelihood
Any 2 losses
<0.1%
<0.1%
HawaiiNorth Dakota St
60.0%
<0.1%
North Dakota StOhio
33.3%
<0.1%
C MichiganNorth Dakota St
33.3%
<0.1%

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

Sacramento StCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1 (8/4)Week 1 (8/31)Week 3 (9/8)Week 3 (9/13)

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com