Sacramento StateHornets
2-7 12th (1-5) in MAC
Data from 2026-11-02
Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.0%
Based on 1,000,000 simulations
What is Sacramento State's probability of making the Mid-American Conference Championship Game?
Sacramento State has a - chance to reach the Mid-American Conference Championship Game, as of latest of the 2026 season, based on a 1,000,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Sacramento State has been eliminated from Mid-American Conference Championship Game contention.
Schedule & Results
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8/29 | L17-28 | |
| 1 | 9/05 | W52-0 | |
| 2 | 9/12 | L3-49 | |
| 3 | 9/19 | L10-31 | |
| 4 | 9/26 | L6-35 | |
| 6 | 10/10 | L10-38 | |
| 7 | 10/17 | L7-48 | |
| 8 | 10/24 | L17-34 | |
| 9 | 10/30 | W31-10 | |
| 10 | 11/04 | Win prob:2% | |
| 11 | 11/11 | Win prob:7% | |
| 13 | 11/28 | Win prob:3% |
Data from 2026-11-02
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 3-5 | 0.1% | 0% |
| 2-6 | 8.2% | 0% |
| 1-7 | 91.7% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2026-11-02
This Week's Impact
| Time | Game | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, Nov 3Tuesday, November 3 | |||
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | ||
| Wed, Nov 4Wednesday, November 4 | |||
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | ||
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | ||
Data from 2026-11-02
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2026-11-02