AkronZips
1-1 T2nd (0-0) in MAC
Data from 2026-09-17
Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
2.0%
Based on 1,000,000 simulations
What is Akron's probability of making the Mid-American Conference Championship Game?
Akron has a 2.0% chance to reach the Mid-American Conference Championship Game, as of week 3 of the 2026 season, based on a 1,000,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Akron's Mid-American Conference Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.
Schedule & Results
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9/03 | L16-38 | |
| 2 | 9/12 | W45-10 | |
| 3 | 9/19 | Win prob:8% | |
| 4 | 9/26 | Win prob:25% | |
| 5 | 10/03 | Win prob:51% | |
| 6 | 10/10 | Win prob:65% | |
| 7 | 10/17 | Win prob:26% | |
| 8 | 10/24 | Win prob:60% | |
| 10 | 11/03 | Win prob:38% | |
| 11 | 11/10 | Win prob:12% | |
| 12 | 11/18 | Win prob:28% | |
| 13 | 11/27 | Win prob:54% |
Data from 2026-09-17
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 8-0 | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| 7-1 | 0.6% | 87.9% |
| 6-2 | 4.1% | 31.8% |
| 5-3 | 13.8% | 1.0% |
| 4-4 | 26.3% | 0% |
| 3-5 | 29.1% | 0% |
| 2-6 | 18.7% | 0% |
| 1-7 | 6.4% | 0% |
| 0-8 | 0.9% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2026-09-17
Possible CCG Opponents
if makes the CCG
Data from 2026-09-17
This Week's Impact
| Time | Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway Wins | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome Wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 19Saturday, September 19 | |||
| 2.1% (+0.0%) | 2.0% (+0.0%) | ||
| 2.0% (+0.0%) | 2.0% (+0.0%) | ||
| 2.1% (+0.1%) | 2.0% (+0.0%) | ||
| 2.0% (-0.0%) | 2.0% (+0.0%) | ||
| 2.1% (+0.1%) | 2.0% (+0.0%) | ||
| 2.0% (+0.0%) | 2.0% (-0.0%) | ||
| 2.0% (-0.0%) | 2.0% (+0.0%) | ||
| 2.0% (-0.0%) | 2.0% (+0.0%) | ||
| 2.0% (-0.1%) | 2.0% (+0.0%) | ||
| 2.0% (-0.0%) | 2.0% (+0.0%) | ||
| 2.1% (+0.0%) | 2.0% (-0.0%) | ||
| 2.0% (+0.0%) | 2.0% (-0.0%) | ||
| 2.0% (+0.0%) | 2.2% (+0.2%) | ||
Data from 2026-09-17
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
CCG ProbabilityLikelihood
Win out
100.0%
<0.1%Any 1 loss
83.3%
<0.1%
100.0%
<0.1%
100.0%
<0.1%
100.0%
<0.1%
100.0%
<0.1%
100.0%
<0.1%
92.9%
<0.1%
90.0%
<0.1%
75.0%
<0.1%
66.7%
<0.1%
33.3%
<0.1%Any 2 losses
77.2%
0.3%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%98.8%
<0.1%96.6%
<0.1%95.2%
<0.1%94.7%
<0.1%94.6%
<0.1%92.4%
<0.1%90.9%
<0.1%89.7%
<0.1%89.3%
<0.1%83.3%
<0.1%83.3%
<0.1%78.1%
<0.1%76.4%
<0.1%75.0%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%60.0%
<0.1%57.7%
<0.1%57.1%
<0.1%57.1%
<0.1%56.5%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%48.4%
<0.1%43.8%
<0.1%42.4%
<0.1%41.7%
<0.1%40.0%
<0.1%39.1%
<0.1%28.1%
<0.1%27.8%
<0.1%27.1%
<0.1%26.9%
<0.1%26.4%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%22.2%
<0.1%20.3%
<0.1%19.2%
<0.1%18.2%
<0.1%17.0%
<0.1%16.7%
<0.1%Any 3 losses
44.2%
1.7%98.8%
<0.1%97.4%
<0.1%95.2%
<0.1%95.1%
<0.1%94.5%
<0.1%92.9%
<0.1%89.6%
<0.1%87.5%
<0.1%79.6%
<0.1%79.5%
0.2%75.8%
<0.1%73.3%
<0.1%72.2%
<0.1%70.0%
<0.1%67.7%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%62.5%
<0.1%61.9%
<0.1%61.9%
<0.1%61.8%
<0.1%61.1%
<0.1%60.3%
<0.1%59.1%
<0.1%58.7%
<0.1%57.1%
<0.1%55.9%
<0.1%55.2%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%47.6%
<0.1%45.7%
<0.1%44.9%
<0.1%44.5%
<0.1%43.8%
<0.1%43.5%
<0.1%43.0%
<0.1%43.0%
<0.1%41.4%
<0.1%40.6%
<0.1%40.4%
<0.1%37.6%
<0.1%37.2%
<0.1%37.2%
<0.1%36.0%
<0.1%35.0%
<0.1%34.0%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.2%
<0.1%32.1%
<0.1%31.1%
<0.1%30.4%
<0.1%27.8%
<0.1%26.9%
0.2%25.6%
<0.1%23.5%
<0.1%21.8%
<0.1%20.9%
<0.1%18.4%
0.2%18.3%
<0.1%15.1%
<0.1%14.5%
0.1%12.5%
<0.1%11.1%
<0.1%11.1%
<0.1%10.0%
<0.1%10.0%
<0.1%9.1%
<0.1%4.5%
<0.1%3.9%
<0.1%3.7%
<0.1%3.5%
<0.1%3.4%
<0.1%1.8%
<0.1%1.5%
<0.1%1.4%
<0.1%1.4%
<0.1%0.8%
<0.1%Data from 2026-09-17
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2026-09-17