Miami FL

MiamiHurricanes

8-0 1st (6-0) in ACC

Data from 2026-11-02

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

100.0%

Based on 1,000,000 simulations

What is Miami's probability of making the Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game?

Miami has a 99.9% chance to reach the Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game, as of latest of the 2026 season, based on a 1,000,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Miami's Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.

What does Miami need to do to reach the Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game?

A perfect run to the end of the season puts Miami's Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game odds at 100%; even one more loss drops that to 100%.

Can Miami clinch a Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game spot this week?

Miami can clinch a spot in the Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game as soon as this week if SMU and NC State both win.

Miami FLSchedule & Results

WkDateOpponentResult
19/04
@StanfordSTAN
W45-6
29/10
vsFlorida A&MFAMU
W77-7
39/18
@Wake ForestWAKE
W33-20
49/26
vsC MichiganCMU
W52-3
510/03
@ClemsonCLEM
W41-13
710/17
vsFlorida StFSU
W43-35
810/24
vsPittsburghPITT
W52-23
910/31
@North CarolinaUNC
W38-35
1011/07
@Notre DameND
Win prob:39%
1111/14
vsDukeDUKE
Win prob:94%
1211/21
vsVirginia TechVT
Win prob:97%
1311/28
vsBoston CollegeBC
Win prob:99%

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Miami FLRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
9-0
90.2%
100.0%
8-1
9.6%
100.0%
7-2
0.3%
88.1%
6-3
0%
21.4%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Possible Miami FL CCG Opponents

if Miami FL makes the CCG

WAKEWake Forest
82.4%
SMUSMU
12.4%
LOULouisville
3.4%
DUKEDuke
0.6%
CLEMClemson
0.6%
VTVirginia Tech
0.4%
PITTPittsburgh
0.1%
UNCNorth Carolina
<0.1%

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Miami FLThis Week's Impact

Game
Miami FLCCG OddsAway Wins
Miami FLCCG OddsHome Wins
Fri, Nov 6
Virginia TechVT@SMUSMU
99.9%
(-0.1%)		100.0%
(+0.0%)
Sat, Nov 7
ClemsonCLEM@SyracuseSYR
100.0%
(+0.0%)		100.0%
(+0.0%)
Florida StFSU@Boston CollegeBC
100.0%
(+0.0%)		100.0%
(+0.0%)
North CarolinaUNC@UConnCONN
100.0%
(+0.0%)		100.0%
(+0.0%)
DukeDUKE@NC StateNCSU
100.0%
(+0.0%)		100.0%
(+0.0%)
MerrimackMRMK@Wake ForestWAKE
100.0%
(+0.0%)		100.0%
(+0.0%)
LouisvilleLOU@Georgia TechGT
100.0%
(+0.0%)		100.0%
(+0.0%)
Miami FLMIA@Notre DameND
100.0%
(+0.0%)		100.0%
(-0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for Miami FL

SMUSMUNC StateNC State

CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 20.6%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for Miami FL

SMUSMU

CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 72.0%

Ways for Miami FL to Clinch Atlantic Coast Conference CCG Spot This Week

SMUSMUNC StateNC State
20.6%

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Miami FLLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Miami FL CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
35.6%
Any 1 loss
100.0%
58.4%
Any 2 losses
99.9%
5.9%
DukeNotre Dame
100.0%
3.6%
Notre DameVirginia Tech
100.0%
1.6%
Boston CollegeNotre Dame
100.0%
0.5%
Boston CollegeDuke
100.0%
<0.1%
DukeVirginia Tech
94.9%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeVirginia Tech
94.8%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
83.1%
0.2%
Boston CollegeDukeNotre Dame
95.5%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeNotre DameVirginia Tech
81.8%
<0.1%
DukeNotre DameVirginia Tech
78.9%
0.1%
Boston CollegeDukeVirginia Tech
75.0%
<0.1%

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Miami FLCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%PreseasonWeek 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7Week 8Week 9Week 10

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com