Massachusetts

MassachusettsMinutemen

0-0 T1st (0-0) in MAC

Data from 2026-08-26

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

1.7%

Based on 100,000 simulations

What is Massachusetts's probability of making the Mid-American Conference Championship Game?

Massachusetts has a 1.7% chance to reach the Mid-American Conference Championship Game, as of week 1 of the 2026 season, based on a 100,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Massachusetts's Mid-American Conference Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.

MassachusettsSchedule & Results

WkDateOpponentResult
9/03
@RutgersRUTG
Win prob:11%
9/12
vsSacred HeartSHU
Win prob:90%
9/19
vsStonehillSTO
Win prob:90%
9/26
@Sacramento StSAC
Win prob:26%
10/03
vsE MichiganEMU
Win prob:50%
10/10
vsMiami OHM-OH
Win prob:29%
10/17
@BuffaloBUF
Win prob:27%
10/23
@UConnCONN
Win prob:27%
11/04
vsBall StBALL
Win prob:52%
11/11
@ToledoTOL
Win prob:14%
11/18
vsAkronAKR
Win prob:51%
11/28
@Bowling GreenBGSU
Win prob:33%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

MassachusettsRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
0.0%
100.0%
7-1
0.2%
96.3%
6-2
1.8%
59.5%
5-3
7.8%
5.1%
4-4
19.3%
0.0%
3-5
29.2%
0%
2-6
26.2%
0%
1-7
12.7%
0%
0-8
2.7%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Massachusetts CCG Opponents

if Massachusetts makes the CCG

ToledoToledo
34.8%
Western MichiganW Michigan
29.8%
Miami (OH)Miami OH
14.9%
OhioOhio
12.8%
BuffaloBuffalo
7.8%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

MassachusettsThis Week's Impact

Game
MassachusettsCCG OddsAway
MassachusettsCCG OddsHome
Sacramento StSAC@E MichiganEMU
1.6%
(-0.1%)		1.9%
(+0.2%)

Best Winner Combination for Massachusetts

E MichiganEastern Michigan

CCG: 3.0% • Scenario: 42.1%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for Massachusetts

E MichiganEastern Michigan

CCG: 3.0% • Scenario: 42.1%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

MassachusettsLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Massachusetts CCG Probability
Likelihood
Any 1 loss
<0.1%
<0.1%
Toledo
100.0%
<0.1%
Buffalo
100.0%
<0.1%
UConn
100.0%
<0.1%
Rutgers
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
81.2%
<0.1%
Miami OHRutgers
100.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganRutgers
100.0%
<0.1%
RutgersSacramento St
100.0%
<0.1%
RutgersUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
Ball StE Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
BuffaloRutgers
100.0%
<0.1%
BuffaloE Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Ball StRutgers
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenMiami OH
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenBuffalo
100.0%
<0.1%
Ball StToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
Ball StBowling Green
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenRutgers
100.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
BuffaloUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
ToledoUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
Sacramento StUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronRutgers
100.0%
<0.1%
BuffaloSacramento St
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
Miami OHUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
BuffaloMiami OH
100.0%
<0.1%
RutgersToledo
87.5%
<0.1%
Miami OHSacramento St
66.7%
<0.1%
BuffaloToledo
50.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenToledo
50.0%
<0.1%
Miami OHToledo
42.9%
<0.1%
Sacramento StToledo
25.0%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
62.4%
0.7%
Ball StBuffaloRutgers
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenRutgersUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
Miami OHRutgersUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
Ball StBowling GreenRutgers
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenSacred HeartToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronSacred HeartToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
Sacramento StSacred HeartStonehill
100.0%
<0.1%
BuffaloSacramento StUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganRutgersUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganSacred HeartUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
BuffaloSacramento StStonehill
100.0%
<0.1%
RutgersSacred HeartToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
Ball StMiami OHUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronE MichiganMiami OH
100.0%
<0.1%
Ball StRutgersUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronRutgersUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
BuffaloRutgersStonehill
100.0%
<0.1%
Miami OHSacramento StStonehill
100.0%
<0.1%
BuffaloMiami OHUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronSacramento StUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
Sacred HeartToledoUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
Ball StSacramento StUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
RutgersStonehillUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
Miami OHSacred HeartUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
Miami OHStonehillToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenRutgersStonehill
100.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganMiami OHUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
Ball StE MichiganRutgers
100.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganSacramento StUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronBuffaloUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
Miami OHRutgersSacred Heart
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronE MichiganUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenE MichiganUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronMiami OHUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
BuffaloRutgersUConn
96.0%
<0.1%
RutgersToledoUConn
92.5%
<0.1%
RutgersSacramento StUConn
92.3%
<0.1%
E MichiganMiami OHRutgers
85.7%
<0.1%
BuffaloE MichiganRutgers
80.0%
<0.1%
AkronBowling GreenRutgers
80.0%
<0.1%
BuffaloRutgersSacramento St
79.0%
<0.1%
AkronBuffaloRutgers
75.0%
<0.1%
AkronRutgersSacramento St
75.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenSacramento StUConn
75.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenBuffaloRutgers
72.7%
<0.1%
Ball StRutgersSacramento St
71.4%
<0.1%
BuffaloMiami OHRutgers
71.4%
<0.1%
E MichiganRutgersToledo
70.0%
<0.1%
Ball StBuffaloUConn
66.7%
<0.1%
Miami OHSacramento StUConn
66.7%
<0.1%
AkronE MichiganRutgers
66.7%
<0.1%
BuffaloRutgersToledo
65.9%
<0.1%
Ball StRutgersToledo
63.6%
<0.1%
AkronRutgersToledo
63.6%
<0.1%
Sacramento StToledoUConn
63.2%
<0.1%
E MichiganToledoUConn
62.5%
<0.1%
AkronMiami OHRutgers
60.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenE MichiganRutgers
60.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenRutgersToledo
58.3%
<0.1%
E MichiganRutgersSacramento St
57.1%
<0.1%
RutgersSacramento StToledo
56.8%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenRutgersSacramento St
56.3%
<0.1%
Ball StMiami OHRutgers
55.6%
<0.1%
Ball StToledoUConn
55.6%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenMiami OHRutgers
54.5%
<0.1%
Miami OHRutgersSacramento St
52.9%
<0.1%
BuffaloE MichiganUConn
50.0%
<0.1%
Ball StBuffaloE Michigan
50.0%
<0.1%
Sacramento StStonehillToledo
50.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenBuffaloUConn
50.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenToledoUConn
44.4%
<0.1%
BuffaloToledoUConn
40.0%
<0.1%
Miami OHRutgersToledo
38.9%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenMiami OHUConn
33.3%
<0.1%
BuffaloE MichiganSacramento St
33.3%
<0.1%
AkronBowling GreenSacramento St
25.0%
<0.1%
Miami OHToledoUConn
20.0%
<0.1%
BuffaloE MichiganMiami OH
20.0%
<0.1%
AkronBowling GreenToledo
16.7%
<0.1%
BuffaloE MichiganToledo
12.5%
<0.1%
BuffaloSacramento StToledo
11.8%
<0.1%
BuffaloMiami OHToledo
11.1%
<0.1%
Ball StSacramento StToledo
10.0%
<0.1%
Any 4 losses
26.6%
2.5%
Bowling GreenMiami OHRutgersStonehill
100.0%
<0.1%
BuffaloSacramento StSacred HeartUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
Miami OHRutgersSacred HeartUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronBall StSacred HeartUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronBuffaloSacred HeartUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenSacramento StSacred HeartUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronBowling GreenRutgersSacred Heart
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronBuffaloRutgersSacred Heart
100.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganMiami OHRutgersStonehill
100.0%
<0.1%
Ball StE MichiganRutgersSacred Heart
100.0%
<0.1%
Miami OHRutgersStonehillUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenRutgersStonehillUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
BuffaloRutgersStonehillUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
BuffaloSacramento StStonehillUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
BuffaloRutgersSacred HeartUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
Ball StRutgersSacramento StSacred Heart
100.0%
<0.1%
Ball StBowling GreenRutgersSacred Heart
100.0%
<0.1%
RutgersSacramento StSacred HeartUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
Ball StSacred HeartToledoUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
RutgersSacramento StStonehillUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronSacred HeartToledoUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
RutgersStonehillToledoUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenRutgersSacramento StStonehill
100.0%
<0.1%
BuffaloRutgersSacramento StStonehill
100.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganRutgersStonehillUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
Miami OHStonehillToledoUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
Ball StSacramento StSacred HeartUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenBuffaloRutgersStonehill
100.0%
<0.1%
BuffaloStonehillToledoUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganMiami OHRutgersSacred Heart
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronRutgersSacred HeartToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenE MichiganSacred HeartUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
Miami OHRutgersSacred HeartToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenRutgersSacred HeartUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
Ball StBuffaloRutgersSacred Heart
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenRutgersStonehillToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronRutgersSacramento StStonehill
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenE MichiganStonehillUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
BuffaloE MichiganRutgersStonehill
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronBowling GreenMiami OHSacred Heart
100.0%
<0.1%
AkronRutgersStonehillUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
Ball StBuffaloRutgersUConn
86.7%
<0.1%
Ball StRutgersSacramento StUConn
83.3%
<0.1%
Ball StRutgersToledoUConn
78.8%
<0.1%
Ball StBowling GreenRutgersUConn
75.0%
<0.1%
RutgersSacramento StStonehillToledo
75.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenRutgersSacramento StSacred Heart
75.0%
<0.1%
Ball StE MichiganRutgersUConn
71.4%
<0.1%
BuffaloRutgersSacramento StUConn
71.2%
<0.1%
BuffaloE MichiganRutgersUConn
70.8%
<0.1%
AkronBuffaloRutgersUConn
68.8%
<0.1%
AkronBowling GreenRutgersUConn
66.7%
<0.1%
AkronStonehillToledoUConn
66.7%
<0.1%
AkronBall StMiami OHUConn
66.7%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenRutgersSacred HeartToledo
66.7%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenE MichiganMiami OHUConn
66.7%
<0.1%
Sacramento StSacred HeartToledoUConn
66.7%
<0.1%
RutgersSacramento StToledoUConn
64.4%
0.1%
E MichiganRutgersSacramento StUConn
64.3%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenE MichiganRutgersUConn
63.6%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenRutgersSacramento StUConn
61.3%
<0.1%
E MichiganMiami OHRutgersUConn
56.3%
<0.1%
AkronRutgersSacramento StUConn
55.6%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenBuffaloRutgersUConn
55.6%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenRutgersToledoUConn
54.3%
<0.1%
BuffaloRutgersToledoUConn
52.9%
0.1%
AkronRutgersToledoUConn
51.8%
<0.1%
BuffaloMiami OHRutgersUConn
51.1%
<0.1%
BuffaloRutgersSacred HeartToledo
50.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganRutgersToledoUConn
50.0%
<0.1%
Miami OHRutgersSacramento StUConn
50.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenMiami OHRutgersUConn
50.0%
<0.1%
AkronBall StBowling GreenRutgers
50.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenBuffaloSacred HeartUConn
50.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganRutgersSacramento StSacred Heart
50.0%
<0.1%
Ball StE MichiganToledoUConn
50.0%
<0.1%
Miami OHRutgersSacramento StSacred Heart
50.0%
<0.1%
Ball StRutgersSacramento StStonehill
50.0%
<0.1%
BuffaloSacramento StStonehillToledo
50.0%
<0.1%
AkronBall StRutgersUConn
50.0%
<0.1%
AkronMiami OHRutgersUConn
43.8%
<0.1%
Miami OHRutgersToledoUConn
43.6%
0.1%
BuffaloMiami OHRutgersSacred Heart
40.0%
<0.1%
Ball StE MichiganMiami OHRutgers
40.0%
<0.1%
BuffaloE MichiganSacramento StUConn
37.5%
<0.1%
BuffaloRutgersStonehillToledo
33.3%
<0.1%
Ball StMiami OHRutgersUConn
33.3%
<0.1%
AkronBowling GreenE MichiganUConn
33.3%
<0.1%
RutgersSacred HeartToledoUConn
33.3%
<0.1%
Ball StRutgersStonehillToledo
33.3%
<0.1%
RutgersSacramento StSacred HeartToledo
33.3%
<0.1%
AkronBowling GreenBuffaloUConn
33.3%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenBuffaloRutgersSacred Heart
33.3%
<0.1%
Ball StBuffaloMiami OHUConn
33.3%
<0.1%
AkronE MichiganRutgersUConn
28.6%
<0.1%
AkronBall StBuffaloRutgers
25.0%
<0.1%
Miami OHRutgersSacramento StStonehill
25.0%
<0.1%
Ball StBowling GreenE MichiganRutgers
25.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenE MichiganSacramento StUConn
25.0%
<0.1%
AkronE MichiganToledoUConn
20.0%
<0.1%
Ball StBuffaloSacramento StUConn
20.0%
<0.1%
Ball StE MichiganRutgersSacramento St
20.0%
<0.1%
Ball StBowling GreenBuffaloRutgers
20.0%
<0.1%
AkronMiami OHRutgersSacramento St
17.6%
<0.1%
Ball StBowling GreenSacramento StUConn
16.7%
<0.1%
AkronE MichiganRutgersToledo
15.4%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenE MichiganMiami OHRutgers
15.4%
<0.1%
AkronBowling GreenBuffaloRutgers
14.3%
<0.1%
Ball StBuffaloE MichiganRutgers
12.5%
<0.1%
AkronBuffaloRutgersSacramento St
11.5%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenE MichiganToledoUConn
11.1%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenBuffaloMiami OHRutgers
11.1%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenBuffaloSacramento StUConn
10.0%
<0.1%
BuffaloE MichiganRutgersSacramento St
10.0%
<0.1%
AkronSacramento StToledoUConn
10.0%
<0.1%
AkronBuffaloMiami OHRutgers
10.0%
<0.1%
Ball StBowling GreenMiami OHRutgers
10.0%
<0.1%
Ball StSacramento StToledoUConn
10.0%
<0.1%
AkronBuffaloRutgersToledo
9.1%
<0.1%
AkronBowling GreenToledoUConn
9.1%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenBuffaloRutgersToledo
8.7%
<0.1%
Ball StBuffaloToledoUConn
7.7%
<0.1%
AkronBowling GreenRutgersSacramento St
7.7%
<0.1%
Ball StRutgersSacramento StToledo
7.5%
<0.1%
Ball StMiami OHRutgersSacramento St
7.1%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenE MichiganRutgersToledo
6.5%
<0.1%
E MichiganRutgersSacramento StToledo
6.3%
<0.1%
AkronBowling GreenRutgersToledo
5.9%
<0.1%
BuffaloMiami OHSacramento StUConn
5.9%
<0.1%
AkronBuffaloToledoUConn
5.6%
<0.1%
Miami OHRutgersSacramento StToledo
5.3%
0.1%
Bowling GreenBuffaloToledoUConn
5.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganMiami OHRutgersToledo
4.8%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenMiami OHRutgersToledo
4.6%
<0.1%
BuffaloRutgersSacramento StToledo
3.9%
0.1%
BuffaloMiami OHRutgersSacramento St
3.6%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenRutgersSacramento StToledo
3.2%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenMiami OHRutgersSacramento St
3.1%
<0.1%
AkronMiami OHRutgersToledo
3.0%
<0.1%
Ball StMiami OHRutgersToledo
2.6%
<0.1%
BuffaloSacramento StToledoUConn
2.2%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenBuffaloRutgersSacramento St
2.1%
<0.1%
AkronRutgersSacramento StToledo
2.1%
<0.1%
BuffaloE MichiganRutgersToledo
1.9%
<0.1%
BuffaloMiami OHRutgersToledo
1.1%
<0.1%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com