Ball StateCardinals
3-5 7th (2-2) in MAC
Data from 2026-11-02
Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.0%
Based on 1,000,000 simulations
What is Ball State's probability of making the Mid-American Conference Championship Game?
Ball State has a <0.1% chance to reach the Mid-American Conference Championship Game, as of latest of the 2026 season, based on a 1,000,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Ball State's Mid-American Conference Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.
What is the biggest game this week for Ball State's Mid-American Conference Championship Game odds?
Ball State's biggest swing game this week is its own: beating Massachusetts would put its Mid-American Conference Championship Game odds at 0.2%, while a loss would drop them to -.
Schedule & Results
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9/05 | L3-56 | |
| 2 | 9/12 | W41-17 | |
| 3 | 9/19 | L15-51 | |
| 4 | 9/26 | L13-26 | |
| 5 | 10/03 | L24-39 | |
| 6 | 10/10 | L14-45 | |
| 7 | 10/17 | W32-31 | |
| 8 | 10/24 | W34-17 | |
| 10 | 11/04 | Win prob:26% | |
| 11 | 11/11 | Win prob:36% | |
| 12 | 11/17 | Win prob:11% | |
| 13 | 11/28 | Win prob:41% |
Data from 2026-11-02
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 6-2 | 0.4% | 9.8% |
| 5-3 | 5.9% | 0% |
| 4-4 | 25.5% | 0% |
| 3-5 | 43.1% | 0% |
| 2-6 | 25.0% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2026-11-02
This Week's Impact
| Time | Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway Wins | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome Wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, Nov 3Tuesday, November 3 | |||
| 0.0% (-0.0%) | 0.1% (+0.1%) | ||
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | ||
| Wed, Nov 4Wednesday, November 4 | |||
| 0.2% (+0.1%) | 0.0% (-0.0%) | ||
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.2% (+0.1%) | ||
| 0.1% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | ||
Best Winner Combination for
Akron
Sacramento StateBall StateCCG: 0.9% • Scenario: 0.1%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
Ball StateCCG: 0.1% • Scenario: 25.8%
Data from 2026-11-02
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2026-11-02