Bowling Green

Bowling GreenFalcons

0-2 T2nd (0-0) in MAC

Data from 2026-09-17

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.3%

Based on 1,000,000 simulations

What is Bowling Green's probability of making the Mid-American Conference Championship Game?

Bowling Green has a 0.3% chance to reach the Mid-American Conference Championship Game, as of week 3 of the 2026 season, based on a 1,000,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Bowling Green's Mid-American Conference Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.

Bowling GreenSchedule & Results

WkDateOpponentResult
19/05
vsTarleton StateTAR
L13-20
29/12
@NebraskaNEB
L7-56
39/19
@Iowa StISU
Win prob:3%
49/26
vsSouth FloridaUSF
Win prob:8%
510/03
@Miami OHM-OH
Win prob:18%
610/10
vsSacramento StSAC
Win prob:75%
710/17
vsBall StBALL
Win prob:53%
810/24
@BuffaloBUF
Win prob:27%
910/31
@W MichiganWMU
Win prob:3%
1111/10
vsKentKENT
Win prob:65%
1211/20
@ToledoTOL
Win prob:5%
1311/28
vsMassachusettsMASS
Win prob:32%

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

Bowling GreenRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
0%
100.0%
7-1
0.0%
93.2%
6-2
0.7%
25.8%
5-3
5.5%
0.5%
4-4
19.4%
0%
3-5
33.5%
0%
2-6
28.3%
0%
1-7
10.9%
0%
0-8
1.5%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

Possible Bowling Green CCG Opponents

if Bowling Green makes the CCG

WMUW Michigan
52.0%
TOLToledo
36.0%
M-OHMiami OH
4.0%
OHIOOhio
4.0%
MASSMassachusetts
4.0%

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

Bowling GreenThis Week's Impact

Game
Bowling GreenCCG OddsAway Wins
Bowling GreenCCG OddsHome Wins
Sat, Sep 19
AkronAKR@MinnesotaMINN
0.2%
(-0.0%)		0.3%
(+0.0%)
Bowling GreenBGSU@Iowa StISU
0.2%
(-0.0%)		0.3%
(+0.0%)
BuffaloBUF@Penn StPSU
0.3%
(+0.0%)		0.3%
(+0.0%)
KentKENT@Ohio StOSU
0.3%
(+0.0%)		0.3%
(+0.0%)
E MichiganEMU@WisconsinWIS
0.3%
(-0.0%)		0.3%
(+0.0%)
WyomingWYO@C MichiganCMU
0.3%
(-0.0%)		0.3%
(+0.0%)
TempleTEM@ToledoTOL
0.2%
(-0.0%)		0.3%
(+0.0%)
Miami OHM-OH@CincinnatiCIN
0.2%
(-0.0%)		0.3%
(+0.0%)
StonehillSTO@MassachusettsMASS
0.3%
(+0.0%)		0.3%
(+0.0%)
Ball StBALL@LibertyLIB
0.2%
(-0.0%)		0.3%
(+0.0%)
OhioOHIO@South AlabamaUSA
0.3%
(-0.0%)		0.3%
(+0.0%)
W MichiganWMU@RiceRICE
0.3%
(+0.0%)		0.2%
(-0.0%)
North Dakota StNDSU@Sacramento StSAC
0.3%
(+0.0%)		0.2%
(-0.0%)

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

Bowling GreenLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Bowling Green CCG Probability
Likelihood
Iowa St
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
<0.1%
<0.1%
South FloridaToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
Iowa StSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
Ball StSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
South FloridaW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
BuffaloToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
BuffaloIowa St
100.0%
<0.1%
Iowa StMiami OH
100.0%
<0.1%
MassachusettsW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
MassachusettsToledo
100.0%
<0.1%
Iowa StW Michigan
94.4%
<0.1%
Iowa StToledo
81.8%
<0.1%
ToledoW Michigan
12.5%
<0.1%

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

Bowling GreenCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1 (8/4)Week 1 (8/31)Week 3 (9/8)Week 3 (9/13)

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com